Result
3:1
24/05/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Besta deild karla - Round 8
- Referee: Jonasson H. M. (Ice)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Iceland | Stod 2 Sport |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 1.08 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (362/457) | 85% (374/442) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 1.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.42 | 0.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (362/457) | 85% (374/442) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (27/68) | 49% (25/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (63/104) | 64% (64/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 7% (1/14) | 33% (6/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.90 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.49 | 2.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.54 | -0.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Nokkvason G. ⚽,
- 18', Eggertsson O. 🟨,
- 28', Tufegdzic V. 🟨,
- 39', Gbadamosi F. 🟨,
- 44', Hauksson G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Kjartansson K. 🟨,
- 48', 1 - 1, Hauksson G. ⚽, Montiel D. (A),
- 60', Fridjonsson S. ↓, Matthiasson D. ↑,
- 60', Kjartansson K. ↓, Gunnarsson J. ↑,
- 75', 2 - 1, Jonsson D. ⚽,
- 76', Hauksson G. ↓, Songani S. ↑,
- 76', Tufegdzic V. ↓, Fall S. ↑,
- 83', Bjarnason A. ↓, Barkarson J. H. ↑,
- 83', Nokkvason G. ↓, Hauksson A. ↑,
- 89', 3 - 1, Jonsson D. ⚽, Songani S. (A),
- 90', Jonsson S. ↓, Birgisson A. ↑,
- 90', Phete T. ↓, Gardarsson E. ↑,
- 90+4', Kristjansson G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vestri
35.3% | Draw
27% | Stjarnan
37.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vestri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vestri's performance.Stjarnan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stjarnan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vestri than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vestri that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stjarnan than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stjarnan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Vestri - Stjarnan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.65 ↓
(3.21) |
3.47 ↓
(3.59) |
2.48 ↑
(2.09) |
7%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Vestri - Stjarnan?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Vestri will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Stjarnan will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vestri won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1.4:2.4).
- Including home match between the teams, Vestri won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Vestri won against Stjarnan?
Vestri has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stjarnan won against Vestri?
Stjarnan has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vestri - Stjarnan were as follows:
18.01.2025
Stjarnan
-
Vestri
6:1
15.09.2024
Stjarnan
-
Vestri
1:0
02.06.2024
Vestri
-
Stjarnan
4:2
Latest results of Stjarnan
Icelandic Besta-deild karla Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Valur | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 42:21 | 21 | 33 |
| 2 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 29:18 | 11 | 31 |
| 3 | Breidablik | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 28:21 | 7 | 31 |
| 4 | Fram | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 25:21 | 4 | 24 |
| 5 | Stjarnan | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 29:27 | 2 | 24 |
| 6 | Vestri | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 15:14 | 1 | 22 |
| 7 | Vestmannaeyjar | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16:24 | -8 | 21 |
| 8 | Afturelding | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:24 | -5 | 19 |
| 9 | Hafnarfjordur | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 26:23 | 3 | 18 |
| 10 | KA Akureyri | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 16:31 | -15 | 18 |
| 11 | KR Reykjavik | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 37:40 | -3 | 17 |
| 12 | Akranes | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 16:34 | -18 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )
Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )
