Result
Nairobi City awarded
17/12/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Vihiga United 28.1% | Draw 36.4% | Nairobi City Stars 35.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vihiga United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Nairobi City Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nairobi City Stars might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vihiga United than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nairobi City Stars than the current prediction. (+9.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nairobi City Stars could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Vihiga United - Nairobi City Stars Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.19 ↓ (3.68) |
2.46 ↓ (3) |
2.52 ↑ (2.02) |
11.6% (10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 8).
- Vihiga United is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Nairobi City has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Nairobi City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- Nairobi City might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Vihiga United won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Vihiga United won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Vihiga United won against Nairobi City Stars?
Vihiga United has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nairobi City Stars won against Vihiga United?
Nairobi City Stars has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vihiga United - Nairobi City Stars were as follows:
Latest results of Vihiga United
Latest results of Nairobi City Stars
Kenyan Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Migori | 28 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 43:24 | 19 | 58 |
| 2 | Mombasa United | 28 | 19 | 1 | 8 | 44:26 | 18 | 58 |
| 3 | Equity Bank | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 39:26 | 13 | 53 |
| 4 | 3K FC | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 41:18 | 23 | 50 |
| 5 | MOFA | 27 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 37:19 | 18 | 49 |
| 6 | Fortune Sacco | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 46:25 | 21 | 46 |
| 7 | Kibera | 28 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 25:23 | 2 | 45 |
| 8 | Naivas FC | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 28:24 | 4 | 41 |
| 9 | Talanta FC | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 28:24 | 4 | 40 |
| 10 | Soy United | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 24:20 | 4 | 39 |
| 11 | Nzoia Sugar | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 27:22 | 5 | 39 |
| 12 | Nairobi City | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 25:27 | -2 | 34 |
| 13 | Gucha Stars | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 27:30 | -3 | 33 |
| 14 | Kisumu All-Stars | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 18:35 | -17 | 30 |
| 15 | Luanda Villa | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 19:38 | -19 | 29 |
| 16 | Darajani Gogo | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 19:34 | -15 | 27 |
| 17 | Kabati | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 18:37 | -19 | 27 |
| 18 | MCF | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 17:30 | -13 | 21 |
| 19 | Mwatate United | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 21:46 | -25 | 21 |
| 20 | Vihiga United | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 22:40 | -18 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Relegation