Result
1:2
11/04/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 63% | 66% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 67% (55/82) | 82% (58/71) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 58% (28/48) | 57% (21/37) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 83% (5/6) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 18% (13/71) | 33% (27/82) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 43% (16/37) | 42% (20/48) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 17% (1/6) | 20% (2/10) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 64% (83/130) | 73% (79/108) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 27% (29/108) | 36% (47/130) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 47% (112/238) | 53% (126/238) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 88% (15/17) | 94% (16/17) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 6% (1/17) | 12% (2/17) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 47% (16/34) | 53% (18/34) |
Chances of winning
Vilius Gaubas
32.7% | Marin Cilic
67.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vilius Gaubas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Marin Cilic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marin Cilic than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Vilius Gaubas - Marin Cilic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.83 ↑
(2.7) |
|
1.39 ↓
(1.41) |
7.4%
(8%) | |
What is the prediction for Vilius Gaubas - Marin Cilic?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Gaubas will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Cilic will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cilic: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cilic (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Gaubas is ranked ATP: 149. Cilic is ranked ATP: 117.
- Gaubas in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- Cilic is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Cilic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Cilic will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Our prediction for today's Cilic to win the game is with odds 1.39.
- Recently, the players did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Vilius Gaubas won against Marin Cilic?
Vilius Gaubas has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Marin Cilic won against Vilius Gaubas?
Marin Cilic has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vilius Gaubas - Marin Cilic were as follows:
Latest results of Vilius Gaubas
Latest results of Marin Cilic
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Coric B. (1) | Blockx A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Rincon D. (Alt) | Piros Z. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Holmgren A. | Virtanen O. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Hardt N. (LL) | Royer V. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Harris B. (3) | Ofner S. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Giustino L. (Q) | Gaubas V. | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Trungelliti M. | Merida Aguilar D. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Buse I. (Alt) | Cilic M. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Kotov P. (5) | Hassan B. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Butvilas E. | Moro Canas A. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Damas M. (WC) | Gombos N. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Boyer T. | Shevchenko A. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Carreno-Busta P. (6) | Paul J. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Hemery C. | Zapata Miralles B. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Taberner C. | Roca Batalla O. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Majchrzak K. | Dellien H. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Coric B. (1) | Piros Z. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Holmgren A. | Royer V. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Ofner S. | Gaubas V. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Trungelliti M. | Cilic M. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Kotov P. (5) | Moro Canas A. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Gombos N. | Shevchenko A. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Carreno-Busta P. (6) | Hemery C. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Taberner C. | Majchrzak K. | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Piros Z. (RET.) | Royer V. (7) | 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Gaubas V. | Cilic M. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Kotov P. (5) | Gombos N. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Carreno-Busta P. (6) | Majchrzak K. | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Royer V. (7) | Cilic M. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Gombos N. | Majchrzak K. | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Cilic M. (8) | Majchrzak K. | 1 : 2 |
