Vilius Gaubas vs Stefano Napolitano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Madrid Challenger Men Vilius Gaubas - Stefano Napolitano
Result
0:2
08/04/2024 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain), clay - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Morata Orellana J. (Esp)

Match Stats

Aces
21
Double Faults
21
1st Serve Percentage
67%67%
1st Serve Points Won
53% (20/38)74% (25/34)
2nd Serve Points Won
47% (9/19)71% (12/17)
Break Points Saved
43% (3/7)0% (0/0)
1st Return Points Won
26% (9/34)47% (18/38)
2nd Return Points Won
29% (5/17)53% (10/19)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/0)57% (4/7)
Max Points In Row
38
Service Points Won
51% (29/57)73% (37/51)
Return Points Won
27% (14/51)49% (28/57)
Total Points Won
40% (43/108)60% (65/108)
Max Games In Row
15
Service Games Won
56% (5/9)100% (8/8)
Return Games Won
0% (0/8)44% (4/9)
Total Games Won
29% (5/17)71% (12/17)

Chances of winning


Vilius Gaubas
41.1%
Stefano Napolitano
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.1% 65.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5% 66.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vilius Gaubas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vilius Gaubas's performance.
  • Stefano Napolitano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stefano Napolitano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vilius Gaubas that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefano Napolitano than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stefano Napolitano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Vilius Gaubas - Stefano Napolitano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (2.74)

    1.59
    (1.42)
    6.6%
    (7.2%)
    What is the prediction for Vilius Gaubas - Stefano Napolitano?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Gaubas will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Napolitano will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Napolitano: 25.1%83.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Gaubas is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Napolitano is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Gaubas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Napolitano will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Vilius Gaubas
    Latest results of Stefano Napolitano
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Coric B. (1)Blockx A.2 : 0
    2Rincon D. (Alt)Piros Z. (Q)1 : 2
    3Holmgren A.Virtanen O.2 : 1
    4Hardt N. (LL)Royer V. (7)0 : 2
    5Harris B. (3)Ofner S.1 : 2
    6Giustino L. (Q)Gaubas V.1 : 2
    7Trungelliti M.Merida Aguilar D. (WC)2 : 0
    8Buse I. (Alt)Cilic M. (8)0 : 2
    9Kotov P. (5)Hassan B.2 : 0
    10Butvilas E.Moro Canas A.0 : 2
    11Damas M. (WC)Gombos N. (Q)0 : 2
    12Boyer T.Shevchenko A. (4)0 : 2
    13Carreno-Busta P. (6)Paul J. (Q)2 : 0
    14Hemery C.Zapata Miralles B. (Q)2 : 1
    15Taberner C.Roca Batalla O. (Q)2 : 0
    16Majchrzak K.Dellien H. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Coric B. (1)Piros Z.1 : 2
    2Holmgren A.Royer V. (7)0 : 2
    3Ofner S.Gaubas V.1 : 2
    4Trungelliti M.Cilic M. (8)1 : 2
    5Kotov P. (5)Moro Canas A.2 : 1
    6Gombos N.Shevchenko A. (4)2 : 0
    7Carreno-Busta P. (6)Hemery C.2 : 1
    8Taberner C.Majchrzak K.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Piros Z. (RET.)Royer V. (7)0 : 0
    2Gaubas V.Cilic M. (8)1 : 2
    3Kotov P. (5)Gombos N.1 : 2
    4Carreno-Busta P. (6)Majchrzak K.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Royer V. (7)Cilic M. (8)1 : 2
    2Gombos N.Majchrzak K.1 : 2

    Final
    1Cilic M. (8)Majchrzak K.1 : 2