Result
1:1
13/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals
- Referee: Milanovic M. (Srb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
Serbia | SportKlub 1 |
Slovenia | SportKlub 1 |
Turkey | Tabii, TRT 1 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.79 | 1.30 |
Ball Possession |
---|
45% | 55% |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
73% (258/353) | 76% (321/421) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
5 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.79 | 1.30 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.49 | 1.16 |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
2 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
11 | 21 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 14 |
Passes |
---|
73% (258/353) | 76% (321/421) |
Long passes |
---|
39% (31/79) | 37% (29/78) |
Passes in final third |
---|
52% (48/93) | 53% (68/129) |
Crosses |
---|
67% (2/3) | 60% (9/15) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.45 | 2.02 |
Throw-ins |
---|
20 | 19 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 16 |
Tackles |
---|
56% (5/9) | 53% (10/19) |
Duels won |
---|
49 | 52 |
Clearances |
---|
16 | 4 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.16 | 0.49 |
Goals prevented |
---|
1.16 | -0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 34', 0 - 1, Bulut O. (Own goal),
- 40', 1 - 1, Selke D. ⚽, Shomurodov E. (A),
- 45', Heggheim H. ↓, Haugen H. J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 54', Sengezer M. 🟨,
- 54', Beyaz O. 🟨,
- 57', Crespo M. 🟨,
- 61', Ba O. 🟨,
- 64', Turuc D. 🟨,
- 65', Beyaz O. ↓, Gunes U. ↑,
- 66', Selke D. ↓, Da Costa N. ↑,
- 68', Bjorshol S. ↓, Haugen K. ↑,
- 68', Svendsen S. ↓, Christiansen P. ↑,
- 69', Askildsen K. ↓, Kvia-Egeskog S. ↑,
- 72', Falchener H. 🟨,
- 78', Falchener H. ↓, D'Agostino N. ↑,
- 83', Shomurodov E. ↓, Sari Y. ↑,
- 85', Baertelsen A. 🟨,
- 89', Turuc D. ↓, Ebosele F. ↑,
- 89', Crespo M. ↓, Gureler H. ↑,
Chances of winning
İstanbul Başakşehir 46.4% | Draw 24.4% | Viking Stavanger 29.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
İstanbul Başakşehir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that İstanbul Başakşehir's form might have worsened.Viking Stavanger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Viking Stavanger's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (+9.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for İstanbul Başakşehir, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viking Stavanger than the current prediction. (-7.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Viking Stavanger, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
İstanbul Başakşehir - Viking Stavanger Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.04 ↑ (1.74) |
3.85 ↓ (4.08) |
3.27 ↓ (4.24) |
5.6% (5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for İstanbul Başakşehir - Viking Stavanger?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Başakşehir (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Viking (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
İstanbul Başakşehir will win
(40 of 45 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.71% – 98.07%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 3-1. 2nd leg.
- Başakşehir has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Viking is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Başakşehir may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Başakşehir has had a series of away games.
- Başakşehir will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Başakşehir won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has İstanbul Başakşehir won against Viking Stavanger?
İstanbul Başakşehir has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Viking Stavanger won against İstanbul Başakşehir?
Viking Stavanger has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between İstanbul Başakşehir - Viking Stavanger were as follows:
07.08.2025
Viking Stavanger
-
İstanbul Başakşehir
1:3
Latest results of İstanbul Başakşehir
Latest results of Viking Stavanger
UEFA Europa Conference League Table
League phase | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Zrinjski | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 3 |
2 | AEK Larnaca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 3 |
3 | Sparta Prague | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
4 | Lech Poznan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
5 | Lausanne | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
6 | Celje | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
7 | Crystal Palace | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
8 | Rayo Vallecano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
9 | Fiorentina | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
10 | Rakow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
11 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
12 | Strasbourg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
13 | Mainz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
14 | Samsunspor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
15 | Jagiellonia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
16 | Noah | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
17 | Drita | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
18 | KuPS | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
19 | Hacken | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
20 | Shelbourne | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
21 | Aberdeen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
22 | Slovan Bratislava | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
23 | Rijeka | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
24 | Omonia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
25 | Legia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
26 | Hamrun | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
27 | AEK Athens FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
28 | Sigma Olomouc | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
29 | Dyn. Kyiv | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
30 | Shkendija | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
31 | Univ. Craiova | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
32 | SK Rapid | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
33 | Shamrock Rovers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
34 | Breidablik | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
35 | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
36 | Lincoln Red Imps | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)