Vila Nova vs Confiança – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1 penalties
18/03/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/32-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.350.29
Ball possession
52%48%
Total shots
109
Shots on target
11
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
46
Passes
85% (328/386)80% (301/375)
Yellow cards
23
Expected goals (xG)
0.350.29
xG on target (xGOT)
0.030.06
Total shots
109
Shots on target
11
Shots off target
67
Blocked shots
31
Shots inside the box
53
Shots outside the box
56
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
118
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free kicks
1423
Passes
85% (328/386)80% (301/375)
Long passes
59% (34/58)50% (37/74)
Passes in final third
68% (78/115)63% (58/92)
Crosses
10% (3/29)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.270.32
Throw ins
1819
Fouls
2314
Tackles
77% (10/13)56% (10/18)
Duels won
4151
Clearances
2426
Interceptions
168
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
11
xGOT faced
0.060.03
Goals prevented
0.060.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Rafa Silva , Janderson ,
  • 49', Guilherme Nunes , Lorran ,
  • 52', Pedro Romano 🟨,
  • 63', Rafael Pascoal 🟨,
  • 65', Wendel , Fabricio Oya ,
  • 65', Sassa , Maikon Aquino ,
  • 68', Valdir Junior 🟨,
  • 72', Nathan Camargo , Emerson Urso ,
  • 78', Willian Maranhao , Dudu ,
  • 78', Marquinhos Gabriel , Dodo ,
  • 86', Danielzinho , Iago ,
  • 86', Valdir Junior , Andrey Quintino ,
  • 87', Hayner , Higor ,
  • 90+2', Tiago Pagnussat 🟨,
  • 90+5', Fabricio Oya 🟨,
  • Penalties (3 - 5)
  • 1, Iago (Penalty Awarded),
  • 1, Joao Vieira (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Fabricio Oya (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Dodo (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Kelvyn (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Higor (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Maikon Aquino (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, 🟥,
  • 4, 🟥,
  • 5, Emerson Urso (Penalty Awarded),
  • 6, Renilson (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Vila Nova
50.6%
Draw
29.4%
Confiança
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.7% 26.9% 17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3% 25.7% 18.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vila Nova's form might have worsened.
  • Confiança has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Vila Nova - Confiança Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (1.64)
    3.17
    (3.4)
    4.52
    (5.26)
    8.2%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Vila Nova - Confiança?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Vila Nova will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Vila Nova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Vila Nova is the team to beat.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vila Nova won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
    Latest results of Vila Nova
    Latest results of Confiança
    14.03.2026 Sergipe - Confiança 1:0
    11.03.2026 Confiança - Tombense 2:0
    07.03.2026 Confiança - Sergipe 1:1
    28.02.2026 Itabaiana - Confiança 0:2
    25.02.2026 Confiança - Itabaiana 1:2
    Draw
    2026

