Viborg vs Fredericia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Danish Superliga Viborg - Fredericia
Result
2:1
28/09/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Superliga - Round 10
  • Referee: Kehlet J. (Den)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
swedenSwedenViaplay

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.470.40
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
215
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
84
Passes
86% (413/479)80% (316/394)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.470.40
xG on target (xGOT)
1.831.07
Total shots
215
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
102
Blocked Shots
50
Shots inside the Box
153
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
3813
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
146
Passes
86% (413/479)80% (316/394)
Long passes
60% (24/40)48% (39/81)
Passes in final third
75% (112/150)64% (58/90)
Crosses
27% (6/22)6% (1/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.400.42
Throw-ins
2717
Fouls
614
Tackles
70% (14/20)88% (15/17)
Duels won
5637
Clearances
2828
Interceptions
1012
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.071.83
Goals prevented
0.07-0.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Marcussen G. ,
  • 22', 1 - 1, Freriks T. , Nouck C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Madsen W. , Nygaard A. ,
  • 46', Dahl A. , Johannesen S. ,
  • 62', Nouck C. , Njoh Y. ,
  • 63', Hoedemakers M. , Beck A. ,
  • 74', Freriks T. , Hanza D. ,
  • 74', Brahimi B. , Jalal S. ,
  • 74', Crone S. , Opondo M. ,
  • 74', Pyndt A. , Pedersen K. ,
  • 87', Bidstrup H. , Mbom J. ,
  • 87', Mucolli A. , Egelund P. ,
  • 89', 2 - 1, Njoh Y. , Jorgensen T. (A),

Chances of winning


Viborg
55.9%
Draw
24.2%
Fredericia
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.4% 21.6% 19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7% 22.4% 18.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Viborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • Fredericia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viborg than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Viborg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fredericia than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Viborg - Fredericia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.59)
    3.88
    (4.37)
    4.87
    (4.98)
    4.2%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Viborg - Fredericia?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Viborg will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Superliga (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Superliga (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Viborg won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Viborg is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Viborg: Bundgaard O. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fredericia: Opondo M. (Inactive) Simonsen E. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Viborg won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 43:26. (average 2.2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Viborg won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 28:17. (average 2.3:1.4).
    Latest results of Viborg
    24.09.2025 Oksbøl - Viborg 0:6
    20.09.2025 Midtjylland - Viborg 2:0
    14.09.2025 Viborg - AGF Aarhus 1:2
    04.09.2025 Horsens - Viborg 0:1
    Latest results of Fredericia
    24.09.2025 Thisted - Fredericia 1:2
    19.09.2025 OB Odense - Fredericia 3:2
    03.09.2025 Tune - Fredericia 2:4
    31.08.2025 AGF Aarhus - Fredericia 4:1
    Danish Superliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Aarhus1182123:101326
    2Midtjylland1164126:141222
    3FC Copenhagen1163225:151021
    4Brondby1170418:11721
    5Randers FC1151514:16-216
    6Nordsjaelland1150616:19-315
    7Sonderjyske1133516:19-312
    8Viborg1140714:18-412
    9Odense1133518:28-1012
    10Fredericia1132616:22-611
    11Silkeborg1132616:24-811
    12Vejle1114611:17-67

          Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: )
          Superliga (Relegation Group: )