Villarreal vs Osasuna: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

03/05/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio de la Ceramica (Villarreal).

: LaLiga - Round 34
Referee: Quintero A. (Esp)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.27	1.26
Ball Possession
44%	56%
Total shots
15	11
Shots on target
5	4
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
2	8
Passes
85% (333/392)	85% (405/477)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.27	1.26
xG on target (xGOT)
2.29	1.23
Total shots
15	11
Shots on target
5	4
Shots off target
6	3
Blocked Shots
4	4
Shots inside the Box
12	7
Shots outside the Box
3	4
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
2	8
Touches in opposition box
28	28
Accurate through passes
3	0
Offsides
3	2
Free Kicks
18	10
Passes
85% (333/392)	85% (405/477)
Long passes
45% (22/49)	62% (33/53)
Passes in final third
70% (54/77)	75% (122/162)
Crosses
57% (4/7)	24% (8/34)
Expected assists (xA)
1.98	1.03
Throw-ins
8	20
Fouls
10	18
Tackles
71% (12/17)	65% (13/20)
Duels won
54	55
Clearances
43	10
Interceptions
5	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	1
xGOT faced
1.23	2.29
Goals prevented
-0.77	-1.71

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (3 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Perez A. ⚽, Parejo D. (A),
33', 2 - 0, Barry T. ⚽, Pepe N. (A),
39', 3 - 0, Perez A. ⚽, Pepe N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Kiko Femenia ↓, Navarro P. ↑,
46', Gomez M. ↓, Zaragoza B. ↑,
60', Garcia U. ↓, Munoz I. ↑,
61', Navarro P. 🟨,
66', 3 - 1, Garcia R. ⚽, Budimir A. (A),
70', Gueye P. ↓, Buchanan T. ↑,
70', Barry T. ↓, Baena A. ↑,
71', 4 - 1, Pepe N. ⚽, Baena A. (A),
76', Foyth J. ↓, Kambwala W. ↑,
76', Budimir A. ↓, Garcia R. ↑,
76', Garcia R. ↓, Pena R. ↑,
80', 4 - 2, Oroz A. (Pen),
83', Parejo D. ↓, Suarez D. ↑,
83', Comesana S. 🟨,
88', Oroz A. 🟨,
89', Buchanan T. 🟨,
89', Areso J. ↓, Barja K. ↑,
90', Baena A. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Villarreal
66.2%

Draw
20%

Osasuna
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

21.5%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

21%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Osasuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osasuna than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Villarreal - Osasuna Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.56)	4.8 ↑ (4.48)	6.94 ↑ (5.77)	4% (3.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Villarreal - Osasuna?

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Villarreal will win (votes: 27 - 87.1%). Osasuna will win (votes: 3 - 9.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Villarreal: 75.3% – 98.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Villarreal (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villarreal won 3.
Recent performances by Villarreal have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Osasuna is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Osasuna may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Villarreal is the undisputed favorite.
There will not play in Villarreal: Akhomach I. (Knee Injury) Albiol R. (Injury) Pino Y. (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Osasuna: Catena A. (Yellow Cards) Moncayola J. (Thigh Injury)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Villarreal won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:17. (average 2.1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Villarreal won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 2.1:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Villarreal won against Osasuna?

Villarreal has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Osasuna won against Villarreal?

Osasuna has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Villarreal - Osasuna were as follows:

24.11.2024 Osasuna - Villarreal 2:2

25.05.2024 Osasuna - Villarreal 1:1

26.11.2023 Villarreal - Osasuna 3:1

19.03.2023 Osasuna - Villarreal 0:3

17.10.2022 Villarreal - Osasuna 2:0

Latest results of Villarreal

27.04.2025 Villarreal - Espanyol 1:0 ✺

23.04.2025 Celta de Vigo - Villarreal 3:0 ✺

20.04.2025 Villarreal - Real Sociedad 2:2 ✺

13.04.2025 Betis - Villarreal 1:2 ✺

06.04.2025 Villarreal - Athletic Bilbao 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Osasuna

24.04.2025 Osasuna - Sevilla 1:0 ✺

20.04.2025 Valladolid - Osasuna 2:3 ✺

13.04.2025 Osasuna - Girona 2:1 ✺

07.04.2025 Leganés - Osasuna 1:1 ✺

30.03.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Osasuna 0:0 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona	38	28	4	6	102:39	63	88
2	Real Madrid	38	26	6	6	78:38	40	84
3	Atl. Madrid	38	22	10	6	68:30	38	76
4	Ath Bilbao	38	19	13	6	54:29	25	70
5	Villarreal	38	20	10	8	71:51	20	70
6	Betis	38	16	12	10	57:50	7	60
7	Celta Vigo	38	16	7	15	59:57	2	55
8	Rayo Vallecano	38	13	13	12	41:45	-4	52
9	Osasuna	38	12	16	10	48:52	-4	52
10	Mallorca	38	13	9	16	35:44	-9	48
11	Real Sociedad	38	13	7	18	35:46	-11	46
12	Valencia	38	11	13	14	44:54	-10	46
13	Getafe	38	11	9	18	34:39	-5	42
14	Espanyol	38	11	9	18	40:51	-11	42
15	Alaves	38	10	12	16	38:48	-10	42
16	Girona	38	11	8	19	44:60	-16	41
17	Sevilla	38	10	11	17	42:55	-13	41
18	Leganes	38	9	13	16	39:56	-17	40
19	Las Palmas	38	8	8	22	40:61	-21	32
20	Valladolid	38	4	4	30	26:90	-64	16

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2

Which TV channels are streaming of Villarreal - Osasuna?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	ART Sport 3
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Maldives	ICE Plus, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 5
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga 2, DAZN LaLiga 2, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar, Max
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 3
Switzerland	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
Taiwan	DAZN
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15, SCTV Online