Vihiga United vs Mombasa United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
24/01/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)

Chances of winning


Vihiga United
42.3%
Draw
30.2%
Mombasa United
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.6% 29.5% 37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4% 28.8% 37%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vihiga United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vihiga United's performance.
  • Mombasa United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mombasa United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vihiga United than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vihiga United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mombasa United than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mombasa United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Vihiga United - Mombasa United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.14
    (2.71)
    3
    (3)
    3.28
    (2.33)
    10.5%
    (13.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Vihiga United - Mombasa United?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Mombasa United (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Mombasa United (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Vihiga United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Vihiga United
    17.12.2025 Vihiga United - Nairobi City Stars Nairobi City awarded
    13.12.2025 3K - Vihiga United 4:2
    Latest results of Mombasa United
    Kenyan Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Migori25164539:231652
    2Mombasa United25171738:221652
    3MOFA24128433:171644
    4Equity Bank24127532:25743
    5Fortune Sacco25126739:221742
    63K FC24125733:171641
    7Kibera251231020:20039
    8Naivas FC25107823:19437
    9Talanta FC25107825:19637
    10Nzoia Sugar25812525:17836
    11Nairobi City2589824:22233
    12Soy United25961020:19133
    13Gucha Stars24951026:24232
    14Luanda Villa25841318:33-1528
    15Kabati24661215:31-1624
    16Darajani Gogo25661317:28-1124
    17Kisumu All-Stars25661315:33-1824
    18Mwatate United25461519:42-2318
    19Vihiga United25571319:36-1716
    20MCF22451312:23-1114

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Relegation