Result
2:0
22/07/2025 at 20:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 18
- Referee: Policarpo Bento A. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.11 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 28% | 72% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (141/214) | 91% (504/555) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
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| 1.30 | 1.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.80 | 0.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
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| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 12 | 38 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (141/214) | 91% (504/555) |
| Long passes |
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| 30% (19/63) | 79% (34/43) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 59% (43/73) | 84% (172/204) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 23% (9/40) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 1.04 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 56% (5/9) |
| Duels won |
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| 38 | 47 |
| Clearances |
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| 46 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
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| 12 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 0.92 | 2.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.80 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 19', 1 - 0, Paje G. ⚽,
- 25', Breno Herculano 🟨,
- 34', Tiago Pagnussat 🟨,
- 34', Tiago Pagnussat ↓, Weverton ↑,
- 39', Segovia L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Paje G. ↓, Guilherme Parede ↑,
- 46', Gege ↓, Douglas Baggio ↑,
- 46', Willian Pottker ↓, Giovanni ↑,
- 47', 2 - 0, Bruno Xavier ⚽, Guilherme Parede (A),
- 53', Hayner ↓, Leo Campos ↑,
- 53', Breno Herculano ↓, Mikael ↑,
- 59', Gabriel Poveda ↓, Andre Luis ↑,
- 63', Willian Formiga 🟨,
- 67', Bruno Xavier ↓, Ralf ↑,
- 67', Elias ↓, Ruan Ribeiro ↑,
- 71', Danielzinho ↓, Ribeiro C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Vila Nova
41.9% | Draw
31% | CRB Maceio
27.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vila Nova's form might have worsened.CRB Maceio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting CRB Maceio's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+11.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vila Nova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for CRB Maceio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Vila Nova - CRB Maceio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↑
(1.78) |
3.05 ↓
(3.45) |
3.45 ↓
(4.25) |
6.5%
(8.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Vila Nova - CRB Maceio?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Vila Nova will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). CRB will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vila Nova: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Vila Nova (votes: 2 - 66.7%). CRB (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 3.
- Recent performances by Vila Nova have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- CRB has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- CRB may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Vila Nova is considered a favorite.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 1.1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vila Nova won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Vila Nova won against CRB Maceio?
Vila Nova has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has CRB Maceio won against Vila Nova?
CRB Maceio has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vila Nova - CRB Maceio were as follows:
04.09.2024
Vila Nova
-
CRB Maceio
1:0
17.05.2024
CRB Maceio
-
Vila Nova
1:0
03.09.2023
Vila Nova
-
CRB Maceio
0:1
21.05.2023
CRB Maceio
-
Vila Nova
0:3
22.09.2022
Vila Nova
-
CRB Maceio
1:0
Latest results of Vila Nova
Latest results of CRB Maceio
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 22:14 | 8 | 38 |
| 2 | Goias | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 24:15 | 9 | 37 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 34 |
| 4 | Chapecoense-SC | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 25:18 | 7 | 30 |
| 5 | Remo | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 22:19 | 3 | 30 |
| 6 | Criciuma | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 23:17 | 6 | 29 |
| 7 | Cuiaba | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 22:22 | 0 | 28 |
| 8 | Avai | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:20 | 6 | 28 |
| 9 | Vila Nova FC | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19:20 | -1 | 27 |
| 10 | CRB | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20:18 | 2 | 25 |
| 11 | Athletico-PR | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 25 |
| 12 | Athletic Club | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 22:26 | -4 | 23 |
| 13 | Operario-PR | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21:20 | 1 | 23 |
| 14 | Ferroviaria | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 20:22 | -2 | 23 |
| 15 | Atletico GO | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 23 |
| 16 | America MG | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 20:26 | -6 | 21 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14:21 | -7 | 21 |
| 18 | Paysandu PA | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 18:21 | -3 | 20 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 18:25 | -7 | 19 |
| 20 | Botafogo SP | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 12:27 | -15 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
