Vila Nova vs Atlético Goianiense: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie B Vila Nova - Atlético Goianiense
28/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Vila Nova - Atlético Goianiense - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.550.52
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
710
Shots on target
13
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
67% (196/291)72% (217/303)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.550.52
xG on target (xGOT)
0.980.28
Total shots
710
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
26
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
1115
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1220
Passes
67% (196/291)72% (217/303)
Long passes
36% (21/59)39% (22/56)
Passes in final third
46% (44/95)57% (66/116)
Crosses
14% (2/14)24% (5/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.950.46
Throw-ins
2532
Fouls
2012
Tackles
42% (5/12)50% (6/12)
Duels won
4456
Clearances
3325
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
0.280.98
Goals prevented
0.28-0.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 44', Willian Formiga 🟨,
  • 45+4', Kauan Rodrigues 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Igor Henrique , Dodo ,
  • 46', Rhaldney , Shaylon ,
  • 52', Weverton 🟨,
  • 62', Gabriel Poveda , Junior Todinho ,
  • 63', Caio Dantas , Sandro Lima ,
  • 68', Andre Luis , Bruno Xavier ,
  • 74', Wallace , Matheus Felipe ,
  • 74', Martinez F. , Talisson ,
  • 85', 1 - 0, Bruno Xavier , Junior Todinho (A),
  • 87', Willian Maranhao , Robert Conceicao ,
  • 87', Talisson 🟨,
  • 88', Guilherme Parede , Vinicius Paiva ,
  • 89', Jean Mota , Ralf ,

Chances of winning


Vila Nova
38.4%
Draw
32.9%
Atlético Goianiense
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44% 30.8% 25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 30.7% 25.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vila Nova's form might have worsened.
  • Atlético Goianiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vila Nova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Vila Nova - Atlético Goianiense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.45
    (2.14)
    2.85
    (3.06)
    3.29
    (3.74)
    6.4%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Vila Nova - Atlético Goianiense?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Vila Nova will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Atlético GO will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético GO: 4%71%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 14 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 3.
    • Vila Nova has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Atlético GO has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Vila Nova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Vila Nova might have a minor edge in this game.
    • We predict that Atlético GO will win today's game, with odds of 3.51.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:27. (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vila Nova won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.3:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vila Nova - Atlético Goianiense were as follows:
    26.01.2025 Atlético Goianiense - Vila Nova 1:3
    07.04.2024 Atlético Goianiense - Vila Nova 3:1
    31.03.2024 Vila Nova - Atlético Goianiense 0:2
    28.01.2024 Vila Nova - Atlético Goianiense 2:1
    28.10.2023 Vila Nova - Atlético Goianiense 2:1
    Latest results of Vila Nova
    22.06.2025 Amazonas - Vila Nova 2:1
    09.06.2025 Criciúma - Vila Nova 1:0
    26.05.2025 Cuiabá - Vila Nova 1:0
    Latest results of Atlético Goianiense
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias1492318:11729
    2Coritiba1483313:6727
    3Novorizontino1475218:10826
    4Avai1465319:13623
    5Remo1465317:13423
    6CRB1563615:14121
    7Cuiaba1463515:16-121
    8Atletico GO1556416:14221
    9America MG1462616:16020
    10Athletico-PR1462618:19-120
    11Chapecoense-SC1461717:14319
    12Vila Nova FC1461711:14-319
    13Ferroviaria1446414:14018
    14Operario-PR1452716:17-117
    15Criciuma1444616:15116
    16Botafogo SP1444612:17-516
    17Volta Redonda143567:12-514
    18Amazonas1435612:19-714
    19Paysandu PA143479:15-613
    20Athletic Club14401013:23-1012

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

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