Result
2:1
14/01/2026 at 22:55 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- WTA - SINGLES: Adelaide, hard - Quarter-finals
Chances of winning
Victoria Mboko
42% | Madison Keys
58% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Victoria Mboko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Victoria Mboko's performance.Madison Keys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Madison Keys might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Victoria Mboko than the current prediction. (-12%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Victoria Mboko that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Madison Keys than the current prediction. (+12%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Madison Keys could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Victoria Mboko - Madison Keys Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.26 ↓
(3.05) |
|
1.66 ↑
(1.31) |
4.5%
(9.1%) | |
What is the prediction for Victoria Mboko - Madison Keys?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Mboko will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Keys will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mboko: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Keys (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 21.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +4.5 Games - Keys (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5 Sets - Keys (2.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Keys (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Mboko is ranked WTA: 17. Keys is ranked WTA: 9.
- Right now, both players are showing solid form.
- Keys may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Keys might have a minor edge in this game.
- We predict that Keys will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Victoria Mboko won against Madison Keys?
Victoria Mboko has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Madison Keys won against Victoria Mboko?
Madison Keys has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Victoria Mboko - Madison Keys were as follows:
Latest results of Victoria Mboko
Latest results of Madison Keys
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Andreeva M. (3) | Bye | |
| 2 | Badosa P. | Bouzkova M. (LL) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Joint M. | Kenin S. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Tomljanovic A. (WC) | Tauson C. (RET.) (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 5 | Shnaider D. (9) | Fernandez L. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Siniakova K. (LL) | Yastremska D. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Putintseva Y. (Q) | Galfi D. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Jones E. (WC) | Navarro E. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Samsonova L. (7) | Vondrousova M. | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Birrell K. (WC) | Potapova A. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Kasatkina D. | Sakkari M. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Cristian J. (Q) | Alexandrova E. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Mboko V. (8) | Haddad Maia B. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Kalinskaya A. | Ruse G. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Ostapenko J. (RET.) | Valentova T. (Q) | 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | Keys M. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Andreeva M. (3) | Bouzkova M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Joint M. | Tomljanovic A. (RET.) | 0 : 0 |
| 3 | Shnaider D. (9) | Siniakova K. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Putintseva Y. | Navarro E. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Vondrousova M. | Birrell K. (WO.) | |
| 6 | Kasatkina D. | Cristian J. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Mboko V. (8) | Kalinskaya A. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Valentova T. | Keys M. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Andreeva M. (3) | Joint M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Shnaider D. (9) | Navarro E. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Birrell K. | Cristian J. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Mboko V. (8) | Keys M. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Andreeva M. (3) | Shnaider D. (9) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Birrell K. | Mboko V. (8) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Andreeva M. (3) | Mboko V. (8) | 2 : 0 |
