İstanbul Başakşehir vs Viking Stavanger – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
13/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Milanovic M. (Srb)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 1
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.791.30
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
812
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
23
Passes
73% (258/353)76% (321/421)
Yellow Cards
52
Expected Goals (xG)
0.791.30
xG on target (xGOT)
0.491.16
Total shots
812
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
59
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
1121
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1514
Passes
73% (258/353)76% (321/421)
Long passes
39% (31/79)37% (29/78)
Passes in final third
52% (48/93)53% (68/129)
Crosses
67% (2/3)60% (9/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.452.02
Throw-ins
2019
Fouls
1416
Tackles
56% (5/9)53% (10/19)
Duels won
4952
Clearances
164
Interceptions
75
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
1.160.49
Goals prevented
1.16-0.51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 34', 0 - 1, Bulut O. (Own goal),
  • 40', 1 - 1, Selke D. , Shomurodov E. (A),
  • 45', Heggheim H. , Haugen H. J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 54', Sengezer M. 🟨,
  • 54', Beyaz O. 🟨,
  • 57', Crespo M. 🟨,
  • 61', Ba O. 🟨,
  • 64', Turuc D. 🟨,
  • 65', Beyaz O. , Gunes U. ,
  • 66', Selke D. , Da Costa N. ,
  • 68', Bjorshol S. , Haugen K. ,
  • 68', Svendsen S. , Christiansen P. ,
  • 69', Askildsen K. , Kvia-Egeskog S. ,
  • 72', Falchener H. 🟨,
  • 78', Falchener H. , D'Agostino N. ,
  • 83', Shomurodov E. , Sari Y. ,
  • 85', Baertelsen A. 🟨,
  • 89', Turuc D. , Ebosele F. ,
  • 89', Crespo M. , Gureler H. ,

Chances of winning


İstanbul Başakşehir
46.4%
Draw
24.4%
Viking Stavanger
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.4% 23.2% 22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2% 22.5% 21.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • İstanbul Başakşehir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that İstanbul Başakşehir's form might have worsened.
  • Viking Stavanger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Viking Stavanger's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for İstanbul Başakşehir, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viking Stavanger than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Viking Stavanger, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • İstanbul Başakşehir - Viking Stavanger Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (1.74)
    3.85
    (4.08)
    3.27
    (4.24)
    5.6%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for İstanbul Başakşehir - Viking Stavanger?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Başakşehir (2.01) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Viking (2.28) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: İstanbul Başakşehir will win (40 of 45 users predict this - 88.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 79.71%98.07%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): İstanbul Başakşehir will win (24 of 30 users predict this - 80%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 34 high ROI users predict this event. Başakşehir (votes: 25 - 73.5%). Viking (votes: 6 - 17.6%). Tie (votes: 3 - 8.8%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 3-1. 2nd leg.
    • Başakşehir has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Viking is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Başakşehir may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Başakşehir has had a series of away games.
    • Başakşehir will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Başakşehir won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between İstanbul Başakşehir - Viking Stavanger were as follows:
    07.08.2025 Viking Stavanger - İstanbul Başakşehir 1:3
    Latest results of Viking Stavanger
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 2
    2Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)1 : 0
    3Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)1 : 1
    4Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)0 : 3
    5Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    6Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)1 : 1
    8Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    9Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    10Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    11AEK Athens (3)Bye
    12Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    13Mainz (7)Bye
    14AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    15Strasbourg (1)Bye
    16Rakow (2)Bye