Result
1:2
20/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Champions League - League phase - Round 7
- Referee: Walsh N. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, SuperSport OTT 7, SuperSport Variety 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 8 |
 Belgium | Pickx+ Sports 8, Pickx+ Sports 8 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Brazil | HBO Max |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3 |
 France | Canal+ Live 6 |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 3 |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 9 |
 Hungary | RTL+ |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport 5 |
 India | JioTV app, Sony LIV |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, Vidio |
 Italy | Sky Sport 258 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect |
 Mexico | HBO Max |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Nigeria | SuperSport OTT 7 |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | TV2 Play |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+, Fox Sports 2 |
 Philippines | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Poland | Canal+ Extra 7 |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 2 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 5 |
 South-africa | SuperSport OTT 7, SuperSport Variety 2 |
 South-america | ESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South, ViX Latin America |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 2 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 7, Blue Sport 7 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect |
 Turkey | Tabii |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 8, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports Extra |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 Vietnam | ON Plus, TV 360 |
 World | VIX App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.91 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (341/395) | 92% (589/637) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 1.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (341/395) | 92% (589/637) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (27/45) | 63% (35/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (60/86) | 76% (91/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.87 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.24 | 1.71 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.76 | 0.71 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Wijndal O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Moleiro A. ↓, Buchanan T. ↑,
- 49', 1 - 0, Oluwaseyi T. ⚽, Marin R. (A),
- 54', Regeer Y. ↓, Itakura K. ↑,
- 60', Mourino S. 🟨,
- 61', 1 - 1, Gloukh O. ⚽,
- 71', Partey T. 🟨,
- 71', Dolberg K. ↓, Bounida R. ↑,
- 71', Mokio J. ↓, Steur S. ↑,
- 72', Pepe N. ↓, Mikautadze G. ↑,
- 72', Perez A. ↓, Moreno G. ↑,
- 74', Partey T. ↓, Parejo D. ↑,
- 80', Marin R. 🟨,
- 84', Gloukh O. ↓, Edvardsen O. ↑,
- 84', Wijndal O. ↓, Fitz-Jim K. ↑,
- 88', Bouwman A. 🟨,
- 90', 1 - 2, Edvardsen O. ⚽, Gaaei A. (A),
Chances of winning
Villarreal
69.9% | Draw
17.6% | Ajax
12.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villarreal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Villarreal's performance.Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ajax might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-8.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villarreal that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ajax could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Villarreal - Ajax Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.39 ↓
(1.58) |
5.45 ↑
(4.48) |
7.6 ↑
(5.15) |
3.5%
(5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Villarreal - Ajax?
Users Predictions:
73 users predict this event. Villarreal will win (votes: 48 - 65.8%). Ajax will win (votes: 16 - 21.9%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 12.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Villarreal: 54.9% – 76.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 25 high ROI users predict this event. Villarreal (votes: 18 - 72%). Ajax (votes: 2 - 8%). Tie (votes: 5 - 20%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Villarreal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Villarreal is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Villarreal: Cabanes P.
(Knee Injury)
Costa L.
(Knee Injury)
Eto'o E.
(Inactive)
Fernandez T.
(Knee Injury)
Gueye P.
(Yellow Cards)
Kambwala W.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Ajax: Berghuis S.
(Groin Injury)
Ibrahimovic M.
(Inactive)
Tomiyasu T.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Weghorst W.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Villarreal: Pedraza A.
(Broken nose)
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Villarreal won against Ajax?
Villarreal has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ajax won against Villarreal?
Ajax has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Villarreal - Ajax were as follows:
Latest results of Villarreal
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Monaco (21) | PSG (11) | 2 : 2, 2 : 3 |
| 2 | Chelsea (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Galatasaray (20) | Juventus (13) | 2 : 3, 5 : 2 |
| 4 | Liverpool (3) | Bye | |
| 5 | Benfica (24) | Real Madrid (9) | 1 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Manchester City (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Dortmund (17) | Atalanta (15) | 1 : 4, 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bayern Munich (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Qarabag (22) | Newcastle (12) | 2 : 3, 1 : 6 |
| 10 | Barcelona (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Club Brugge KV (19) | Atl. Madrid (14) | 1 : 4, 3 : 3 |
| 12 | Tottenham (4) | Bye | |
| 13 | Bodo/Glimt (23) | Inter (10) | 2 : 1, 3 : 1 |
| 14 | Sporting CP (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Olympiacos Piraeus (18) | Bayer Leverkusen (16) | 0 : 0, 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Arsenal (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | PSG (11) | Chelsea (6) | |
| 2 | Galatasaray (20) | Liverpool (3) | |
| 3 | Real Madrid (9) | Manchester City (8) | |
| 4 | Atalanta (15) | Bayern Munich (2) | |
| 5 | Newcastle (12) | Barcelona (5) | |
| 6 | Atl. Madrid (14) | Tottenham (4) | |
| 7 | Bodo/Glimt (23) | Sporting CP (7) | |
| 8 | Bayer Leverkusen (16) | Arsenal (1) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
