Result
2:0
07/12/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group F - Round 15
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Caprari N. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 83', 2 - 0, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Vigor Senigallia
53.1% | Draw
26.1% | Castelfidardo
20.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vigor Senigallia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vigor Senigallia's performance.Castelfidardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Castelfidardo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vigor Senigallia than the current prediction. (-10.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vigor Senigallia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castelfidardo than the current prediction. (+8.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Castelfidardo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Vigor Senigallia - Castelfidardo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↓
(1.94) |
3.47 ↓
(3.5) |
4.37 ↑
(3.42) |
10.4%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
- In recent matches, Vigor Senigallia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Castelfidardo is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Vigor Senigallia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Vigor Senigallia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vigor Senigallia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Vigor Senigallia won against Castelfidardo?
Vigor Senigallia has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Castelfidardo won against Vigor Senigallia?
Castelfidardo has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vigor Senigallia - Castelfidardo were as follows:
05.01.2025
Vigor Senigallia
-
Castelfidardo
0:2
27.11.2024
Vigor Senigallia
-
Castelfidardo
1:2
Latest results of Vigor Senigallia
Latest results of Castelfidardo
Italian Serie D - Group F Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ostiamare | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 62:20 | 42 | 73 |
| 2 | Ancona | 31 | 22 | 5 | 4 | 55:21 | 34 | 71 |
| 3 | Teramo | 31 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 59:25 | 34 | 69 |
| 4 | Atletico Ascoli | 31 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 53:31 | 22 | 53 |
| 5 | L Aquila | 31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 51:41 | 10 | 49 |
| 6 | Notaresco Calcio | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 39:27 | 12 | 47 |
| 7 | Giulianova | 31 | 10 | 15 | 6 | 35:29 | 6 | 45 |
| 8 | Vigor Senigallia | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 45 |
| 9 | Fossombrone | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 24:30 | -6 | 40 |
| 10 | Unipomezia | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 36:37 | -1 | 38 |
| 11 | Maceratese | 31 | 11 | 4 | 16 | 42:44 | -2 | 37 |
| 12 | Termoli | 30 | 7 | 14 | 9 | 24:26 | -2 | 35 |
| 13 | Sora | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 36:47 | -11 | 32 |
| 14 | Calcio Chieti | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 26:53 | -27 | 26 |
| 15 | Recanatese | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 33:55 | -22 | 25 |
| 16 | San Marino Calcio | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 29:57 | -28 | 25 |
| 17 | Castelfidardo | 31 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 28:57 | -29 | 23 |
| 18 | Sammaurese | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 28:64 | -36 | 19 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )
Relegation
