Result
1:0
15/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Capixaba - Play Offs - Semi-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 24', J. Rocha ↓, Kainandro ↑,
- 37', Rossales 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 51', 🟨,
- 51', 1 - 0, Dandan ⚽,
- 54', 🟨,
- 54', 🟨,
- 59', 🟨,
- 90', 🟨,
- 90', (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Serra
61% | Draw
24.4% | Vilavelhense
14.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Serra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Vilavelhense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serra than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilavelhense than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Serra - Vilavelhense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↓
(1.59) |
3.72 ↑
(3.57) |
6.22 ↑
(5.48) |
10.3%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 2-1. Second leg.
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Serra won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Serra is a strong favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Serra won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 2.3:1.8).
- Including home match between the teams, Serra won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Serra won against Vilavelhense?
Serra has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vilavelhense won against Serra?
Vilavelhense has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Serra - Vilavelhense were as follows:
07.03.2026
Vilavelhense
-
Serra
1:2
09.02.2026
Vilavelhense
-
Serra
1:0
15.06.2025
Vilavelhense
-
Serra
2:1
11.03.2023
Vilavelhense
-
Serra
3:3
Latest results of Vilavelhense
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Rio Branco ES (4) | Porto Vitoria (5) | 0 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Vitoria ES (1) | Forte (8) | 4 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 3 | Vilavelhense (3) | Desportiva Ferroviaria (6) | 1 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Serra (2) | Real Noroeste (7) | 1 : 0, 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Porto Vitoria | Vitoria ES | 6 : 1, 0 : 4 |
| 2 | Vilavelhense | Serra | 0 : 1, 1 : 2 |
Final
