Vélez Camaquã vs Umuarama – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
14/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LNF - Round 21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 2', Leo (G),
  • 8', Luanzinho 🟨,
  • 9', Leo Maciel (G),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 22', Foguinho 🟨,
  • 26', Gui Falcao (G),
  • 29', Guilherme (G),
  • 39', Guilherme (G),
  • 40', Chicharito 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Vélez Camaquã
60.5%
Draw
18.9%
Umuarama
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.2% 21.5% 28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.9% 30.4% 20.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vélez Camaquã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vélez Camaquã's performance.
  • Umuarama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Umuarama might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Camaquã than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vélez Camaquã, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umuarama than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Vélez Camaquã - Umuarama Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.82)
    5.08
    (4.25)
    4.67
    (3.22)
    4%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)
    Preview Facts
    • Vélez Camaquã has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Umuarama is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Vélez Camaquã may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Vélez Camaquã will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Vélez Camaquã
    Latest results of Umuarama
    09.09.2025 Umuarama - Marreco 3:3
    31.08.2025 Minas - Umuarama 4:1
    23.08.2025 Umuarama - Futuro 4:1
    18.08.2025 Tubarão - Umuarama 0:1
    08.08.2025 Umuarama - Blumenau 4:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Atlantico (1)Umuarama (16)4 : 0, 3 : 1
    2Cascavel (8)Marreco (9)1 : 0, 2 : 2
    3Jaragua (4)Minas (13)3 : 1, 1 : 1
    4Joinville (5)Velez Camaqua (12)2 : 2, 3 : 2
    5Magnus (3)Santo Andre/Intelli (14)7 : 4, 3 : 1
    6Corinthians (6)Carlos Barbosa (11)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    7Praia Clube (2)Foz Cataratas (15)3 : 1, 2 : 4
    8ACMF/Campo Mourao (7)Pato (10)3 : 3, 2 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Atlantico (1)Cascavel (8)3 : 2, 1 : 1
    2Jaragua (4)Joinville (5)4 : 1, 4 : 1
    3Magnus (3)Corinthians (6)6 : 5, 2 : 4
    4Praia Clube (2)ACMF/Campo Mourao (7)2 : 2, 0 : 4

    Semi-finals
    1Atlantico (1)Jaragua (4)3 : 3, 1 : 3
    2Corinthians (6)ACMF/Campo Mourao (7)3 : 2, 1 : 0

    Final
    1Jaragua (4)Corinthians (6)3 : 0, 3 : 3