Result
2:2
04/02/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Paulista - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Brazil | Brasileirao Play, Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, UOL Play, Zapping |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 2.59 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 12 | 23 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 35 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 16 | 26 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (136/223) | 77% (281/367) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 50% (40/80) | 58% (64/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 15% (4/27) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 71% (5/7) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 61 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 27', Eduardo Biazus 🟨,
- 29', Sillas 🟨,
- 29', Taua 🟨,
- 30', Daniel Amorim (Pen),
- 30', 1 - 0, Jefferson Nem ⚽,
- 39', 1 - 1, Renan ⚽,
- 45+2', Leo Baiano 🟨,
- 45+2', Yuri Ferraz 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Taua ↓, Fernando Henrique ↑,
- 52', 2 - 1, Sillas ⚽, Daniel Amorim (A),
- 54', Leo Baiano ↓, Carlos Manuel ↑,
- 61', Sillas ↓, Felipinho ↑,
- 64', Hudson ↓, Rildo ↑,
- 71', 2 - 2, Renan ⚽, Lucas Hipolito (A),
- 80', Jaja ↓, Matheus Nunes ↑,
- 80', Leo Campos ↓, Rennan Siqueira ↑,
- 80', Lucas Hipolito ↓, Pedro Henrique ↑,
- 80', Pedro Favela ↓, Vinicius Leite ↑,
- 90+1', Cristiano ↓, Henrique Almeida ↑,
Chances of winning
Velo Clube 38.7% | Draw 32% | Portuguesa 29.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Velo Clube has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Portuguesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Portuguesa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Velo Clube than the current prediction. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portuguesa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Velo Clube - Portuguesa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.39 ↓ (2.7) |
2.89 ↓ (2.96) |
3.16 ↑ (2.62) |
8.1% (8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Velo Clube - Portuguesa?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Velo Clube will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Portuguesa will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Velo Clube is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Portuguesa is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Velo Clube won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:2 (average 0:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Velo Clube won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1
How many head-to-head matches has Velo Clube won against Portuguesa?
Velo Clube has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Portuguesa won against Velo Clube?
Portuguesa has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Velo Clube - Portuguesa were as follows:
Latest results of Velo Clube
Latest results of Portuguesa
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Sao Bernardo | Palmeiras | 0 : 3 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | Novorizontino | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Corinthians | Mirassol | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Santos | Bragantino | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Palmeiras | Sao Paulo | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Corinthians | Santos | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Palmeiras | Corinthians | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |