Rayos de Hermosillo vs Venados de Mazatlán – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball Mexican CIBACOPA Rayos de Hermosillo - Venados de Mazatlán
Result
95:97
03/05/2025 at 23:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CIBACOPA

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
8169
Field Goals Made
3730
Field Goals %
45.7%43.5%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
6039
2-Point Field Goals Made
3118
2-Point Field Goals %
51.7%46.2%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
2130
3-Point Field Goals Made
612
3-Point Field Goals %
28.6%40%
Free Throws Attempted
1833
Free Throws Made
1525
Free Throws %
83.3%75.8%
Offensive Rebounds
1715
Defensive Rebounds
2528
Total Rebounds
4243
Assists
2418
Blocks
63
Turnovers
712
Steals
76
Personal Fouls
1915

Chances of winning


Rayos de Hermosillo
67.3%
Venados de Mazatlán
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.8% 35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7% 33.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rayos de Hermosillo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Venados de Mazatlán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayos de Hermosillo than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venados de Mazatlán than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Rayos de Hermosillo - Venados de Mazatlán Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.4)

    2.81
    (2.58)
    8.8%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 166.25
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rayos de Hermosillo won 3.
    • In recent matches, Rayos de Hermosillo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Venados de Mazatlán is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Rayos de Hermosillo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Rayos de Hermosillo will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Rayos de Hermosillo won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1349:1267. (average 89.9:84.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rayos de Hermosillo won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 625:575. (average 89.3:82.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rayos de Hermosillo - Venados de Mazatlán were as follows:
    02.05.2025 Rayos de Hermosillo - Venados de Mazatlán 83:73
    29.03.2025 Venados de Mazatlán - Rayos de Hermosillo 88:78
    28.03.2025 Venados de Mazatlán - Rayos de Hermosillo 85:71
    12.05.2024 Rayos de Hermosillo - Venados de Mazatlán 88:71
    11.05.2024 Rayos de Hermosillo - Venados de Mazatlán 74:65
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1AstrosCaballeros de Culiacan4 : 0
    2Halcones de ObregonOstioneros de Guaymas4 : 0
    3Angeles CDMXRayos de Hermosillo4 : 1
    4Zonkeys de TijuanaPioneros de Los Mochis4 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1AstrosHalcones de Obregon4 : 2
    2Angeles CDMXZonkeys de Tijuana3 : 4

    Final
    1AstrosZonkeys de Tijuana4 : 3