Result
2:0
01/02/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Paulista - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | HBO Max |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 0.68 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (257/338) | 82% (359/438) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 0.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.36 | 0.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (257/338) | 82% (359/438) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (28/64) | 57% (37/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (54/98) | 64% (68/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 33% (7/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 0.82 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 57% (4/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.64 | 2.36 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 34', 1 - 0, Ronaldo Alves ⚽,
- 37', Rodrigo Alves 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Mancha ↓, Jhoninha ↑,
- 46', Daniel Amorim ↓, Lucas Duni ↑,
- 46', Pedro Felipe 🟨,
- 53', Jhonny ↓, Yuri Ferraz ↑,
- 53', Pedro Felipe ↓, Thiago Lopes ↑,
- 56', Ze Mario 🟨,
- 66', Mateus Norton ↓, Karl ↑,
- 67', Ze Mario ↓, Caique ↑,
- 71', Diego Mathias ↓, Leo Tocantins ↑,
- 76', Karl 🟨,
- 81', Sillas ↓, Islan ↑,
- 84', Ronaldo Alves ↓, Lucas Cunha ↑,
- 84', Sanchez ↓, Leocovick ↑,
- 86', 2 - 0, Carlao ⚽,
Chances of winning
EC Noroeste
38.7% | Draw
32% | Velo Clube
29.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
EC Noroeste - Velo Clube Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.4 ↑
(2.24) |
2.9 ↓
(2.94) |
3.18 ↓
(3.37) |
7.7%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for EC Noroeste - Velo Clube?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A2 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Noroeste won 1.
- Noroeste has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Velo Clube has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Noroeste may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Noroeste might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Noroeste won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Noroeste won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has EC Noroeste won against Velo Clube?
EC Noroeste has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Velo Clube won against EC Noroeste?
Velo Clube has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between EC Noroeste - Velo Clube were as follows:
15.01.2025
Velo Clube
-
EC Noroeste
0:2
13.04.2024
Velo Clube
-
EC Noroeste
1:1
10.04.2024
EC Noroeste
-
Velo Clube
0:1
07.02.2024
EC Noroeste
-
Velo Clube
0:1
21.03.2023
EC Noroeste
-
Velo Clube
0:0
Latest results of EC Noroeste
Latest results of Velo Clube
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Novorizontino ✔ | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:7 | 9 | 16 |
| 2 | Palmeiras ✔ | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 15 |
| 3 | Bragantino | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 11:2 | 9 | 13 |
| 4 | Portuguesa | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9:6 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | Corinthians | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Guarani | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Botafogo SP | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 11 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 | Capivariano | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 10 |
| 10 | Santos | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 | Mirassol | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:6 | 3 | 8 |
| 12 | Sao Bernardo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 | Primavera | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | Noroeste | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
| 15 | Velo Clube | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2:7 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 | Ponte Preta ✔ | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2:12 | -10 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Paulista (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation ~ Paulista A2
Clinched Spots for Teams
Novorizontino is Qualified for Paulista (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Palmeiras is Qualified for Paulista (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Ponte Preta is Relegated to Paulista A2
