Victoria Mboko vs Paula Badosa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
21/03/2025 at 12:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/32-finals

Match Stats

Aces
45
Double Faults
87
1st Serve Percentage
65%61%
1st Serve Points Won
67% (49/73)72% (42/58)
2nd Serve Points Won
44% (17/39)43% (16/37)
Break Points Saved
56% (5/9)50% (5/10)
1st Return Points Won
28% (16/58)34% (25/73)
2nd Return Points Won
57% (21/37)56% (22/39)
Break Points Converted
50% (5/10)44% (4/9)
Service Points Won
58% (65/112)61% (58/95)
Return Points Won
39% (37/95)42% (47/112)
Total Points Won
49% (102/207)51% (105/207)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
75% (12/16)67% (10/15)
Return Games Won
33% (5/15)25% (4/16)
Total Games Won
55% (17/31)45% (14/31)

Chances of winning


Victoria Mboko
33.4%
Paula Badosa
66.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.5% 72.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8% 74.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Victoria Mboko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Victoria Mboko's performance.
  • Paula Badosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paula Badosa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Victoria Mboko than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Victoria Mboko that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paula Badosa than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paula Badosa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Victoria Mboko - Paula Badosa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.89
    (3.46)

    1.42
    (1.31)
    5.2%
    (5.2%)
    What is the prediction for Victoria Mboko - Paula Badosa?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Mboko will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Badosa will win (votes: 8 - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Badosa: 55.2%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Mboko is ranked WTA: 162. Badosa is ranked WTA: 11.
    • Mboko in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Recent matches Badosa is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Mboko could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Badosa will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Our prediction for today's Mboko to win the game is with odds 2.64.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Paula Badosa
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bye
    2Li A.(Q/LL)
    3McNally C.(Q/LL)
    4ByeWang Xin. (29)
    5Zheng Q. (23)Bye
    6Brady J. (WC)Stephens S. (WC)
    7Ruse G.Ruzic A.
    8ByeKeys M. (15)
    9Svitolina E. (9)Bye
    10Jones E. (WC)(Q/LL)
    11Baptiste H.Maria T.
    12ByeSamsonova L. (19)
    13Ostapenko J. (25)Bye
    14Yastremska D.Krueger A. (WC)
    15(Q/LL)Townsend T. (WC)
    16ByePaolini J. (7)
    17Rybakina E. (3)Bye
    18Tjen J.Putintseva Y.
    19Sierra S.(Q/LL)
    20ByeKostyuk M. (27)
    21Jovic I. (18)Bye
    22Badosa P.(Q/LL)
    23Bejlek S.(Q/LL)
    24ByeOsaka N. (16)
    25Alexandrova E. (11)Bye
    26Tagger L. (WC)(Q/LL)
    27(Q/LL)Stearns P.
    28ByeCristian J. (34)
    29Fernandez L. (26)Bye
    30Arango E.Selekhmeteva O.
    31Jones F.Williams V. (WC)
    32ByePegula J. (5)
    33Anisimova A. (6)Bye
    34Waltert S.Tomljanovic A.0 : 0
    35Lys E.(Q/LL)
    36ByeBucsa C. (30)
    37Shnaider D. (20)Bye
    38Valentova T.(Q/LL)
    39Sonmez Z.Haddad Maia B.
    40ByeBencic B. (12)
    41Noskova L. (14)Bye
    42Zhang S.Cirstea S.
    43Galfi D. (Alt)(Q/LL)
    44ByeMertens E. (21)
    45Sakkari M. (33)Bye
    46Parks A.(Q/LL)
    47(Q/LL)Cocciaretto E.
    48ByeGauff C. (4)
    49Andreeva M. (8)Bye
    50Kessler M.Frech M.
    51Vidmanova D. (WC)Jacquemot E.0 : 0
    52ByeBouzkova M. (32)
    53Kalinskaya A. (22)Bye
    54(Q/LL)Bondar A.
    55Kenin S.Blinkova A.
    56ByeMboko V. (10)
    57Muchova K. (13)Bye
    58Siniakova K.Osorio C.
    59Boulter K.Bouzas Maneiro J.
    60ByeTauson C. (17)
    61Eala A. (31)Bye
    62Siegemund L.Marcinko P.
    63Linette M.Gracheva V.0 : 0
    64ByeSwiatek I. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)TBD #2
    2TBD #3Wang Xin. (29)
    3Zheng Q. (23)TBD #6
    4TBD #7Keys M. (15)
    5Svitolina E. (9)TBD #10
    6TBD #11Samsonova L. (19)
    7Ostapenko J. (25)TBD #14
    8TBD #15Paolini J. (7)
    9Rybakina E. (3)TBD #18
    10TBD #19Kostyuk M. (27)
    11Jovic I. (18)TBD #22
    12TBD #23Osaka N. (16)
    13Alexandrova E. (11)TBD #26
    14TBD #27Cristian J. (34)
    15Fernandez L. (26)TBD #30
    16TBD #31Pegula J. (5)
    17Anisimova A. (6)TBD #34
    18TBD #35Bucsa C. (30)
    19Shnaider D. (20)TBD #38
    20TBD #39Bencic B. (12)
    21Noskova L. (14)TBD #42
    22TBD #43Mertens E. (21)
    23Sakkari M. (33)TBD #46
    24TBD #47Gauff C. (4)
    25Andreeva M. (8)TBD #50
    26TBD #51Bouzkova M. (32)
    27Kalinskaya A. (22)TBD #54
    28TBD #55Mboko V. (10)
    29Muchova K. (13)TBD #58
    30TBD #59Tauson C. (17)
    31Eala A. (31)TBD #62
    32TBD #63Swiatek I. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13TBD #25TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31TBD #32

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2