Canelas vs Vilaverdense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 3 Canelas - Vilaverdense
Result
3:1
12/03/2023 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - ROUND 22

Chances of winning


Canelas
23.3%
Draw
27.1%
Vilaverdense
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.8% 28.4% 47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3% 27.8% 48.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Canelas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Vilaverdense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Canelas aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilaverdense than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Canelas - Vilaverdense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.98
    (3.91)
    3.38
    (3.28)
    1.83
    (1.95)
    9.3%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 7 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group)).
    • Canelas is Liga 3 (Relegation Group)
    • Vilaverdense is Qualified for Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
    • Canelas is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Vilaverdense is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Canelas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Vilaverdense will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Canelas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Canelas - Vilaverdense were as follows:
    03.12.2022 Vilaverdense - Canelas 3:0
    Latest results of Canelas
    05.03.2023 Varzim - Canelas 1:1
    18.02.2023 Montalegre - Canelas 2:2
    11.02.2023 Canelas - Sanjoanense 2:3
    04.02.2023 Felgueiras - Canelas 2:1
    Latest results of Vilaverdense
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    2025/26

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Braga B73317:6112
    2Sanjoanense725010:7311
    3Trofense632110:4611
    4Varzim62319:549
    5Paredes71518:718
    6AD Marco 0971513:4-18
    7Vitoria Guimaraes B71427:707
    8AD Fafe61325:9-46
    9Amarante61235:7-25
    10Sao Joao Ver70434:12-84


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Caldas74219:6314
    2Os Belenenses63126:7-110
    3Mafra62317:709
    41u00ba Dezembro62316:609
    5Academica63038:539
    6Santarem72234:7-38
    7Lusitano GC62138:627
    8Amora62135:6-17
    9Covilha61324:5-16
    10Atletico CP62044:6-26

          Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
          Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )