Vélez Sársfield 2 vs Defensa y Justicia 2 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Reserve League Vélez Sársfield 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2
Result
5:0
30/03/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ARGENTINA: RESERVE LEAGUE - FIRST STAGE - ROUND 9

Chances of winning


Vélez Sársfield 2
53.8%
Draw
25.4%
Defensa y Justicia 2
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.1% 29.8% 37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8% 31% 38.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vélez Sársfield 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vélez Sársfield 2's performance.
  • Defensa y Justicia 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Defensa y Justicia 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield 2 than the current prediction. (-22%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vélez Sársfield 2 that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia 2 than the current prediction. (+17.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Defensa y Justicia 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Vélez Sársfield 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (2.75)
    3.56
    (3.05)
    4.36
    (2.45)
    10.5%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Vélez Sársfield 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2?
  • Users Predictions: Vélez Sársfield 2 will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 2 and 10).
    • Vélez 2 in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Recent matches Defensa y Justicia 2 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Vélez 2 is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Vélez 2 to win the game is with odds 1.71.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Vélez 2 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Vélez 2 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
    Argentinian Reserve League Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Belgrano 243108:3510
    2Barracas Central 243104:1310
    3Newells Old Boys 243017:439
    4Tigre 243016:429
    5Union de Santa Fe 243018:809
    6Racing Club 242207:528
    7Central Cordoba 242115:417
    8Boca Juniors 242025:416
    9Colon Santa Fe 241214:405
    10Ind. Rivadavia 241125:504
    11Huracan 241124:404
    12Aldosivi 241032:3-13
    13Estudiantes L.P. 240226:8-22
    14Defensa y Justicia 240222:5-32
    15Banfield 240130:7-71
    16Argentinos Jrs 240043:7-40


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Tucuman 244007:1612
    2Gimnasia L.P. 242206:248
    3Sarmiento Junin 242116:517
    4San Martin S.J. 242026:336
    5Talleres Cordoba 242024:316
    6Deportivo Riestra 242024:406
    7Rosario Central 242024:6-26
    8River Plate 241215:325
    9Instituto 241214:405
    10Independiente 241213:305
    11San Lorenzo 241214:5-15
    12Ferro 241126:7-14
    13Platense 241123:7-44
    14Velez Sarsfield 240312:3-13
    15Godoy Cruz 241032:6-43
    16Lanus 241031:5-43

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