Veronika Kudermetova vs Marta Kostyuk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
27/04/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
12
Double Faults
85
1st Serve Percentage
55%51%
1st Serve Points Won
62% (38/61)68% (28/41)
2nd Serve Points Won
40% (20/50)50% (20/40)
Break Points Saved
53% (8/15)56% (5/9)
1st Return Points Won
32% (13/41)41% (25/61)
2nd Return Points Won
50% (20/40)60% (30/50)
Break Points Converted
44% (4/9)47% (7/15)
Service Points Won
51% (57/112)59% (48/81)
Return Points Won
41% (33/81)49% (55/112)
Total Points Won
47% (90/193)53% (103/193)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
46% (6/13)69% (9/13)
Return Games Won
31% (4/13)54% (7/13)
Total Games Won
38% (10/26)62% (16/26)

Chances of winning


Veronika Kudermetova
46.7%
Marta Kostyuk
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.6% 47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1% 46.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Veronika Kudermetova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Veronika Kudermetova's form might have worsened.
  • Marta Kostyuk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marta Kostyuk's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Veronika Kudermetova than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Veronika Kudermetova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marta Kostyuk than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marta Kostyuk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Veronika Kudermetova - Marta Kostyuk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (1.8)

    1.78
    (2)
    5%
    (5.6%)
    What is the prediction for Veronika Kudermetova - Marta Kostyuk?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Kudermetova will win (votes: 5 - 21.7%). Kostyuk will win (votes: 18 - 78.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kostyuk: 61.5%95.1%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Kudermetova (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Kostyuk (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Kudermetova is ranked WTA: 52. Kostyuk is ranked WTA: 36.
    • Two players are playing changeable.
    • Kostyuk could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Kudermetova won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0 (average 2:0).
    Latest results of Veronika Kudermetova
    Latest results of Marta Kostyuk
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bye
    2Stearns P.Boisson L.2 : 0
    3Uchijima M.Starodubtseva Y. (LL)1 : 2
    4ByeCristian J. (29)
    5Bouzkova M. (23)Bye
    6Kalinina A. (Q)Rakhimova K.2 : 1
    7Zakharova A.Osorio C.0 : 2
    8ByeOsaka N. (14)
    9Bencic B. (11)Bye
    10Marcinko P.Jimenez Kasintseva V. (WC)2 : 0
    11Haddad Maia B.Bouzas Maneiro J.0 : 2
    12ByeShnaider D. (18)
    13Baptiste H. (30)Bye
    14Quevedo K. (WC)Williams V. (WC)2 : 0
    15Siegemund L.Begu I.2 : 0
    16ByePaolini J. (8)
    17Swiatek I. (4)Bye
    18Snigur D. (Q)Kasatkina D.2 : 1
    19Parks A. (Q)Cocciaretto E.2 : 0
    20ByeLi A. (31)
    21Fernandez L. (24)Bye
    22Badosa P. (WC)Grabher J.1 : 2
    23Montgomery R. (WC)Linette M.0 : 2
    24ByeJovic I. (15)
    25Andreeva M. (9)Bye
    26Udvardy P. (LL)Birrell K.2 : 1
