Saarbrücken vs Verl – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:4
18/10/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 3. Liga - Round 11
  • Referee: Kernchen L. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 7
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
89
Shots on target
47
Corner Kicks
97
Yellow Cards
20
Total shots
89
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
42
Corner Kicks
97
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
814
Throw-ins
1814
Fouls
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Arweiler J. , Taz B. (A),
  • 15', 1 - 1, Rabihic K. , Pick F. (A),
  • 21', 1 - 2, Arweiler J. , Taz B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Otto Y. , Stark J. ,
  • 46', Civeja T. , Elongo-Yombo R. ,
  • 46', Schumacher T. , Caliskaner K. ,
  • 54', 1 - 3, Taz B. , Gayret T. (A),
  • 58', 2 - 3, Caliskaner K. ,
  • 64', Arweiler J. , Besio A. ,
  • 78', 2 - 4, Gayret T. , Taz B. (A),
  • 80', Rabihic K. , Neudecker R. ,
  • 80', Eze J. , Wessig F. ,
  • 80', Pick F. , Baumann D. ,
  • 80', Taz B. , Onuoha C. ,
  • 83', Wilhelm L. 🟨,
  • 88', Mhamdi O. , Knost T. ,
  • 90', Brunker K. , Wollschlager L. ,
  • 90+2', Baumann D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Saarbrücken
46.2%
Draw
24.4%
Verl
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.8% 23.4% 22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3% 23.2% 22.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Saarbrücken has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Saarbrücken's form might have worsened.
  • Verl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Verl's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saarbrücken than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Saarbrücken, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Verl than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Verl, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Saarbrücken - Verl Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.01
    (1.72)
    3.82
    (3.95)
    3.25
    (4.05)
    6.7%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Saarbrücken - Verl?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Saarbrücken will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Verl will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Saarbrücken: 21.7%78.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Saarbrücken (votes: 1 - 25%). Verl (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saarbrücken won 2.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Saarbrücken could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Saarbrücken won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 1.9:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Saarbrücken won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 2.2:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Saarbrücken - Verl were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Saarbrücken - Verl 4:3
    06.12.2024 Verl - Saarbrücken 1:1
    23.01.2024 Verl - Saarbrücken 0:0
    23.08.2023 Saarbrücken - Verl 4:3
    28.01.2023 Verl - Saarbrücken 2:0
    Latest results of Saarbrücken
    Latest results of Verl
    04.10.2025 Schweinfurt - Verl 1:2
    01.10.2025 Verl - Ingolstadt 2:2
    28.09.2025 Jahn Regensburg - Verl 2:0
    21.09.2025 Verl - Energie Cottbus 2:1
    16.09.2025 Verl - Alemannia Aachen 2:1
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1VfL Osnabruck27157543:251852
    2Cottbus27157553:391452
    3Duisburg26138547:331447
    4Verl27129661:402145
    5Munich 186027136844:37745
    6Wehen26135840:291144
    7Hansa Rostock261110544:301443
    8RW Essen261110550:44643
    9Mannheim261231143:47-439
    10Viktoria Koln271151138:35338
    11Ingolstadt2699845:36936
    12Hoffenheim II271051251:48335
    13Regensburg271051236:40-435
    14Stuttgart II271051233:44-1135
    15Alemannia Aachen26951243:48-532
    16Saarbrucken26611935:38-329
    17Aue27591330:45-1524
    18Ulm27731735:55-2024
    19TSV Havelse26481436:56-2020
    20Schweinfurt26322123:61-3811

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