Result
3:3
27/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eliteserien - Round 23
- Referee: Saggi R. (Nor)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Norway | TV2 Play |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.83 | 1.93 |
Ball Possession |
---|
52% | 48% |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 22 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
83% (351/423) | 80% (321/399) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.83 | 1.93 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.11 | 1.74 |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 22 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 10 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 10 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 12 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 12 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
23 | 22 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 17 |
Passes |
---|
83% (351/423) | 80% (321/399) |
Long passes |
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55% (45/82) | 32% (17/53) |
Passes in final third |
---|
66% (86/130) | 66% (88/133) |
Crosses |
---|
14% (4/28) | 30% (7/23) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.72 | 1.14 |
Throw-ins |
---|
29 | 23 |
Fouls |
---|
17 | 14 |
Tackles |
---|
83% (10/12) | 86% (12/14) |
Duels won |
---|
45 | 54 |
Clearances |
---|
26 | 52 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.74 | 1.11 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.26 | -1.89 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 7', 0 - 1, Austbo E. ⚽, Tripic Z. (A),
- 17', 1 - 1, Reinhardsen P. ⚽,
- 40', 1 - 2, Falchener H. ⚽, Haugen K. (A),
- 43', 1 - 3, Christiansen P. ⚽, Askildsen K. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 56', Reinhardsen P. ↓, Opoku M. ↑,
- 56', Trondsen A. ↓, Gudjohnsen S. ↑,
- 56', Jeahze M. ↓, Christiansen S. ↑,
- 57', Austbo E. ↓, D'Agostino N. ↑,
- 57', Bjorshol S. ↓, Heggheim H. ↑,
- 67', Kvia-Egeskog S. ↓, Alte R. ↑,
- 67', Christiansen P. ↓, Stensness G. ↑,
- 69', Halvorsen V. E. ↓, Bruseth H. ↑,
- 75', Bruseth H. 🟨,
- 86', Wichne E. ↓, Hiim A. ↑,
- 89', Askildsen K. ↓, Baertelsen A. ↑,
- 90+8', 2 - 3, Gudjohnsen S. ⚽,
- 90+9', 3 - 3, Opoku M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Sarpsborg 08 12.1% | Draw 19.3% | Viking Stavanger 68.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sarpsborg 08 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sarpsborg 08's form might have worsened.Viking Stavanger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Viking Stavanger's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarpsborg 08 than the current prediction. (+18.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sarpsborg 08, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viking Stavanger than the current prediction. (-21.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Viking Stavanger, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sarpsborg 08 - Viking Stavanger Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
10.9 ↑ (3.05) |
6.47 ↑ (4.13) |
1.7 ↓ (2.1) |
-16.5% (4.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Sarpsborg 08 - Viking Stavanger?
Users Predictions:
Viking Stavanger will win
(13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Viking Stavanger will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarpsborg won 1.
- Recent performances by Sarpsborg have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Viking is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Viking will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Sarpsborg: Carstensen F.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Sarpsborg: Berget J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Viking: Auklend V.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sarpsborg won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 18:26. (average 0.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sarpsborg won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Sarpsborg 08 won against Viking Stavanger?
Sarpsborg 08 has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Viking Stavanger won against Sarpsborg 08?
Viking Stavanger has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sarpsborg 08 - Viking Stavanger were as follows:
09.07.2025
Sarpsborg 08
-
Viking Stavanger
1:0
04.05.2025
Viking Stavanger
-
Sarpsborg 08
0:0
27.10.2024
Sarpsborg 08
-
Viking Stavanger
1:3
01.04.2024
Viking Stavanger
-
Sarpsborg 08
1:0
12.11.2023
Viking Stavanger
-
Sarpsborg 08
2:1
Latest results of Sarpsborg 08
Latest results of Viking Stavanger
Norwegian Eliteserien Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Bodo/Glimt | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 66:22 | 44 | 55 |
2 | Viking | 24 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 58:32 | 26 | 53 |
3 | Brann | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 46:34 | 12 | 49 |
4 | Tromso | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 38:29 | 9 | 45 |
5 | Rosenborg | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 33:33 | 0 | 35 |
6 | Sandefjord | 23 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 41:35 | 6 | 34 |
7 | Valerenga | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 39:40 | -1 | 34 |
8 | KFUM Oslo | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 37:29 | 8 | 33 |
9 | Fredrikstad | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 30:28 | 2 | 32 |
10 | Sarpsborg 08 | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 42:43 | -1 | 32 |
11 | Molde | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 34:32 | 2 | 30 |
12 | Kristiansund | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 28:45 | -17 | 30 |
13 | HamKam | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 28:38 | -10 | 25 |
14 | Bryne | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 30:41 | -11 | 25 |
15 | Stromsgodset | 24 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 32:51 | -19 | 20 |
16 | Haugesund | 25 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 15:65 | -50 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen