Result
1:3
03/04/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Mombasa United
71.8% | Draw
18.8% | Vihiga United
9.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mombasa United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Vihiga United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mombasa United than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vihiga United than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Mombasa United - Vihiga United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.27 ↓
(1.32) |
4.85 ↑
(4.6) |
9.68 ↑
(8.7) |
9.8%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 19 in the zone Relegation).
- Mombasa United has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Vihiga United's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Mombasa United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Mombasa United is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mombasa United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Mombasa United won against Vihiga United?
Mombasa United has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vihiga United won against Mombasa United?
Vihiga United has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mombasa United - Vihiga United were as follows:
24.01.2026
Vihiga United
-
Mombasa United
1:3
Latest results of Mombasa United
Latest results of Vihiga United
Kenyan Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Migori ✔ | 31 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 49:25 | 24 | 65 |
| 2 | Mombasa United ✔ | 31 | 21 | 2 | 8 | 46:26 | 20 | 65 |
| 3 | Equity Bank | 31 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 44:26 | 18 | 60 |
| 4 | 3K FC | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 49:21 | 28 | 59 |
| 5 | MOFA | 31 | 15 | 12 | 4 | 46:24 | 22 | 57 |
| 6 | Fortune Sacco | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 50:27 | 23 | 53 |
| 7 | Kibera | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 27:24 | 3 | 50 |
| 8 | Naivas FC | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 37:27 | 10 | 47 |
| 9 | Soy United | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 27:23 | 4 | 43 |
| 10 | Nzoia Sugar | 31 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 30:27 | 3 | 43 |
| 11 | Talanta FC | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 32:31 | 1 | 42 |
| 12 | Nairobi City | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 28:30 | -2 | 37 |
| 13 | Luanda Villa | 31 | 10 | 5 | 16 | 22:39 | -17 | 35 |
| 14 | Gucha Stars | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 27:33 | -6 | 34 |
| 15 | Kisumu All-Stars | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 19:43 | -24 | 30 |
| 16 | Darajani Gogo | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 19:37 | -18 | 28 |
| 17 | Kabati | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 20:43 | -23 | 28 |
| 18 | MCF | 31 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 18:34 | -16 | 24 |
| 19 | Mwatate United | 31 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 26:51 | -25 | 24 |
| 20 | Vihiga United ✔ | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 25:50 | -25 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Migori is Qualified for Premier League
Mombasa United is Qualified for Premier League
Vihiga United is Relegated to