    27Galfi D. (Q)Tomljanovic A.2 : 0
    28ByeKalinskaya A. (22)
    29Wang Xin. (28)Bye
    30Maria T.Samson L. (WC)0 : 2
    31Bondar A.Golubic V.2 : 0
    32ByeSvitolina E. (7)
    33Pegula J. (5)Bye
    34Townsend T.Boulter K.0 : 2
    35Putintseva Y.Valentova T.2 : 1
    36ByeKostyuk M. (26)
    37Blinkova A. (Alt)Bye
    38Kalieva E. (Q)Siniakova K.0 : 2
    39McNally C.Volynets K. (Q)2 : 0
    40ByeMboko V. (10)
    41Noskova L. (13)Bye
    42Gibson T.Arango E. (WC)0 : 2
    43Tjen J.Charaeva A. (Q)2 : 0
    44ByeSamsonova L. (20)
    45Cirstea S. (25)Bye
    46Jacquemot E.Grant T. C. (Q)0 : 2
    47Selekhmeteva O.Jeanjean L. (Q)0 : 2
    48ByeGauff C. (3)
    49Frech M. (34)Bye
    50Yastremska D.Sierra S.0 : 2
    51Sonmez Z.Martinez Cirez C. (WC)2 : 0
    52ByeBucsa C. (27)
    53Mertens E. (19)Bye
    54Pavlyuchenkova A. (Q)Eala A.0 : 2
    55Pliskova Ka.Kraus S. (Q)2 : 1
    56ByeSakkari M. (33)
    57Potapova A. (LL)Bye
    58Zhang S.Lys E.2 : 0
    59Oliynykova O.Waltert S. (Q)0 : 2
    60ByeOstapenko J. (21)
    61Zheng Q. (32)Bye
    62Krueger A.Kenin S.0 : 2
    63Ruse G.Ruzic A.2 : 1
    64ByeRybakina E. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Stearns P.2 : 0
    2Starodubtseva Y.Cristian J. (29)1 : 2
    3Bouzkova M. (23)Kalinina A.0 : 2
    4Osorio C.Osaka N. (14)0 : 2
    5Bencic B. (11)Marcinko P.2 : 0
    6Bouzas Maneiro J.Shnaider D. (18)1 : 2
    7Baptiste H. (30)Quevedo K.2 : 0
    8Siegemund L.Paolini J. (8)1 : 2
    9Swiatek I. (4)Snigur D.2 : 0
    10Parks A.Li A. (31)1 : 2
    11Fernandez L. (24)Grabher J.2 : 0
    12Linette M.Jovic I. (15)0 : 2
    13Andreeva M. (9)Udvardy P.2 : 0
    14Galfi D.Kalinskaya A. (22)2 : 0
    15Wang Xin. (28)Samson L.1 : 2
    16Bondar A.Svitolina E. (7)2 : 0
    17Pegula J. (5)Boulter K.2 : 0
    18Putintseva Y.Kostyuk M. (26)0 : 2
    19Blinkova A.Siniakova K.0 : 2
    20McNally C.Mboko V. (10)2 : 0
    21Noskova L. (13)Arango E.2 : 0
    22Tjen J.Samsonova L. (20)0 : 2
    23Cirstea S. (25)Grant T. C.2 : 0
    24Jeanjean L.Gauff C. (3)0 : 2
    25Frech M. (34)Sierra S.0 : 2
    26Sonmez Z.Bucsa C. (27)2 : 1
    27Mertens E. (19)Eala A.2 : 0
    28Pliskova Ka.Sakkari M. (33)2 : 0
    29Potapova A.Zhang S.2 : 0
    30Waltert S.Ostapenko J. (21)0 : 2
    31Zheng Q. (32)Kenin S.2 : 1
    32Ruse G.Rybakina E. (2)1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Cristian J. (29)2 : 0
    2Kalinina A.Osaka N. (14)0 : 2
    3Bencic B. (11)Shnaider D. (18)2 : 0
    4Baptiste H. (30)Paolini J. (8)2 : 0
    5Swiatek I. (RET.) (4)Li A. (31)1 : 1
    6Fernandez L. (24)Jovic I. (15)2 : 1
    7Andreeva M. (9)Galfi D.2 : 0
    8Samson L.Bondar A.0 : 2
    9Pegula J. (5)Kostyuk M. (26)0 : 2
    10Siniakova K.McNally C.1 : 2
    11Noskova L. (WO.) (13)Samsonova L. (20)
    12Cirstea S. (25)Gauff C. (3)1 : 2
    13Sierra S.Sonmez Z.2 : 1
    14Mertens E. (19)Pliskova Ka.1 : 2
    15Potapova A.Ostapenko J. (21)
    16Zheng Q. (32)Rybakina E. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Osaka N. (14)
    2Bencic B. (11)Baptiste H. (30)
    3Li A. (31)Fernandez L. (24)
    4Andreeva M. (9)Bondar A.
    5Kostyuk M. (26)McNally C.
    6Noskova L. (13)Gauff C. (3)
    7Sierra S.Pliskova Ka.
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2