Villarreal vs Ajax – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
20/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 7
  • Referee: Walsh N. (Sco)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport OTT 7, SuperSport Variety 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 8
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 8, Pickx+ Sports 8
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
brazilBrazilHBO Max
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
franceFranceCanal+ Live 6
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 3
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 9
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 5
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
italyItalySky Sport 258
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
mexicoMexicoHBO Max
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport OTT 7
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+, Fox Sports 2
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 7
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 5
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport OTT 7, SuperSport Variety 2
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 2
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 7, Blue Sport 7
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 8, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports Extra
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus, TV 360
worldWorldVIX App

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.350.91
Ball possession
39%61%
Total shots
1915
Shots on target
85
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
75
Passes
86% (341/395)92% (589/637)
Yellow cards
32
Expected goals (xG)
1.350.91
xG on target (xGOT)
1.711.24
Total shots
1915
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
85
Blocked shots
35
Shots inside the box
145
Shots outside the box
510
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
75
Touches in opposition box
3024
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free kicks
1011
Passes
86% (341/395)92% (589/637)
Long passes
60% (27/45)63% (35/56)
Passes in final third
70% (60/86)76% (91/119)
Crosses
36% (5/14)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.680.87
Throw ins
126
Fouls
1110
Tackles
67% (12/18)70% (7/10)
Duels won
4338
Clearances
2219
Interceptions
65
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
36
xGOT faced
1.241.71
Goals prevented
-0.760.71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 12', Wijndal O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Moleiro A. , Buchanan T. ,
  • 49', 1 - 0, Oluwaseyi T. , Marin R. (A),
  • 54', Regeer Y. , Itakura K. ,
  • 60', Mourino S. 🟨,
  • 61', 1 - 1, Gloukh O. ,
  • 71', Partey T. 🟨,
  • 71', Dolberg K. , Bounida R. ,
  • 71', Mokio J. , Steur S. ,
  • 72', Pepe N. , Mikautadze G. ,
  • 72', Perez A. , Moreno G. ,
  • 74', Partey T. , Parejo D. ,
  • 80', Marin R. 🟨,
  • 84', Gloukh O. , Edvardsen O. ,
  • 84', Wijndal O. , Fitz-Jim K. ,
  • 88', Bouwman A. 🟨,
  • 90', 1 - 2, Edvardsen O. , Gaaei A. (A),

Chances of winning


Villarreal
69.9%
Draw
17.6%
Ajax
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.3% 21.3% 18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61% 21.5% 18.3%

Villarreal - Ajax Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.39
(1.58)
5.45
(4.48)
7.6
(5.15)
3.5%
(5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Villarreal - Ajax?
  • Users Predictions: 73 users predict this event. Villarreal will win (votes: 48 - 65.8%). Ajax will win (votes: 16 - 21.9%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 12.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Villarreal: 54.9%76.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Villarreal (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Ajax (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Villarreal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Villarreal is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Villarreal: Cabanes P. (Knee Injury) Costa L. (Knee Injury) Eto'o E. (Inactive) Fernandez T. (Knee Injury) Gueye P. (Yellow Cards) Kambwala W. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Ajax: Berghuis S. (Groin Injury) Ibrahimovic M. (Inactive) Tomiyasu T. (Lacking Match Fitness) Weghorst W. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Villarreal: Pedraza A. (Broken nose)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Villarreal
    17.01.2026 Betis - Villarreal 2:0
    03.01.2026 Elche - Villarreal 1:3
    21.12.2025 Villarreal - Barcelona 0:2
    Latest results of Ajax
    17.01.2026 Ajax - Go Ahead Eagles 2:2
    14.01.2026 AZ Alkmaar - Ajax 6:0
    11.01.2026 Telstar - Ajax 2:3
    05.01.2026 Ajax - Seraing 4:0
    20.12.2025 NEC Nijmegen - Ajax 2:2
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal ✔ 770020:21821
    2Bayern Munich ✔ 760120:71318
    3Real Madrid750219:81115
    4Liverpool750214:8615
    5Tottenham742115:7814
    6PSG741220:101013
    7Newcastle741216:61013
    8Chelsea741214:8613
    9Barcelona741218:13513
    10Sporting CP741214:9513
    11Manchester City741213:9413
    12Atl. Madrid741216:13313
    13Atalanta741210:9113
    14Inter740313:7612
    15Juventus733114:10412
    16Dortmund732219:15411
    17Galatasaray73139:9010
    18Qarabag731313:15-210
    19Marseille730411:1109
    20Bayer Leverkusen723210:14-49
    21Monaco72328:14-69
    22PSV722315:1418
    23Ath Bilbao72237:11-48
    24Olympiacos Piraeus72238:13-58
    25Napoli72237:12-58
    26FC Copenhagen722311:17-68
    27Club Brugge KV721412:17-57
    28Bodo/Glimt713312:14-26
    29Benfica72056:10-46
    30Pafos71334:10-66
    31Royale Union SG72057:17-106
    32Ajax72057:19-126
    33Eintracht Frankfurt711510:19-94
    34Slavia Prague70344:15-113
    35Villarreal70165:15-101
    36Kairat Almaty70165:19-141

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Arsenal is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Bayern Munich is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)