Vélez Sársfield 2 vs Defensa y Justicia 2 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Reserve League Vélez Sársfield 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2
Result
5:0
30/03/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ARGENTINA: RESERVE LEAGUE - FIRST STAGE - ROUND 9

Chances of winning


Vélez Sársfield 2
53.8%
Draw
25.4%
Defensa y Justicia 2
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.1% 29.8% 37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8% 31% 38.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vélez Sársfield 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vélez Sársfield 2's performance.
  • Defensa y Justicia 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Defensa y Justicia 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield 2 than the current prediction. (-22%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vélez Sársfield 2 that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia 2 than the current prediction. (+17.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Defensa y Justicia 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Vélez Sársfield 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (2.75)
    3.56
    (3.05)
    4.36
    (2.45)
    10.5%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Vélez Sársfield 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2?
  • Users Predictions: Vélez Sársfield 2 will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 2 and 10).
    • Vélez 2 in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Recent matches Defensa y Justicia 2 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Vélez 2 is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Vélez 2 to win the game is with odds 1.71.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Vélez 2 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Vélez 2 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
    Argentinian Reserve League Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Juniors 2 ✔ 14102222:81432
    2Belgrano 2 ✔ 1494125:101531
    3Racing Club 2 ✔ 1584325:18728
    4Huracan 2 ✔ 1575323:131026
    5Union de Santa Fe 2 ✔ 1574426:22425
    6Newells Old Boys 21564520:20022
    7Tigre 21556416:16021
    8Barracas Central 21555515:17-220
    9Ind. Rivadavia 21554623:21219
    10Argentinos Jrs 21554620:18219
    11Estudiantes L.P. 21537518:17116
    12Colon Santa Fe 21536611:18-715
    13Banfield 21543815:24-915
    14Central Cordoba 21534816:27-1113
    15Aldosivi 215321014:23-911
    16Defensa y Justicia 21524913:27-1410


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate 2 ✔ 1586124:91530
    2Rosario Central 2 ✔ 1593326:141230
    3Gimnasia L.P. 2 ✔ 1585221:12929
    4Instituto 2 ✔ 1576219:91027
    5Atl. Tucuman 2 ✔ 1574424:17725
    6Independiente 2 ✔ 1573521:19224
    7San Lorenzo 21555517:17020
    8Lanus 21562713:18-520
    9Platense 21554612:19-719
    10Sarmiento Junin 21545611:16-517
    11Talleres Cordoba 21552812:18-617
    12San Martin S.J. 21552814:21-717
    13Velez Sarsfield 21536614:17-315
    14Godoy Cruz 21543817:21-415
    15Ferro 21534814:27-1313
    16Deportivo Riestra 215321012:20-811

          Promotion ~ Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Boca Juniors 2 is Qualified for Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Belgrano 2 is Qualified for Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Racing Club 2 is Qualified for Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Huracan 2 is Qualified for Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Union de Santa Fe 2 is Qualified for Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    River Plate 2 is Qualified for Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Rosario Central 2 is Qualified for Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Gimnasia L.P. 2 is Qualified for Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Instituto 2 is Qualified for Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Atl. Tucuman 2 is Qualified for Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Independiente 2 is Qualified for Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)