New York Islanders vs Vegas Golden Knights – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:4 penalties
09/12/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaESPN 2
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 1, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFrancebeIN Sports MAX 4
icelandIcelandViaplay
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Extra
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, Premier Sports 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2737
Shots off target
1414
Shooting PCT
14.81% (4/27)10.81% (4/37)
Blocked Shots
1211
Goalkeeper Saves
3323
Saves PCT
89.19% (33/37)85.19% (23/27)
Penalties
54
PIM
108
Power-play Goals
10
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
25% (1/4)0% (0/5)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (5/5)75% (3/4)
Hits
2414
Faceoffs Won
3836
Faceoffs %
51.3548.65
Giveaways
1419
Takeaways
76
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 2)
  • 09:37, Horvat B. (2 min),
  • 10:31, Marner M. (2 min),
  • 10:54, Sorokin I. (2 min),
  • 12:02, 0 - 1, Hanifin N. (G), Eichel J. (A), Theodore S. (A2)
  • 16:01, 0 - 2, Marner M. (G), Korczak K. (A), Stone M. (A2)
  • 18:55, McNabb B. (2 min),
  • 18:55, Duclair A. (2 min),
  • 19:33, 1 - 2, Horvat B. (G), Pulock R. (A), Schaefer M. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (2 - 0)
  • 01:24, Howden B. (2 min),
  • 03:56, 2 - 2, Gatcomb M. (G), Cizikas C. (A), Maclean K. (A2)
  • 13:30, 3 - 2, Holmstrom S. (G), Ritchie C. (A), Duclair A. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (1 - 2)
  • 01:27, 3 - 3, Barbashev I. (G), Bowman B. (A), Eichel J. (A2)
  • 08:44, Dorofeyev P. (2 min),
  • 10:15, 4 - 3, Horvat B. (G), Barzal M. (A), Shabanov M. (A2)
  • 17:39, Pelech A. (2 min),
  • 19:46, 4 - 4, Dorofeyev P. (G), Marner M. (A), Stone M. (A2)
  • 19:56, Maclean K. (2 min),
  • Overtime (0 - 0)
  • Penalties (1 - 0)
  • 1, Dorofeyev P. (Penalty Shot),
  • 1, Barzal M. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Marner M. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Holmstrom S. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, Eichel J. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, Horvat B. (Penalty Shot),
  • 4, Theodore S. (Penalty Shot),
  • 4, Heineman E. (Penalty Shot),

Highlights

Chances of winning


New York Islanders
33.4%
Draw
22.5%
Vegas Golden Knights
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.9% 23.2% 42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5% 22.9% 43.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York Islanders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Vegas Golden Knights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Islanders than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vegas Golden Knights than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • New York Islanders - Vegas Golden Knights Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.85
    (2.86)
    4.28
    (4.18)
    2.16
    (2.26)
    4.9%
    (3.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
    What is the prediction for New York Islanders - Vegas Golden Knights?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. NY Islanders will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Vegas will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Vegas: 9.6%70.4%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. NY Islanders (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Vegas (votes: 3 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5, OT - NY Islanders (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. NY Islanders (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Vegas (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Islanders won 3.
    • In recent matches, NY Islanders has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Vegas is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Vegas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in NY Islanders: Bear E. (Injury) Drouin J. (Back Injury) Engvall P. (Ankle Injury) Palmieri K. (Knee Injury) Romanov A. (Shoulder Injury) Varlamov S. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Vegas: Karlsson W. (Lower-Body Injury) Pietrangelo A. (Hip Injury)
    • There are questionable in NY Islanders: Pageau J. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Vegas: Hill A. (Lower-Body Injury) Lauzon J. (Injury) Sissons C. (Illness)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, NY Islanders won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 41:33. (average 2.7:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NY Islanders won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:17. (average 2.9:2.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York Islanders - Vegas Golden Knights were as follows:
    13.11.2025 Vegas Golden Knights - New York Islanders 3:4
    04.02.2025 New York Islanders - Vegas Golden Knights 2:1
    09.01.2025 Vegas Golden Knights - New York Islanders 0:4
    23.01.2024 New York Islanders - Vegas Golden Knights 2:3
    06.01.2024 Vegas Golden Knights - New York Islanders 5:2
    NHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Colorado Avalanche ✔ 814771116300:203119
    2Dallas Stars ✔ 8238121220279:226112
    3Minnesota Wild ✔ 8231151224272:240104
    4Vegas Golden Knights ✔ 823091726265:25095
    5Utah Mammoth ✔ 813310632265:23592
    6Edmonton Oilers ✔ 813191130276:26891
    7Anaheim Ducks ✔ 812517633268:28490
    8Los Angeles Kings ✔ 8122132026224:24490
    9Nashville Predators8128101033243:26486
    10San Jose Sharks812612835245:29184
    11St. Louis Blues813241233226:25584
    12Winnipeg Jets812871234230:25482
    13Seattle Kraken812681136226:26179
    14Calgary Flames81267939209:25875
    15Chicago Blackhawks822271439213:27572
    16Vancouver Canucks811510848215:31058


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Carolina Hurricanes ✔ 823914722296:240113
    2Buffalo Sabres ✔ 82428923288:241109
    3Tampa Bay Lightning ✔ 824010626290:231106
    4Montreal Canadiens ✔ 8234141024283:256106
    5Boston Bruins ✔ 8233121027272:250100
    6Ottawa Senators ✔ 823861127278:24699
    7Pittsburgh Penguins ✔ 823471625293:26898
    8Philadelphia Flyers ✔ 8227161227250:24398
    9Washington Capitals82376930263:24495
    10Detroit Red Wings8230111031241:25892
    11Columbus Blue Jackets8228121230253:25392
    12New York Islanders822914534233:24191
    13New Jersey Devils822913337230:25487
    14Florida Panthers82328438251:27684
    15Toronto Maple Leafs822391436253:29978
    16New York Rangers82259939238:25077

          Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Colorado Avalanche is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Dallas Stars is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Minnesota Wild is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Vegas Golden Knights is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Utah Mammoth is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Edmonton Oilers is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Anaheim Ducks is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Los Angeles Kings is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Carolina Hurricanes is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Buffalo Sabres is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Tampa Bay Lightning is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Montreal Canadiens is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Boston Bruins is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Ottawa Senators is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Pittsburgh Penguins is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Philadelphia Flyers is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )