Vila Nova vs Luverdense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Copa Verde Vila Nova - Luverdense
Result
2:1 penalties
04/02/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Copa Verde - 1/8-finals

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 27', 1 - 0, Igor Inocencio ,
  • 33', 1 - 1, Bruninho ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • Penalties (9 - 8)
  • 1, Vinicius Paiva (Pen),
  • 1, Raul Prata (Pen),
  • 2, Igor Inocencio (Pen),
  • 2, Adriano Klein (Pen),
  • 3, Higor (Pen),
  • 3, Leozinho (Pen),
  • 4, Tiago Pagnussat (Pen),
  • 4, Gaspar (Pen),
  • 5, Ralf (Pen),
  • 5, (Pen),
  • 6, (Pen),
  • 6, (Pen),
  • 7, (Pen),
  • 7, (Pen),
  • 8, (Pen),
  • 8, (Pen),
  • 9, (Pen),
  • 9, (Pen),

Chances of winning


Vila Nova
50.9%
Draw
28.2%
Luverdense
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.2% 21.8% 12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.1% 20.6% 11.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vila Nova's form might have worsened.
  • Luverdense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luverdense's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+19.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vila Nova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luverdense than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luverdense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Vila Nova - Luverdense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.37)
    3.23
    (4.17)
    4.34
    (7.58)
    10%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Vila Nova won 3.
    • Vila Nova is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Luverdense is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Vila Nova is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Vila Nova to win the game is with odds 1.66.
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Vila Nova won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:4 (average 1.2:0.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Vila Nova won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:1 (average 1.4:0.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vila Nova - Luverdense were as follows:
    23.02.2023 Vila Nova - Luverdense 1:0
    Latest results of Vila Nova
    Latest results of Luverdense
    01.02.2025 Mixto - Luverdense 4:1
    29.01.2025 Cuiabá - Luverdense 3:1
    22.01.2025 Operário MS - Luverdense 0:1
    18.01.2025 Luverdense - Nova Mutum 1:1
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Paysandu PABye
    2Porto VelhoHumaita3 : 2
    3ManausBye
    4Aguia De MarabaIndependencia2 : 1
    5RemoBye
    6Sao Raimundo RRTrem4 : 1
    7AmazonasBye
    8TocantinopolisGAS2 : 1
    9AparecidenseBye
    10Uniao RondonopolisUniao Carmolandense3 : 0
    11GoiasBye
    12Vitoria ESRio Branco ES1 : 2
    13BrasilienseBye
    14CeilandiaCapital1 : 2
    15Vila Nova FCBye
    16Operario MSLuverdense0 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Paysandu PAPorto Velho2 : 1
    2ManausAguia De Maraba3 : 2
    3RemoSao Raimundo RR1 : 2
    4AmazonasTocantinopolis5 : 1
    5AparecidenseUniao Rondonopolis2 : 3
    6GoiasRio Branco ES6 : 0
    7BrasilienseCapital1 : 0
    8Vila Nova FCLuverdense2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Paysandu PAManaus4 : 1, 0 : 0
    2Sao Raimundo RRAmazonas0 : 0, 2 : 0
    3Uniao RondonopolisGoias0 : 3, 0 : 2
    4BrasilienseVila Nova FC3 : 1, 1 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Paysandu PASao Raimundo RR3 : 0, 2 : 2
    2GoiasBrasiliense1 : 0, 3 : 3

    Final
    1Paysandu PAGoias2 : 1, 0 : 0