Villa de Aranda vs Naturhouse La Rioja – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
26:35
15/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga ASOBAL - Round 21
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainLaLiga+

Chances of winning


Villa de Aranda
20.3%
Draw
9.2%
Naturhouse La Rioja
70.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24% 8% 67.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3% 7.8% 69.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Villa de Aranda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Naturhouse La Rioja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa de Aranda than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naturhouse La Rioja than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Villa de Aranda - Naturhouse La Rioja Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.43
    (3.79)
    9.76
    (11.33)
    1.31
    (1.34)
    9.5%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 60.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
    What is the prediction for Villa de Aranda - Naturhouse La Rioja?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. La Rioja will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. La Rioja (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 28:32.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ European League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villa de Aranda won 1.
    • Villa de Aranda is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • La Rioja is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Villa de Aranda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, La Rioja is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Villa de Aranda won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 397:436. (average 26.5:29.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Villa de Aranda won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 194:191. (average 27.7:27.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Villa de Aranda - Naturhouse La Rioja were as follows:
    19.10.2025 Naturhouse La Rioja - Villa de Aranda 42:30
    27.04.2025 Naturhouse La Rioja - Villa de Aranda 36:30
    30.11.2024 Villa de Aranda - Naturhouse La Rioja 32:27
    Latest results of Villa de Aranda
    08.03.2026 Torrelavega - Villa de Aranda 28:25
    20.02.2026 Barcelona - Villa de Aranda 41:27
    14.02.2026 Villa de Aranda - BM Huesca 30:34
    08.02.2026 Nava - Villa de Aranda 32:32
    Latest results of Naturhouse La Rioja
    Spanish Liga ASOBAL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLPts
    1Barcelona212100824:57142
    2La Rioja211515678:63331
    3Granollers211506677:63830
    4Torrelavega211425648:60530
    5CD Bidasoa Irun211317655:61927
    6Ademar211056632:61825
    7Atl. Valladolid211038605:62023
    8Caserio Ciudad Real219210611:63720
    9Cuenca217311594:61017
    10Horneo Alicante218112636:67017
    11Nava217113613:65715
    12Villa de Aranda216114590:65013
    13Morrazo Cangas216114595:64113
    14Huesca215214628:69412
    15Puente Genil215115607:66111
    16Quabit Guadalajara214215620:68910

          Promotion ~ Champions League
          Promotion ~ European League
          Liga ASOBAL (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Division de Honor Plata