Result
2:1 penalties
14/02/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Carioca - Taca Guanabara - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Premiere, SporTV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.63 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 75% | 25% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 32 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (559/628) | 72% (163/225) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.95 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 32 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 16 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 16 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 40 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (559/628) | 72% (163/225) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (24/39) | 37% (17/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (197/240) | 50% (21/42) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (12/55) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 0.15 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 75% (18/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 6 | 58 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.05 | -0.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 28', 0 - 1, Ygor Catatau ⚽, Jean Victor (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Coutinho ↓, Rojas J. ↑,
- 46', Cauan Barros ↓, Tche Tche ↑,
- 46', Lucas Piton ↓, Paulo Henrique ↑,
- 54', Tche Tche 🟨,
- 56', Luciano Naninho ↓, Joao Valenca ↑,
- 65', Moreira N. ↓, Spinelli C. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 1, Spinelli C. ⚽, Cuesta C. (A),
- 68', Dener ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
- 71', Joao Valenca 🟨,
- 73', Jean Victor ↓, Caetano ↑,
- 74', Henrique Silva ↓, Juninho Monteiro ↑,
- 74', MV ↓, Juninho Ramos ↑,
- 79', Brenner ↓, David ↑,
- 82', Avelino 🟨,
- 87', Mizael Monteiro 🟨,
- 90+7', Ygor Catatau 🟨,
- Penalties (5 - 3)
- 1, Rojas J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, Marquinhos (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Tche Tche (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Lucas Adell (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Spinelli C. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Wagninho (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, David (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Rafael Castro (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Rodriguez J. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Vasco da Gama
66% | Draw
21.4% | Volta Redonda
12.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Volta Redonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volta Redonda than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Vasco da Gama - Volta Redonda Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.4 ↓
(1.43) |
4.31 ↑
(3.98) |
7.33 ↑
(7.13) |
8.4%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Vasco da Gama - Volta Redonda?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Volta Redonda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Vasco is considered a favorite.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:15. (average 2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vasco won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:10. (average 2.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Volta Redonda?
Vasco da Gama has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Volta Redonda won against Vasco da Gama?
Volta Redonda has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vasco da Gama - Volta Redonda were as follows:
01.02.2025
Vasco da Gama
-
Volta Redonda
2:2
24.02.2024
Vasco da Gama
-
Volta Redonda
2:1
30.01.2023
Vasco da Gama
-
Volta Redonda
1:2
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Latest results of Volta Redonda
Draw
Taca Guanabara - Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Fluminense | Bangu | 3 : 1 |
| 2 | Vasco | Volta Redonda | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Botafogo RJ | Flamengo RJ | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Madureira | Boavista | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Fluminense | Vasco | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | Madureira | 3 : 0 |
Final