    1/256-finals
    1Atletico-MGBye
    9JoinvilleBye
    10ByeCSA
    11Sao BernardoBye
    12ByeAlagoinhas
    13Sao LuizBye
    14ByeMaranhao
    15CearaBye
    16AraguainaPrimavera0 : 3
    17BoavistaBye
    18ByeMaringa FC
    19RetroBye
    20ByeUberlandia
    21GamaMonte Roraima2 : 0
    22ByeGoias
    23TremBye
    24ByeFluminense-PI
    32ByeCruzeiro
    33Athletico-PRBye
    41Operario VGBye
    42ByePorto Velho
    43Atletico GOBye
    44Primavera ACBragantino2 : 1
    45Ponte PretaBye
    47SER CaxiasBye
    48ByeGuarany de Bage
    49Flamengo RJBye
    64ByeVitoria
    65GremioBye
    73Vasco da Gama ACVelo Clube1 : 2
    74ByeVila Nova FC
    75ASABye
    76ByeOperario MS
    77ConfiancaBye
    79TombenseBye
    80ByeOratorio
    81PortuguesaBye
    82ByeAE Altos
    83AvaiBye
    84ByePorto Vitoria
    85Paysandu PABye
    87Portuguesa RJBye
    88ByeMaracana
    96ByeVasco
    97CastanhalBye
    98ByeGuarani
    99Nova IguacuBye
    100ByeLagarto
    101ManauaraBye
    102ByeItabaiana
    103FortalezaBye
    104MaguaryLaguna RN1 : 0
    105Santa CruzBye
    106ByeSousa
    107CRBBye
    108Porto-BASerra Branca2 : 1
    109ImperatrizBye
    110ByeAmazonas
    111FigueirenseBye
    112ByeAzuriz
    113BahiaBye
    128ByeRemo
    129Botafogo RJBye
    144ByeChapecoense-SC
    145BragantinoBye
    160ByeMirassol
    161IvinhemaIndependente AP1 : 0
    162ByeVolta Redonda
    163America RNBye
    164ByeGAS
    165Barra FCBye
    167America MGBye
    168America SETirol1 : 2
    176ByeCorinthians
    177Capital FCBye
    178ByeManaus
    179LondrinaBye
    180ByeSC Penedense
    181BetimPiaui1 : 0
    182ByeOperario-PR
    183JuazeirenseBye
    184ByeCapital
    192ByeFluminense
    193PalmeirasBye
    201Santa CatarinaIAPE2 : 0
    202ByeCuiaba
    203CeilandiaBye
    204ByeJacuipense
    205MixtoBye
    206ByeBotafogo PB
    207NovorizontinoBye
    208ByeNacional-AM
    209Sampaio Correa FEDesportiva Ferroviaria1 : 2
    210ByeSport Recife
    211AnapolisBye
    212ByeCianorte
    213Rio Branco ESBye
    214ByeAthletic Club
    215Ypiranga FCBye
    216Ji-ParanaPantanal2 : 0
    224ByeInternacional
    225SantosBye
    240ByeCoritiba
    241Sao PauloBye
    249Tuna LusoBye
    250ByeTocantinopolis
    251JuventudeBye
    252GalvezGuapore1 : 2
    253BareMadureira0 : 3
    254ByeABC
    255Aguia De MarabaBye
    256ByeIndependencia

    1/128-finals
    1Atletico-MGBye
    5JoinvilleCSA1 : 0
    6Sao BernardoAlagoinhas2 : 0
    7Sao LuizMaranhao0 : 1
    8CearaPrimavera2 : 1
    9BoavistaMaringa FC2 : 3
    10RetroUberlandia1 : 2
    11GamaGoias2 : 3
    12TremFluminense-PI0 : 1
    16ByeCruzeiro
    17Athletico-PRBye
    21Operario VGPorto Velho1 : 2
    22Atletico GOPrimavera AC1 : 0
    23Ponte PretaBye
    24SER CaxiasGuarany de Bage0 : 1
    25Flamengo RJBye
    32ByeVitoria
    33GremioBye
    37Velo ClubeVila Nova FC0 : 1
    38ASAOperario MS1 : 2
    39ConfiancaBye
    40TombenseOratorio2 : 1
    41PortuguesaAE Altos5 : 1
    42AvaiPorto Vitoria3 : 0
    43Paysandu PABye
    44Portuguesa RJMaracana1 : 0
    48ByeVasco
    49CastanhalGuarani2 : 1
    50Nova IguacuLagarto2 : 1
    51ManauaraItabaiana3 : 1
    52FortalezaMaguary4 : 3
    53Santa CruzSousa0 : 1
    54CRBPorto-BA6 : 0
    55ImperatrizAmazonas0 : 3
    56FigueirenseAzuriz1 : 0
    57BahiaBye
    64ByeRemo
    65Botafogo RJBye
    72ByeChapecoense-SC
    73BragantinoBye
    80ByeMirassol
    81IvinhemaVolta Redonda2 : 4
    82America RNGAS3 : 0
    83Barra FCBye
    84America MGTirol2 : 1
    88ByeCorinthians
    89Capital FCManaus1 : 2
    90LondrinaSC Penedense1 : 0
    91BetimOperario-PR0 : 2
    92JuazeirenseCapital1 : 2
    96ByeFluminense
    97PalmeirasBye
    101Santa CatarinaCuiaba2 : 1
    102CeilandiaJacuipense1 : 2
    103MixtoBotafogo PB2 : 1
    104NovorizontinoNacional-AM4 : 0
    105Desportiva FerroviariaSport Recife0 : 1
    106AnapolisCianorte3 : 1
    107Rio Branco ESAthletic Club1 : 2
    108Ypiranga FCJi-Parana2 : 0
    112ByeInternacional
    113SantosBye
    120ByeCoritiba
    121Sao PauloBye
    125Tuna LusoTocantinopolis4 : 1
    126JuventudeGuapore5 : 0
    127MadureiraABC1 : 0
    128Aguia De MarabaIndependencia2 : 0

