Result
2:0
17/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Paulista - Round 3
- Referee: Rodrigues F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | HBO Max |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.23 | 1.28 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (280/350) | 79% (315/398) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.23 | 1.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.42 | 0.97 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (280/350) | 79% (315/398) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (20/45) | 54% (42/78) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (57/95) | 56% (42/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 6% (1/17) | 19% (5/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.52 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 35 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (17/22) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 42 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.97 | 2.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', 1 - 0, Rene (Penalty Awarded),
- 31', Guilherme Portuga 🟨,
- 42', Ynaia 🟨,
- 42', Ze Vitor 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Ze Mario ↓, Caique ↑,
- 46', Joao Lucas ↓, Karl ↑,
- 60', Guilherme Portuga ↓, Matheus Cecchini ↑,
- 61', Ze Vitor ↓, Hudson ↑,
- 63', Daniel Amorim ↓, Jhoninha ↑,
- 70', Ewerthon ↓, Igor Torres ↑,
- 71', Ynaia ↓, Rodrigo Alves ↑,
- 71', Rodrigo ↓, Mateus Norton ↑,
- 71', Joao Vitor ↓, Gustavo Sciencia ↑,
- 72', Igor Torres 🟨,
- 81', Gabriel Pires ↓, Eric Botteghin ↑,
- 83', Gustavo Sciencia 🟨,
- 90+6', 2 - 0, Maceio ⚽,
Chances of winning
Portuguesa
46.4% | Draw
31.8% | Velo Clube
21.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portuguesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Velo Clube has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
Portuguesa - Velo Clube Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2 ↑
(1.95) |
2.9
(2.9) |
4.23 ↑
(3.75) |
8.1%
(12.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Portuguesa - Velo Clube?
Users Predictions:
Portuguesa will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Portuguesa will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Portuguesa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Portuguesa is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Portuguesa: Lucas Hipolito
(Inactive)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Portuguesa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Portuguesa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Portuguesa won against Velo Clube?
Portuguesa has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Velo Clube won against Portuguesa?
Velo Clube has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Portuguesa - Velo Clube were as follows:
04.02.2025
Velo Clube
-
Portuguesa
2:2
Latest results of Portuguesa
Latest results of Velo Clube
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Santos (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Portuguesa (4) | Corinthians (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Palmeiras (2) | Capivariano (7) | 4 : 0 |
| 4 | Bragantino (3) | Sao Paulo (6) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Corinthians (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Palmeiras (2) | Sao Paulo (6) | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Palmeiras (2) | |
