Vilavelhense vs Serra – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
09/02/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Capixaba - Round 8

Match Stats

Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
710
Shots on target
22
Corner kicks
111
Yellow cards
32
Total shots
710
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
58
Corner kicks
111

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 21', Dandan 🟨,
  • 24', 1 - 0, Guilherme ,
  • 33', Ruan Lopes 🟨,
  • 39', Salah 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Gean Miller , Fabio Magrao ,
  • 62', Marcudinho , Marco Damasceno ,
  • 62', Pepeu , Chico ,
  • 63', Juninho , Shaider ,
  • 72', Diogo , Campos Almeida E. d. S. ,
  • 72', Salah , Joao Firmino ,
  • 72', Kelvin , Joao Rozario ,
  • 78', Campos Almeida E. d. S. 🟨,
  • 86', Edson Mika , Conrado ,
  • 86', Knupp , Bruno Paixao ,
  • 90+6', Borjao 🟨,

Chances of winning


Vilavelhense
22.5%
Draw
29.5%
Serra
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.5% 28.3% 42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29% 27.8% 43%

Vilavelhense - Serra Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
4.03
(3.08)
3.07
(3.21)
1.89
(2.15)
10.4%
(10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Vilavelhense - Serra?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Serra will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Serra will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vilavelhense won 1.
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Serra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Serra is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Vilavelhense won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 2:2.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vilavelhense won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 2.2:2.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vilavelhense - Serra were as follows:
    15.06.2025 Vilavelhense - Serra 2:1
    11.03.2023 Vilavelhense - Serra 3:3
    Latest results of Vilavelhense
    Latest results of Serra
    03.02.2026 Porto Vitória - Serra 0:1
    31.01.2026 Serra - Rio Branco-VN 1:0
    28.01.2026 Forte Rio Bananal - Serra 2:0
    25.01.2026 Serra - Capixaba SC 3:0
    22.01.2026 Noroeste - Serra 1:1
    Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria ES ✔ 852112:3917
    2Serra ✔ 84229:4514
    3Vilavelhense ✔ 84138:9-113
    4Rio Branco ES ✔ 83328:4412
    5Forte82515:3211
    6Porto Vitoria82426:5110
    7Capixaba SC83146:11-510
    8Desportiva Ferroviaria82249:11-28
    9Real Noroeste82247:13-68
    10Rio Branco-VN ✔ 80446:13-74

          Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation ~ Capixaba 2

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Vitoria ES is Qualified for Capixaba (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Serra is Qualified for Capixaba (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Vilavelhense is Qualified for Capixaba (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Rio Branco ES is Qualified for Capixaba (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Rio Branco-VN is Relegated to Capixaba 2