Result
1:1
13/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals
- Referee: Milanovic M. (Srb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
Serbia | SportKlub 1 |
Slovenia | SportKlub 1 |
Turkey | Tabii, TRT 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.30 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (258/353) | 76% (321/421) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.30 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 1.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (258/353) | 76% (321/421) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (31/79) | 37% (29/78) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (48/93) | 53% (68/129) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 67% (2/3) | 60% (9/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 2.02 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 53% (10/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 4 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.16 | -0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 34', 0 - 1, Bulut O. (Own goal),
- 40', 1 - 1, Selke D. ⚽, Shomurodov E. (A),
- 45', Heggheim H. ↓, Haugen H. J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 54', Sengezer M. 🟨,
- 54', Beyaz O. 🟨,
- 57', Crespo M. 🟨,
- 61', Ba O. 🟨,
- 64', Turuc D. 🟨,
- 65', Beyaz O. ↓, Gunes U. ↑,
- 66', Selke D. ↓, Da Costa N. ↑,
- 68', Bjorshol S. ↓, Haugen K. ↑,
- 68', Svendsen S. ↓, Christiansen P. ↑,
- 69', Askildsen K. ↓, Kvia-Egeskog S. ↑,
- 72', Falchener H. 🟨,
- 78', Falchener H. ↓, D'Agostino N. ↑,
- 83', Shomurodov E. ↓, Sari Y. ↑,
- 85', Baertelsen A. 🟨,
- 89', Turuc D. ↓, Ebosele F. ↑,
- 89', Crespo M. ↓, Gureler H. ↑,
Chances of winning
İstanbul Başakşehir 46.4% | Draw 24.4% | Viking Stavanger 29.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
İstanbul Başakşehir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that İstanbul Başakşehir's form might have worsened.Viking Stavanger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Viking Stavanger's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (+9.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for İstanbul Başakşehir, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viking Stavanger than the current prediction. (-7.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Viking Stavanger, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
İstanbul Başakşehir - Viking Stavanger Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.04 ↑ (1.74) |
3.85 ↓ (4.08) |
3.27 ↓ (4.24) |
5.6% (5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for İstanbul Başakşehir - Viking Stavanger?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Başakşehir (2.01) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Viking (2.28) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
İstanbul Başakşehir will win
(40 of 45 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.71% – 98.07%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): İstanbul Başakşehir will win (24 of 30 users predict this - 80%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 34 high ROI users predict this event. Başakşehir (votes: 25 - 73.5%). Viking (votes: 6 - 17.6%). Tie (votes: 3 - 8.8%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 3-1. 2nd leg.
- Başakşehir has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Viking is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Başakşehir may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Başakşehir has had a series of away games.
- Başakşehir will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Başakşehir won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has İstanbul Başakşehir won against Viking Stavanger?
İstanbul Başakşehir has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Viking Stavanger won against İstanbul Başakşehir?
Viking Stavanger has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between İstanbul Başakşehir - Viking Stavanger were as follows:
07.08.2025
Viking Stavanger
-
İstanbul Başakşehir
1:3
Latest results of İstanbul Başakşehir
Latest results of Viking Stavanger
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 1 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 10 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 11 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 12 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 13 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 14 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 15 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
| 16 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |