Result
28/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.52 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (196/291) | 72% (217/303) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (196/291) | 72% (217/303) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (21/59) | 39% (22/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 46% (44/95) | 57% (66/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 24% (5/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.46 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.98 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.28 | -0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 44', Willian Formiga 🟨,
- 45+4', Kauan Rodrigues 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Igor Henrique ↓, Dodo ↑,
- 46', Rhaldney ↓, Shaylon ↑,
- 52', Weverton 🟨,
- 62', Gabriel Poveda ↓, Junior Todinho ↑,
- 63', Caio Dantas ↓, Sandro Lima ↑,
- 68', Andre Luis ↓, Bruno Xavier ↑,
- 74', Wallace ↓, Matheus Felipe ↑,
- 74', Martinez F. ↓, Talisson ↑,
- 85', 1 - 0, Bruno Xavier ⚽, Junior Todinho (A),
- 87', Willian Maranhao ↓, Robert Conceicao ↑,
- 87', Talisson 🟨,
- 88', Guilherme Parede ↓, Vinicius Paiva ↑,
- 89', Jean Mota ↓, Ralf ↑,
Chances of winning
Vila Nova
38.4% | Draw
32.9% | Atlético Goianiense
28.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vila Nova's form might have worsened.Atlético Goianiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vila Nova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Vila Nova - Atlético Goianiense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.45 ↑
(2.14) |
2.85 ↓
(3.06) |
3.29 ↓
(3.74) |
6.4%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Vila Nova - Atlético Goianiense?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Vila Nova will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Atlético GO will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético GO: 4% – 71%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 14 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 3.
- Vila Nova has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Atlético GO has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Vila Nova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Vila Nova might have a minor edge in this game.
- We predict that Atlético GO will win today's game, with odds of 3.51.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:27. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vila Nova won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.3:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Vila Nova won against Atlético Goianiense?
Vila Nova has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Goianiense won against Vila Nova?
Atlético Goianiense has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vila Nova - Atlético Goianiense were as follows:
26.01.2025
Atlético Goianiense
-
Vila Nova
1:3
07.04.2024
Atlético Goianiense
-
Vila Nova
3:1
31.03.2024
Vila Nova
-
Atlético Goianiense
0:2
28.01.2024
Vila Nova
-
Atlético Goianiense
2:1
28.10.2023
Vila Nova
-
Atlético Goianiense
2:1
Latest results of Vila Nova
Latest results of Atlético Goianiense
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Criciuma | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 36:21 | 15 | 49 |
| 2 | Goias | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 34:26 | 8 | 49 |
| 3 | Athletico-PR | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 43:36 | 7 | 48 |
| 4 | Coritiba | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 28:19 | 9 | 47 |
| 5 | Novorizontino | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 31:25 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Cuiaba | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 42 |
| 7 | Chapecoense-SC | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 38:29 | 9 | 41 |
| 8 | Atletico GO | 28 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 31:28 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | CRB | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 31:26 | 5 | 40 |
| 10 | Avai | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 36:30 | 6 | 40 |
| 11 | Operario-PR | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 31:28 | 3 | 39 |
| 12 | Remo | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 29:26 | 3 | 39 |
| 13 | Vila Nova FC | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 28:30 | -2 | 37 |
| 14 | Ferroviaria | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 31:35 | -4 | 33 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 29:38 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 | America MG | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 27:34 | -7 | 30 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 18:29 | -11 | 30 |
| 18 | Botafogo SP | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 24:42 | -18 | 29 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 28:41 | -13 | 27 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 21:33 | -12 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
