Result
3:0
01/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 26
- Referee: Klein R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 1 |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 2, #Vamos |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 0.77 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (330/397) | 87% (439/504) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 0.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.64 | 1.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (330/397) | 87% (439/504) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (23/49) | 55% (23/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (76/105) | 72% (65/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (15/22) | 85% (11/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.17 | 2.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.17 | -0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Lopez J. ⚽,
- 18', 2 - 0, Lopez J. ⚽,
- 24', 3 - 0, Vitor Roque ⚽, Lopez J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 61', Paulo Henrique 🟨,
- 61', Moreira N. ↓, Gomez C. A. ↑,
- 66', Raphael Veiga ↓, Sosa R. ↑,
- 66', Felipe Anderson ↓, Torres F. ↑,
- 67', Vegetti P. ↓, David ↑,
- 76', Vitor Roque ↓, Bruno Rodrigues ↑,
- 76', Lopez J. ↓, Mauricio ↑,
- 79', Lucas Oliveira ↓, Mateus Carvalho ↑,
- 81', Moreno A. 🟨,
- 82', Pereira A. ↓, Allan ↑,
Chances of winning
Palmeiras
78.9% | Draw
13.9% | Vasco da Gama
7.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Palmeiras's performance.Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Palmeiras - Vasco da Gama Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.28 ↓
(1.33) |
7.73 ↑
(5) |
15.42 ↑
(8.5) |
-2.2%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Palmeiras - Vasco da Gama?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Palmeiras will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Vasco will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 44.1% – 94.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Palmeiras (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1, 1st Half - Palmeiras (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 4.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Palmeiras may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Palmeiras is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Palmeiras: Paulinho
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Vasco: Adson
(Broken Leg)
Cauan Barros
(Yellow Cards)
Jair
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Palmeiras: Lucas Evangelista
(Injury)
Piquerez J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Vasco: GB
(Inactive)
Lucas Piton
(Calf Injury)
Tche Tche
(Thigh Injury)
Thiago Mendes
(Calf Injury)
- We predict that Palmeiras will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:13. (average 1.5:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Palmeiras won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 1.4:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Vasco da Gama?
Palmeiras has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Palmeiras?
Vasco da Gama has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palmeiras - Vasco da Gama were as follows:
04.05.2025
Vasco da Gama
-
Palmeiras
0:1
22.09.2024
Vasco da Gama
-
Palmeiras
0:1
13.06.2024
Palmeiras
-
Vasco da Gama
2:0
27.08.2023
Palmeiras
-
Vasco da Gama
1:0
23.04.2023
Vasco da Gama
-
Palmeiras
2:2
Latest results of Palmeiras
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 50:12 | 38 | 55 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 39:19 | 20 | 52 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 39:19 | 20 | 51 |
| 4 | Botafogo RJ | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 37:23 | 14 | 43 |
| 5 | Mirassol | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 42:25 | 17 | 43 |
| 6 | Bahia | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 33:30 | 3 | 40 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 33:31 | 2 | 38 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 29:25 | 4 | 38 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 32:38 | -6 | 33 |
| 10 | Gremio | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 28:32 | -4 | 33 |
| 11 | Internacional | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 32:38 | -6 | 32 |
| 12 | Ceara | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 23:24 | -1 | 31 |
| 13 | Vasco | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 38:38 | 0 | 30 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 30 |
| 15 | Atletico-MG | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 22:29 | -7 | 29 |
| 16 | Santos | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 25:35 | -10 | 28 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 21:38 | -17 | 25 |
| 18 | Juventude | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 20:46 | -26 | 23 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 24:40 | -16 | 21 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 24 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 18:37 | -19 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
