Montalegre vs Varzim – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 3 Montalegre - Varzim
30/04/2023 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Montalegre
23.8%
Draw
27.6%
Varzim
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.1% 29.5% 40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3% 29.7% 40.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montalegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montalegre's form might have worsened.
  • Varzim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Varzim's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montalegre than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montalegre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Varzim, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Montalegre - Varzim Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.87
    (3.15)
    3.33
    (3.22)
    1.89
    (2.35)
    8.7%
    (5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Montalegre is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Varzim is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Varzim will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Montalegre won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Montalegre won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Montalegre - Varzim were as follows:
    07.04.2023 Varzim - Montalegre 0:1
    04.02.2023 Montalegre - Varzim 1:2
    22.10.2022 Varzim - Montalegre 2:1
    Latest results of Montalegre
    22.04.2023 Fafe - Montalegre 4:2
    07.04.2023 Varzim - Montalegre 0:1
    01.04.2023 Montalegre - Fafe 0:1
    12.03.2023 Fafe - Montalegre 2:1
    Latest results of Varzim
    22.04.2023 Varzim - São João de Ver 1:1
    15.04.2023 Fafe - Varzim 2:2
    07.04.2023 Varzim - Montalegre 0:1
    01.04.2023 São João de Ver - Varzim 2:1
    12.03.2023 Paredes - Varzim 1:0
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    2025/26

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Trofense00000:000
    2Varzim00000:000
    3Paredes00000:000
    4AD Fafe00000:000
    5Sanjoanense00000:000
    6Amarante00000:000
    7Sao Joao Ver00000:000
    8Vitoria Guimaraes B00000:000
    9Braga B00000:000
    10AD Marco 0900000:000


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Academica00000:000
    2Atletico CP00000:000
    3Covilha00000:000
    4Mafra00000:000
    5Caldas00000:000
    61u00ba Dezembro00000:000
    7Lusitano GC00000:000
    8Amora00000:000
    9Santarem00000:000
    10Os Belenenses00000:000

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