Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Vilius Gaubas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Lisbon Challenger Men Daniel Merida Aguilar - Vilius Gaubas
Result
0:2
26/09/2025 at 09:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lisbon, clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
11
Double Faults
20
1st Serve Percentage
78%67%
1st Serve Points Won
51% (24/47)71% (29/41)
2nd Serve Points Won
62% (8/13)50% (10/20)
Break Points Saved
43% (3/7)80% (4/5)
1st Return Points Won
37% (15/41)49% (23/47)
2nd Return Points Won
50% (10/20)38% (5/13)
Break Points Converted
20% (1/5)57% (4/7)
Service Points Won
52% (30/58)64% (39/61)
Return Points Won
36% (22/61)48% (28/58)
Total Points Won
44% (52/119)56% (67/119)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
20
Service Games Won
50% (4/8)89% (8/9)
Return Games Won
11% (1/9)50% (4/8)
Total Games Won
29% (5/17)71% (12/17)

Chances of winning


Daniel Merida Aguilar
42.8%
Vilius Gaubas
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44% 56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3% 56.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Daniel Merida Aguilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Vilius Gaubas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Daniel Merida Aguilar - Vilius Gaubas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (2.15)

    1.66
    (1.69)
    4%
    (5.7%)
    What is the prediction for Daniel Merida Aguilar - Vilius Gaubas?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Merida Aguilar will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Gaubas will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Merida Aguilar (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 173. Gaubas is ranked ATP: 165.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Gaubas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Merida Aguilar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Daniel Merida Aguilar - Vilius Gaubas were as follows:
    22.04.2024 Vilius Gaubas - Daniel Merida Aguilar 2:0
    17.02.2024 Vilius Gaubas - Daniel Merida Aguilar 1:2
    14.11.2023 Vilius Gaubas - Daniel Merida Aguilar 2:0
    27.07.2023 Vilius Gaubas - Daniel Merida Aguilar 2:1
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Kopriva V. (1)Pavlovic L.2 : 0
    2Ritschard A. (Q)Schwaerzler J. J. (NG)2 : 0
    3Travaglia S. (Alt)Dodig M. (NG)2 : 0
    4Negritu Ch. (Q)Faria J. (6)1 : 2
    5Carballes Baena R. (3)Seyboth Wild T.2 : 0
    6Llamas Ruiz P. (Q)Moro Canas A. (Q)2 : 0
    7Araujo P. (WC)Rocha H.0 : 2
    8Choinski J.Pellegrino A. (8)2 : 1
    9Galan D. E. (7)Trungelliti M.0 : 2
    10Den Ouden G.Ymer E. (Alt)2 : 0
    11Cecchinato M. (Q)Monteiro T.0 : 2
    12Rocha F. (Q)Buse I. (4)0 : 2
    13Moller E. (5)Pereira T. (WC)0 : 2
    14Merida Aguilar D.Kym J.2 : 1
    15Ferreira Silva F. (WC)Clarke J.2 : 1
    16Gaubas V.Taberner C. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Kopriva V. (1)Ritschard A.0 : 2
    2Travaglia S.Faria J. (6)2 : 1
    3Carballes Baena R. (RET.) (3)Llamas Ruiz P.0 : 1
    4Rocha H.Choinski J.2 : 0
    5Trungelliti M.Den Ouden G.2 : 0
    6Monteiro T.Buse I. (4)0 : 2
    7Pereira T.Merida Aguilar D.0 : 2
    8Ferreira Silva F.Gaubas V.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Ritschard A.Travaglia S.1 : 2
    2Llamas Ruiz P.Rocha H.0 : 2
    3Trungelliti M.Buse I. (4)1 : 2
    4Merida Aguilar D.Gaubas V.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Travaglia S.Rocha H.1 : 2
    2Buse I. (4)Gaubas V.0 : 2

    Final
    1Rocha H.Gaubas V.1 : 2