Aparecida vs Vila Real – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
22/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 23

Match Stats

Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
65
Corner kicks
36
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
56
Corner kicks
36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 43', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 70', 2 - 0, ,
  • 76', 2 - 1, ,
  • 78', 3 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Aparecida
44.3%
Draw
27.9%
Vila Real
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.8% 28% 30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2% 29% 29.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aparecida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Vila Real has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aparecida than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Real than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • Aparecida - Vila Real Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (2.08)
    3.21
    (3.1)
    3.21
    (2.88)
    11.6%
    (15.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 10 in the zone Relegation)
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Aparecida is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Aparecida won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aparecida - Vila Real were as follows:
    29.11.2025 Vila Real - Aparecida 2:1
    Latest results of Aparecida
    15.03.2026 Rebordosa - Aparecida 3:1
    08.03.2026 Vila Meã - Aparecida 1:1
    01.03.2026 Aparecida - Resende 3:1
    22.02.2026 Salgueiros 08 - Aparecida 1:1
    15.02.2026 Aparecida - Beira-Mar 1:5
    Latest results of Vila Real
    15.03.2026 Vila Real - Resende 0:3
    08.03.2026 Salgueiros 08 - Vila Real 1:1
    01.03.2026 Vila Real - Beira-Mar 2:1
    22.02.2026 Anadia - Vila Real 0:0
    15.02.2026 Vila Real - Gouveia 2:1