Vasco da Gama vs Bauru – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
70:90
16/02/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NBB

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
5468
Field goals made
2535
Field goals %
46.3%51.47%
2-point field goals attempts
3033
2-point field goals made
1524
2-point field goals %
50%72.73%
3-point field goals attempts
2435
3-point field goals made
1011
3-point field goals %
41.67%31.43%
Free throws attempts
1221
Free throws made
1111
Free throws %
91.7%52.4%
Offensive rebounds
612
Defensive rebounds
2824
Total rebounds
3436
Assists
1724
Blocks
21
Turnovers
2413
Steals
79
Personal fouls
1719

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Vasco da Gama
29.8%
Bauru
70.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.2% 64.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2% 56.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vasco da Gama's form might have worsened.
  • Bauru has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bauru's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+13.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vasco da Gama, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bauru than the current prediction. (-13.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bauru, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Vasco da Gama - Bauru Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.14
    (2.6)

    1.32
    (1.41)
    7.3%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 152.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)
    What is the prediction for Vasco da Gama - Bauru?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Vasco will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Bauru will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Vasco (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 73:80.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 2.
    • Vasco is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Bauru has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Vasco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Bauru could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1545:1612. (average 77.3:80.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vasco won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 819:824. (average 81.9:82.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vasco da Gama - Bauru were as follows:
    15.11.2025 Bauru - Vasco da Gama 77:54
    17.04.2025 Bauru - Vasco da Gama 75:69
    23.12.2024 Vasco da Gama - Bauru 81:63
    14.05.2024 Vasco da Gama - Bauru 73:76
    12.05.2024 Vasco da Gama - Bauru 95:87
    Latest results of Vasco da Gama
    Latest results of Bauru
    10.02.2026 Bauru - Minas 105:90
    06.02.2026 Bauru - Cruzeiro 80:77
    21.01.2026 União Corinthians - Bauru 103:99
    19.01.2026 Caxias do Sul - Bauru 73:74
    15.01.2026 Bauru - Paulistano 87:89
    Brazilian NBB Table
    2025/26
    PlWLPCT
    1Pinheiros312652678:23010.839
    2Franca292362587:21860.793
    3Flamengo282262434:21750.786
    4Minas292272527:23850.759
    5Corinthians Paulista302282540:23440.733
    6Brasilia312292522:22210.710
    7Paulistano3119122566:24320.613
    8Bauru3219132593:25130.594
    9Sao Jose3118132554:24930.581
    10Mogi3117142349:21730.548
    11Uniao Corinthians3016142386:24370.533
    12Unifacisa3016142411:23830.533
    13Caxias do Sul3114172262:23810.452
    14Cruzeiro3111202475:26580.355
    15Rio Claro3210222506:27710.313
    16Pato307232204:23930.233
    17Botafogo317242249:25770.226
    18Cearense326262437:27990.188
    19Osasco325272439:28050.156
    20Vasco325272247:25390.156

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