Arthur Gea vs Vilius Gaubas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
20/04/2026 at 04:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
13
Double Faults
40
1st serve percentage
51%56%
1st serve points won
76% (19/25)81% (25/31)
2nd serve points won
42% (10/24)58% (14/24)
Break Points Saved
1/42/2
1st return points won
19% (6/31)24% (6/25)
2nd return points won
42% (10/24)58% (14/24)
Break Points Converted
0/23/4
Winners
1016
Unforced errors
2719
Net points won
50% (1/2)100% (3/3)
Service Points Won
59% (29/49)71% (39/55)
Return Points Won
29% (16/55)41% (20/49)
Total Points Won
43% (45/104)57% (59/104)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
00
Service games won
67% (6/9)100% (9/9)
Return games won
0% (0/9)33% (3/9)
Total games won
33% (6/18)67% (12/18)

Chances of winning


Arthur Gea
45.9%
Vilius Gaubas
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.8% 41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3% 45.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arthur Gea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arthur Gea's form might have worsened.
  • Vilius Gaubas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vilius Gaubas's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arthur Gea, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vilius Gaubas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Arthur Gea - Vilius Gaubas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (1.59)

    1.74
    (2.27)
    6%
    (6.9%)
    What is the prediction for Arthur Gea - Vilius Gaubas?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gea will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Gaubas will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Gea is ranked ATP: 138. Gaubas is ranked ATP: 122.
    • Gea has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Gaubas's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gea won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arthur Gea - Vilius Gaubas were as follows:
    03.04.2025 Vilius Gaubas - Arthur Gea 2:0
    Latest results of Arthur Gea
    22.03.2026 Stefano Travaglia - Arthur Gea Gea A. retired
    Latest results of Vilius Gaubas
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Semi-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Gojo B.
    2Harris B.Merida Aguilar D. (13)
    3Garin C. (2)Blanchet U. (Alt)2 : 0
    4Pellegrino A.Damm M. (24)0 : 2
    5Svajda Z. (3)Sakamoto R. (WC)0 : 2
    6Gea A.Gaubas V. (22)0 : 2
    7Prizmic D. (4)O'Connell C.
    8Piros Z.Barrios Vera T. (21)
    9Vukic A. (5)Llamas Ruiz P.0 : 2
    10Moller E.Gaston H. (18)2 : 0
    11Halys Q. (6)Faria J.
    12Harris L.McDonald M. (23)
    13Kypson P. (7)Kouame M. (WC)
    14Travaglia S.Basilashvili N. (20)
    15Vallejo D. (8)Martinez P.
    16Rocha H.Choinski J. (19)
    17Kovacevic A. (9)Echargui M.
    18Budkov Kjaer N.Maestrelli F. (16)
    19van Assche L. (10)Dedura D. (WC)
    20Blanch Dar. (WC)Bonzi B. (15)
    21Wu Y. (11)Dhamne M. (WC)2 : 0
    22Virtanen O.Droguet T. (17)1 : 2
    23Hijikata R. (12)Rodesch C.
    24Lajovic D.Arnaldi M. (14)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2Garin C. (2)Damm M. (24)
    3Sakamoto R.Gaubas V. (22)
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5Llamas Ruiz P.Moller E.
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11Wu Y. (11)Droguet T. (17)
    12TBD #23TBD #24