Result
1:1
15/02/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group F - Round 24
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 17', 1 - 0, Paudice L. ⚽,
- 37', 1 - 1, De Marco C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Notaresco
44.7% | Draw
30.7% | Vigor Senigallia
24.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Notaresco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Vigor Senigallia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notaresco than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vigor Senigallia than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Notaresco - Vigor Senigallia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02 ↓
(2.11) |
2.95 ↓
(3.13) |
3.67 ↑
(3.25) |
10.6%
(10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Notaresco - Vigor Senigallia?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 7)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notaresco won 0.
- Recent form of Notaresco has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Vigor Senigallia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Notaresco could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Notaresco won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:9. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Notaresco won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 3:3).
How many head-to-head matches has Notaresco won against Vigor Senigallia?
Notaresco has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vigor Senigallia won against Notaresco?
Vigor Senigallia has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Notaresco - Vigor Senigallia were as follows:
12.10.2025
Vigor Senigallia
-
Notaresco
0:0
17.04.2025
Notaresco
-
Vigor Senigallia
2:2
08.12.2024
Vigor Senigallia
-
Notaresco
2:1
14.01.2024
Vigor Senigallia
-
Notaresco
0:0
17.09.2023
Notaresco
-
Vigor Senigallia
4:4
Latest results of Notaresco
Latest results of Vigor Senigallia
Italian Serie D - Group F Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ostiamare | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 62:20 | 42 | 73 |
| 2 | Ancona | 31 | 22 | 5 | 4 | 55:21 | 34 | 71 |
| 3 | Teramo | 31 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 59:25 | 34 | 69 |
| 4 | Atletico Ascoli | 31 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 53:31 | 22 | 53 |
| 5 | L Aquila | 31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 51:41 | 10 | 49 |
| 6 | Notaresco Calcio | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 39:27 | 12 | 47 |
| 7 | Giulianova | 31 | 10 | 15 | 6 | 35:29 | 6 | 45 |
| 8 | Vigor Senigallia | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 45 |
| 9 | Fossombrone | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 24:30 | -6 | 40 |
| 10 | Unipomezia | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 36:37 | -1 | 38 |
| 11 | Maceratese | 31 | 11 | 4 | 16 | 42:44 | -2 | 37 |
| 12 | Termoli | 30 | 7 | 14 | 9 | 24:26 | -2 | 35 |
| 13 | Sora | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 36:47 | -11 | 32 |
| 14 | Calcio Chieti | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 26:53 | -27 | 26 |
| 15 | Recanatese | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 33:55 | -22 | 25 |
| 16 | San Marino Calcio | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 29:57 | -28 | 25 |
| 17 | Castelfidardo | 31 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 28:57 | -29 | 23 |
| 18 | Sammaurese | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 28:64 | -36 | 19 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )
Relegation
