Vila Nova vs CRB Maceio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

22/07/2025 at 20:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga (Goiânia).

Serie B Superbet - Round 18
Referee: Policarpo Bento A. (Bra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.30	1.11
Ball Possession
28%	72%
Total shots
13	23
Shots on target
6	6
Big Chances
4	1
Corner Kicks
5	7
Passes
66% (141/214)	91% (504/555)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30	1.11
xG on target (xGOT)
2.80	0.92
Total shots
13	23
Shots on target
6	6
Shots off target
5	7
Blocked Shots
2	10
Shots inside the Box
8	14
Shots outside the Box
5	9
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
4	1
Corner Kicks
5	7
Touches in opposition box
12	38
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
12	12
Passes
66% (141/214)	91% (504/555)
Long passes
30% (19/63)	79% (34/43)
Passes in final third
59% (43/73)	84% (172/204)
Crosses
28% (5/18)	23% (9/40)
Expected assists (xA)
0.49	1.04
Throw-ins
15	21
Fouls
12	12
Tackles
75% (12/16)	56% (5/9)
Duels won
38	47
Clearances
46	17
Interceptions
12	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	2
Goalkeeper Saves
6	4
xGOT faced
0.92	2.80
Goals prevented
0.92	0.80

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Paje G. ⚽,
25', Breno Herculano 🟨,
34', Tiago Pagnussat 🟨,
34', Tiago Pagnussat ↓, Weverton ↑,
39', Segovia L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Paje G. ↓, Guilherme Parede ↑,
46', Gege ↓, Douglas Baggio ↑,
46', Willian Pottker ↓, Giovanni ↑,
47', 2 - 0, Bruno Xavier ⚽, Guilherme Parede (A),
53', Hayner ↓, Leo Campos ↑,
53', Breno Herculano ↓, Mikael ↑,
59', Gabriel Poveda ↓, Andre Luis ↑,
63', Willian Formiga 🟨,
67', Bruno Xavier ↓, Ralf ↑,
67', Elias ↓, Ruan Ribeiro ↑,
71', Danielzinho ↓, Ribeiro C. ↑,

Chances of winning

Vila Nova
41.9%

Draw
31%

CRB Maceio
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

26.7%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

26%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vila Nova's form might have worsened.

CRB Maceio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting CRB Maceio's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vila Nova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for CRB Maceio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Vila Nova - CRB Maceio Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (1.78)	3.05 ↓ (3.45)	3.45 ↓ (4.25)	6.5% (8.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Vila Nova - CRB Maceio?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Vila Nova will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). CRB will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vila Nova: 23.1% – 88.1%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Vila Nova (votes: 2 - 66.7%). CRB (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 3.
Recent performances by Vila Nova have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
CRB has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
CRB may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Vila Nova is considered a favorite.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 1.1:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Vila Nova won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1:0.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Vila Nova won against CRB Maceio?

Vila Nova has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has CRB Maceio won against Vila Nova?

CRB Maceio has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Vila Nova - CRB Maceio were as follows:

04.09.2024 Vila Nova - CRB Maceio 1:0

17.05.2024 CRB Maceio - Vila Nova 1:0

03.09.2023 Vila Nova - CRB Maceio 0:1

21.05.2023 CRB Maceio - Vila Nova 0:3

22.09.2022 Vila Nova - CRB Maceio 1:0

Latest results of Vila Nova

19.07.2025 Avaí - Vila Nova 1:1 ✺

11.07.2025 Vila Nova - Operário Ferroviario 0:0 ✺

06.07.2025 Ferroviária - Vila Nova 1:3 ✺

22.06.2025 Amazonas - Vila Nova 2:1 ✺

13.06.2025 Vila Nova - América Mineiro 0:3 ✺

Latest results of CRB Maceio

17.07.2025 Operário Ferroviario - CRB Maceio 1:1 ✺

10.07.2025 CRB Maceio - Coritiba 0:1 ✺

03.07.2025 Atlético Goianiense - CRB Maceio 2:1 ✺

26.06.2025 CRB Maceio - América Mineiro 1:2 ✺

21.06.2025 Ferroviária - CRB Maceio 1:0 ✺

Brazilian Serie B Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coritiba	33	16	9	8	34:21	13	57
2	Novorizontino	34	14	13	7	37:28	9	55
3	Chapecoense-SC	33	16	6	11	47:32	15	54
4	Criciuma	33	15	9	9	43:30	13	54
5	Remo	33	14	12	7	42:32	10	54
6	Goias	33	14	10	9	37:32	5	52
7	Athletico-PR	33	14	8	11	45:42	3	50
8	Cuiaba	33	13	11	9	40:37	3	50
9	CRB	33	14	6	13	39:34	5	48
10	Atletico GO	33	12	12	9	36:33	3	48
11	Avai	33	11	12	10	41:35	6	45
12	Vila Nova FC	33	11	10	12	32:34	-2	43
13	Operario-PR	33	11	9	13	34:37	-3	42
14	America MG	33	10	8	15	35:40	-5	38
15	Ferroviaria	33	8	14	11	38:44	-6	38
16	Athletic Club	33	10	7	16	38:47	-9	37
17	Botafogo SP	34	8	11	15	30:50	-20	35
18	Volta Redonda	33	8	10	15	23:36	-13	34
19	Amazonas	33	7	11	15	33:48	-15	32
20	Paysandu PA	33	5	12	16	30:42	-12	27

Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )