Porto Vitória vs Vilavelhense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
12/02/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Capixaba - Round 9

Match Stats

Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
137
Shots on target
53
Corner kicks
86
Yellow cards
20
Total shots
137
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
84
Corner kicks
86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 50', Joao Victor 🟨,
  • 62', Henrique Melo , Matheus Santos ,
  • 62', Victor Rangel , Pedro Felipe ,
  • 72', 1 - 0, Pedro Felipe ,
  • 76', Pedro Felipe 🟨,
  • 86', Jomar , Robert O. ,
  • 86', Alberto , Joao Rozario ,

Chances of winning


Porto Vitória
62.9%
Draw
23.3%
Vilavelhense
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.3% 20.2% 10.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2% 17% 12.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Porto Vitória has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Porto Vitória's form might have worsened.
  • Vilavelhense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto Vitória than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilavelhense than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Porto Vitória - Vilavelhense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.32)
    3.89
    (4.52)
    6.58
    (8.71)
    10.4%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Vilavelhense is Qualified for Capixaba (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    • Porto Vitória has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Vilavelhense is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Vilavelhense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Porto Vitória is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Porto Vitória won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:2. (average 3:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Porto Vitória won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Porto Vitória - Vilavelhense were as follows:
    30.04.2025 Porto Vitória - Vilavelhense 5:0
    17.02.2025 Porto Vitória - Vilavelhense 0:1
    17.02.2023 Vilavelhense - Porto Vitória 1:4
    Latest results of Porto Vitória
    Latest results of Vilavelhense
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Rio Branco ES (4)Porto Vitoria (5)0 : 1, 1 : 1
    2Vitoria ES (1)Forte (8)4 : 1, 1 : 1
    3Vilavelhense (3)Desportiva Ferroviaria (6)1 : 1, 1 : 1
    4Serra (2)Real Noroeste (7)1 : 0, 1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Porto VitoriaVitoria ES
    2VilavelhenseSerra

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2