    1/64-finals
    1Atletico-MGBye
    3JoinvilleSao Bernardo0 : 1
    4MaranhaoCeara0 : 1
    5Maringa FCUberlandia3 : 2
    6GoiasFluminense-PI3 : 0
    8ByeCruzeiro
    9Athletico-PRBye
    11Porto VelhoAtletico GO0 : 1
    12Ponte PretaGuarany de Bage1 : 0
    13Flamengo RJBye
    16ByeVitoria
    17GremioBye
    19Vila Nova FCOperario MS2 : 1
    20ConfiancaTombense2 : 0
    21PortuguesaAvai2 : 1
    22Paysandu PAPortuguesa RJ3 : 1
    24ByeVasco
    25CastanhalNova Iguacu0 : 4
    26ManauaraFortaleza0 : 1
    27SousaCRB0 : 2
    28AmazonasFigueirense0 : 1
    29BahiaBye
    32ByeRemo
    33Botafogo RJBye
    36ByeChapecoense-SC
    37BragantinoBye
    40ByeMirassol
    41Volta RedondaAmerica RN1 : 0
    42Barra FCAmerica MG1 : 0
    44ByeCorinthians
    45ManausLondrina0 : 1
    46Operario-PRCapital2 : 0
    48ByeFluminense
    49PalmeirasBye
    51Santa CatarinaJacuipense0 : 1
    52MixtoNovorizontino0 : 3
    53Sport RecifeAnapolis2 : 1
    54Athletic ClubYpiranga FC2 : 0
    56ByeInternacional
    57SantosBye
    60ByeCoritiba
    61Sao PauloBye
    63Tuna LusoJuventude1 : 2
    64MadureiraAguia De Maraba0 : 1

    1/32-finals
    1Atletico-MGBye
    2Sao BernardoCeara0 : 1
    3Maringa FCGoias0 : 1
    4ByeCruzeiro
    5Athletico-PRBye
    6Atletico GOPonte Preta1 : 0
    7Flamengo RJBye
    8ByeVitoria
    9GremioBye
    10Vila Nova FCConfianca0 : 1
    11PortuguesaPaysandu PA2 : 3
    12ByeVasco
    13Nova IguacuFortaleza0 : 1
    14CRBFigueirense1 : 0
    15BahiaBye
    16ByeRemo
    17Botafogo RJBye
    18ByeChapecoense-SC
    19BragantinoBye
    20ByeMirassol
    21Volta RedondaBarra FC0 : 1
    22ByeCorinthians
    23LondrinaOperario-PR0 : 1
    24ByeFluminense
    25PalmeirasBye
    26JacuipenseNovorizontino1 : 0
    27Sport RecifeAthletic Club1 : 3
    28ByeInternacional
    29SantosBye
    30ByeCoritiba
    31Sao PauloBye
    32JuventudeAguia De Maraba3 : 0

    1/16-finals
    1Atletico-MGCeara
    2GoiasCruzeiro
    3Athletico-PRAtletico GO
    4Flamengo RJVitoria
    5GremioConfianca
    6Paysandu PAVasco
    7FortalezaCRB
    8BahiaRemo
    9Botafogo RJChapecoense-SC
    10BragantinoMirassol
    11Barra FCCorinthians
    12Operario-PRFluminense
    13PalmeirasJacuipense
    14Athletic ClubInternacional
    15SantosCoritiba
    16Sao PauloJuventude