Result
28/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.55 | 0.52 |
Ball Possession |
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49% | 51% |
Total shots |
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7 | 10 |
Shots on target |
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1 | 3 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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5 | 6 |
Passes |
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67% (196/291) | 72% (217/303) |
Yellow Cards |
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2 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.55 | 0.52 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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0.98 | 0.28 |
Total shots |
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7 | 10 |
Shots on target |
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1 | 3 |
Shots off target |
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3 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
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3 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
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2 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
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5 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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5 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
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11 | 15 |
Accurate through passes |
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1 | 0 |
Offsides |
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0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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12 | 20 |
Passes |
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67% (196/291) | 72% (217/303) |
Long passes |
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36% (21/59) | 39% (22/56) |
Passes in final third |
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46% (44/95) | 57% (66/116) |
Crosses |
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14% (2/14) | 24% (5/21) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.95 | 0.46 |
Throw-ins |
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25 | 32 |
Fouls |
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20 | 12 |
Tackles |
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42% (5/12) | 50% (6/12) |
Duels won |
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44 | 56 |
Clearances |
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33 | 25 |
Interceptions |
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9 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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3 | 0 |
xGOT faced |
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0.28 | 0.98 |
Goals prevented |
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0.28 | -0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 44', Willian Formiga 🟨,
- 45+4', Kauan Rodrigues 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Igor Henrique ↓, Dodo ↑,
- 46', Rhaldney ↓, Shaylon ↑,
- 52', Weverton 🟨,
- 62', Gabriel Poveda ↓, Junior Todinho ↑,
- 63', Caio Dantas ↓, Sandro Lima ↑,
- 68', Andre Luis ↓, Bruno Xavier ↑,
- 74', Wallace ↓, Matheus Felipe ↑,
- 74', Martinez F. ↓, Talisson ↑,
- 85', 1 - 0, Bruno Xavier ⚽, Junior Todinho (A),
- 87', Willian Maranhao ↓, Robert Conceicao ↑,
- 87', Talisson 🟨,
- 88', Guilherme Parede ↓, Vinicius Paiva ↑,
- 89', Jean Mota ↓, Ralf ↑,
Chances of winning
Vila Nova 38.4% | Draw 32.9% | Atlético Goianiense 28.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vila Nova's form might have worsened.Atlético Goianiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vila Nova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Vila Nova - Atlético Goianiense Odds
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1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.45 ↑ (2.14) |
2.85 ↓ (3.06) |
3.29 ↓ (3.74) |
6.4% (6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Vila Nova - Atlético Goianiense?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Vila Nova will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Atlético GO will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético GO: 4% – 71%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 14 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 3.
- Vila Nova has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Atlético GO has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Vila Nova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Vila Nova might have a minor edge in this game.
- We predict that Atlético GO will win today's game, with odds of 3.51.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:27. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vila Nova won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.3:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Vila Nova won against Atlético Goianiense?
Vila Nova has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Goianiense won against Vila Nova?
Atlético Goianiense has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vila Nova - Atlético Goianiense were as follows:
26.01.2025
Atlético Goianiense
-
Vila Nova
1:3
07.04.2024
Atlético Goianiense
-
Vila Nova
3:1
31.03.2024
Vila Nova
-
Atlético Goianiense
0:2
28.01.2024
Vila Nova
-
Atlético Goianiense
2:1
28.10.2023
Vila Nova
-
Atlético Goianiense
2:1
Latest results of Vila Nova
Latest results of Atlético Goianiense
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Goias | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 23:14 | 9 | 36 |
2 | Coritiba | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 19:12 | 7 | 34 |
3 | Novorizontino | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 23:12 | 11 | 34 |
4 | Chapecoense-SC | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 25:18 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Remo | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 21:16 | 5 | 29 |
6 | Cuiaba | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 22:21 | 1 | 28 |
7 | Vila Nova FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 17:16 | 1 | 27 |
8 | Criciuma | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 22:17 | 5 | 26 |
9 | Avai | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21:20 | 1 | 25 |
10 | Athletico-PR | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:24 | -2 | 24 |
11 | Athletic Club | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21:25 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Operario-PR | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21:20 | 1 | 22 |
13 | CRB | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16:18 | -2 | 22 |
14 | Atletico GO | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 22 |
15 | America MG | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 18:24 | -6 | 20 |
16 | Paysandu PA | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 19 |
17 | Ferroviaria | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 18:22 | -4 | 19 |
18 | Amazonas | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 |
19 | Volta Redonda | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 12:20 | -8 | 18 |
20 | Botafogo SP | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 12:22 | -10 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )