Vilius Gaubas vs Mees Rottgering – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Lugano Challenger Men Vilius Gaubas - Mees Rottgering
Result
2:1
26/02/2025 at 11:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lugano (Switzerland), hard (indoor) - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
91
Double Faults
35
1st Serve Percentage
74%61%
1st Serve Points Won
71% (51/72)71% (45/63)
2nd Serve Points Won
52% (13/25)53% (21/40)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/3)29% (2/7)
1st Return Points Won
29% (18/63)29% (21/72)
2nd Return Points Won
48% (19/40)48% (12/25)
Break Points Converted
71% (5/7)100% (3/3)
Service Points Won
66% (64/97)64% (66/103)
Return Points Won
36% (37/103)34% (33/97)
Total Points Won
51% (101/200)50% (99/200)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
02
Service Games Won
82% (14/17)71% (12/17)
Return Games Won
29% (5/17)18% (3/17)
Total Games Won
56% (19/34)44% (15/34)

Chances of winning


Vilius Gaubas
58.5%
Mees Rottgering
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.2% 31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6% 31.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vilius Gaubas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vilius Gaubas's form might have worsened.
  • Mees Rottgering has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mees Rottgering's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vilius Gaubas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mees Rottgering than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mees Rottgering, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Vilius Gaubas - Mees Rottgering Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.37)

    2.25
    (2.93)
    6.9%
    (7.3%)
    What is the prediction for Vilius Gaubas - Mees Rottgering?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Gaubas will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Rottgering will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Gaubas is ranked ATP: 184. Rottgering is ranked ATP: 835.
    • One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
    • Gaubas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Gaubas will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Mees Rottgering
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Collignon R. (1)Sachko V. (Q)2 : 0
    2Durasovic V. (SE)Hassan B.2 : 1
    3Chidekh C.Ruusuvuori E.1 : 2
    4Sakamoto R. (Q)Draxl L. (8)0 : 2
    5van Assche L. (3)Wu Tung-Lin (Alt)2 : 1
    6Zahraj P. (SE)Choinski J.1 : 2
    7Berankis R. (Q)Cassone M. (Q)0 : 2
    8Cui J. (LL)Grenier H. (5)0 : 2
    9Gaubas V. (7)Stricker D. (PR)2 : 1
    10Zhukayev B.Rottgering M.1 : 2
    11Prizmic D. (Q)Paul J. (WC)2 : 0
    12Prado Angelo J. C. (LL)Blockx A. (4)0 : 2
    13Squire H. (6)Andreev A. (Alt)2 : 0
    14Butvilas E. (Q)Bertola R. (WC)1 : 2
    15Escoffier A.Brunold M. (WC)2 : 0
    16Onclin G.Coric B. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Collignon R. (1)Durasovic V.2 : 0
    2Ruusuvuori E.Draxl L. (8)0 : 2
    3van Assche L. (3)Choinski J.2 : 0
    4Cassone M.Grenier H. (5)2 : 0
    5Gaubas V. (7)Rottgering M.2 : 1
    6Prizmic D.Blockx A. (4)2 : 0
    7Squire H. (6)Bertola R.2 : 0
    8Escoffier A.Coric B. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Collignon R. (1)Draxl L. (8)2 : 0
    2van Assche L. (3)Cassone M.1 : 2
    3Gaubas V. (7)Prizmic D.0 : 2
    4Squire H. (6)Coric B. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Collignon R. (1)Cassone M.2 : 1
    2Prizmic D.Coric B. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Collignon R. (1)Coric B. (2)0 : 2