Villarreal vs Ajax – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
20/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 7
  • Referee: Walsh N. (Sco)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport OTT 7, SuperSport Variety 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 8
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 8, Pickx+ Sports 8
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
brazilBrazilHBO Max
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
franceFranceCanal+ Live 6
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 3
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 9
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 5
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
italyItalySky Sport 258
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
mexicoMexicoHBO Max
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport OTT 7
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+, Fox Sports 2
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 7
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 5
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport OTT 7, SuperSport Variety 2
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 2
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 7, Blue Sport 7
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 8, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports Extra
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus, TV 360
worldWorldVIX App

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.350.91
Ball possession
39%61%
Total shots
1915
Shots on target
85
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
75
Passes
86% (341/395)92% (589/637)
Yellow cards
32
Expected goals (xG)
1.350.91
xG on target (xGOT)
1.711.24
Total shots
1915
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
85
Blocked shots
35
Shots inside the box
145
Shots outside the box
510
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
75
Touches in opposition box
3024
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free kicks
1011
Passes
86% (341/395)92% (589/637)
Long passes
60% (27/45)63% (35/56)
Passes in final third
70% (60/86)76% (91/119)
Crosses
36% (5/14)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.680.87
Throw ins
126
Fouls
1110
Tackles
67% (12/18)70% (7/10)
Duels won
4338
Clearances
2219
Interceptions
65
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
36
xGOT faced
1.241.71
Goals prevented
-0.760.71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 12', Wijndal O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Moleiro A. , Buchanan T. ,
  • 49', 1 - 0, Oluwaseyi T. , Marin R. (A),
  • 54', Regeer Y. , Itakura K. ,
  • 60', Mourino S. 🟨,
  • 61', 1 - 1, Gloukh O. ,
  • 71', Partey T. 🟨,
  • 71', Dolberg K. , Bounida R. ,
  • 71', Mokio J. , Steur S. ,
  • 72', Pepe N. , Mikautadze G. ,
  • 72', Perez A. , Moreno G. ,
  • 74', Partey T. , Parejo D. ,
  • 80', Marin R. 🟨,
  • 84', Gloukh O. , Edvardsen O. ,
  • 84', Wijndal O. , Fitz-Jim K. ,
  • 88', Bouwman A. 🟨,
  • 90', 1 - 2, Edvardsen O. , Gaaei A. (A),

Chances of winning


Villarreal
69.9%
Draw
17.6%
Ajax
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.3% 21.3% 18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61% 21.5% 18.3%

Villarreal - Ajax Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.39
(1.58)
5.45
(4.48)
7.6
(5.15)
3.5%
(5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Villarreal - Ajax?
  • Users Predictions: 73 users predict this event. Villarreal will win (votes: 48 - 65.8%). Ajax will win (votes: 16 - 21.9%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 12.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Villarreal: 54.9%76.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 25 high ROI users predict this event. Villarreal (votes: 18 - 72%). Ajax (votes: 2 - 8%). Tie (votes: 5 - 20%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Villarreal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Villarreal is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Villarreal: Cabanes P. (Knee Injury) Costa L. (Knee Injury) Eto'o E. (Inactive) Fernandez T. (Knee Injury) Gueye P. (Yellow Cards) Kambwala W. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Ajax: Berghuis S. (Groin Injury) Ibrahimovic M. (Inactive) Tomiyasu T. (Lacking Match Fitness) Weghorst W. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Villarreal: Pedraza A. (Broken nose)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Villarreal
    17.01.2026 Betis - Villarreal 2:0
    03.01.2026 Elche - Villarreal 1:3
    21.12.2025 Villarreal - Barcelona 0:2
    Latest results of Ajax
    17.01.2026 Ajax - Go Ahead Eagles 2:2
    14.01.2026 AZ Alkmaar - Ajax 6:0
    11.01.2026 Telstar - Ajax 2:3
    05.01.2026 Ajax - Seraing 4:0
    20.12.2025 NEC Nijmegen - Ajax 2:2
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal880023:41924
    2Bayern Munich870122:81421
    3Liverpool860220:81218
    4Tottenham852117:71017
    5Barcelona851222:14816
    6Chelsea851217:10716
    7Sporting CP851217:11616
    8Manchester City851215:9616
    9Real Madrid850321:12915
    10Inter850315:7815
    11PSG842221:111014
    12Newcastle842217:71014
    13Juventus834114:10413
    14Atl. Madrid841317:15213
    15Atalanta841310:10013
    16Bayer Leverkusen833213:14-112
    17Dortmund832319:17211
    18Olympiacos Piraeus832310:14-411
    19Club Brugge KV831415:17-210
    20Galatasaray83149:11-210
    21Monaco82428:14-610
    22Qarabag831413:21-810
    23Bodo/Glimt823314:15-19
    24Benfica830510:12-29
    25Marseille830511:14-39
    26Pafos82338:11-39
    27Royale Union SG83058:17-99
    28PSV822416:1608
    29Ath Bilbao82249:14-58
    30Napoli82249:15-68
    31FC Copenhagen822412:21-98
    32Ajax82068:21-136
    33Eintracht Frankfurt811610:21-114
    34Slavia Prague80355:19-143
    35Villarreal80175:18-131
    36Kairat Almaty80177:22-151

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