Result
Nairobi City awarded
17/12/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Vihiga United 28.1% | Draw 36.4% | Nairobi City Stars 35.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vihiga United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Nairobi City Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nairobi City Stars might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vihiga United than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nairobi City Stars than the current prediction. (+9.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nairobi City Stars could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Vihiga United - Nairobi City Stars Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.19 ↓ (3.68) |
2.46 ↓ (3) |
2.52 ↑ (2.02) |
11.6% (10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 8).
- Vihiga United is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Nairobi City has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Nairobi City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- Nairobi City might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Vihiga United won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Vihiga United won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Vihiga United won against Nairobi City Stars?
Vihiga United has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nairobi City Stars won against Vihiga United?
Nairobi City Stars has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vihiga United - Nairobi City Stars were as follows:
Latest results of Vihiga United
Latest results of Nairobi City Stars
Kenyan Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Migori ✔ | 31 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 49:25 | 24 | 65 |
| 2 | Mombasa United ✔ | 31 | 21 | 2 | 8 | 46:26 | 20 | 65 |
| 3 | Equity Bank | 31 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 44:26 | 18 | 60 |
| 4 | 3K FC | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 49:21 | 28 | 59 |
| 5 | MOFA | 31 | 15 | 12 | 4 | 46:24 | 22 | 57 |
| 6 | Fortune Sacco | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 50:27 | 23 | 53 |
| 7 | Kibera | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 27:24 | 3 | 50 |
| 8 | Naivas FC | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 37:27 | 10 | 47 |
| 9 | Soy United | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 27:23 | 4 | 43 |
| 10 | Nzoia Sugar | 31 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 30:27 | 3 | 43 |
| 11 | Talanta FC | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 32:31 | 1 | 42 |
| 12 | Nairobi City | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 28:30 | -2 | 37 |
| 13 | Luanda Villa | 31 | 10 | 5 | 16 | 22:39 | -17 | 35 |
| 14 | Gucha Stars | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 27:33 | -6 | 34 |
| 15 | Kisumu All-Stars | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 19:43 | -24 | 30 |
| 16 | Darajani Gogo | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 19:37 | -18 | 28 |
| 17 | Kabati | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 20:43 | -23 | 28 |
| 18 | MCF | 31 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 18:34 | -16 | 24 |
| 19 | Mwatate United | 31 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 26:51 | -25 | 24 |
| 20 | Vihiga United ✔ | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 25:50 | -25 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Migori is Qualified for Premier League
Mombasa United is Qualified for Premier League
Vihiga United is Relegated to