Result
1:0
09/02/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', Dandan 🟨,
- 24', 1 - 0, Guilherme ⚽,
- 33', Ruan Lopes 🟨,
- 39', Salah 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Gean Miller ↓, Fabio Magrao ↑,
- 62', Marcudinho ↓, Marco Damasceno ↑,
- 62', Pepeu ↓, Chico ↑,
- 63', Juninho ↓, Shaider ↑,
- 72', Diogo ↓, Campos Almeida E. d. S. ↑,
- 72', Salah ↓, Joao Firmino ↑,
- 72', Kelvin ↓, Joao Rozario ↑,
- 78', Campos Almeida E. d. S. 🟨,
- 86', Edson Mika ↓, Conrado ↑,
- 86', Knupp ↓, Bruno Paixao ↑,
- 90+6', Borjao 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vilavelhense
22.5% | Draw
29.5% | Serra
48% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vilavelhense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vilavelhense's form might have worsened.Serra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Serra's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilavelhense than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vilavelhense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serra than the current prediction. (-5%)
Vilavelhense - Serra Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.03 ↑
(3.08) |
3.07 ↓
(3.21) |
1.89 ↓
(2.15) |
10.4%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Vilavelhense - Serra?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Serra will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Serra will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vilavelhense won 1.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Serra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Serra is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Vilavelhense won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 2:2.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vilavelhense won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 2.2:2.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Vilavelhense won against Serra?
Vilavelhense has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Serra won against Vilavelhense?
Serra has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vilavelhense - Serra were as follows:
15.06.2025
Vilavelhense
-
Serra
2:1
11.03.2023
Vilavelhense
-
Serra
3:3
Latest results of Vilavelhense
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Rio Branco ES (4) | Porto Vitoria (5) | 0 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Vitoria ES (1) | Forte (8) | 4 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 3 | Vilavelhense (3) | Desportiva Ferroviaria (6) | 1 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Serra (2) | Real Noroeste (7) | 1 : 0, 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Porto Vitoria | Vitoria ES | |
| 2 | Vilavelhense | Serra | |
Final
