Venados de Mazatlán vs Rayos de Hermosillo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
76:83
04/03/2026 at 22:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CIBACOPA

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
7561
Field goals made
3030
Field goals %
40%49.18%
2-point field goals attempts
4940
2-point field goals made
2624
2-point field goals %
53.06%60%
3-point field goals attempts
2621
3-point field goals made
46
3-point field goals %
15.38%28.57%
Free throws attempts
1827
Free throws made
1217
Free throws %
66.7%63%
Offensive rebounds
1013
Defensive rebounds
2338
Total rebounds
3351
Assists
914
Blocks
22
Turnovers
1021
Steals
124
Personal fouls
2421

Chances of winning


Venados de Mazatlán
69.3%
Rayos de Hermosillo
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.6% 41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2% 48.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Venados de Mazatlán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Venados de Mazatlán's performance.
  • Rayos de Hermosillo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rayos de Hermosillo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venados de Mazatlán than the current prediction. (-18.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Venados de Mazatlán that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayos de Hermosillo than the current prediction. (+18.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rayos de Hermosillo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Venados de Mazatlán - Rayos de Hermosillo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.33
    (1.54)

    3
    (2.18)
    8.7%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 172.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venados de Mazatlán won 4.
    • Venados de Mazatlán is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Rayos de Hermosillo's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Venados de Mazatlán may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Rayos de Hermosillo has had a series of home games.
    • Venados de Mazatlán will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Venados de Mazatlán will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Venados de Mazatlán won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1457:1531. (average 85.7:90.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Venados de Mazatlán won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 785:811. (average 87.2:90.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Venados de Mazatlán - Rayos de Hermosillo were as follows:
    03.03.2026 Venados de Mazatlán - Rayos de Hermosillo 93:87
    03.05.2025 Rayos de Hermosillo - Venados de Mazatlán 95:97
    02.05.2025 Rayos de Hermosillo - Venados de Mazatlán 83:73
    29.03.2025 Venados de Mazatlán - Rayos de Hermosillo 88:78
    28.03.2025 Venados de Mazatlán - Rayos de Hermosillo 85:71
    Latest results of Rayos de Hermosillo
    Mexican CIBACOPA Table
    2026
    PlWLPCT
    1Astros660550:4771.000
    2Zonkeys de Tijuana151051295:12450.667
    3Halcones de Obregon14951296:12290.643
    4Toros Laguna13851144:10840.615
    5Frayles de Guasave14861328:13100.571
    6Pioneros de Los Mochis14771305:13140.500
    7Rayos de Hermosillo12661022:10650.500
    8Angeles CDMX14681284:12620.429
    9Ostioneros de Guaymas13491140:11930.308
    10Caballeros de Culiacan144101277:13810.286
    11Venados de Mazatlan154111283:13640.267

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