Villarreal vs Real Madrid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

15/03/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio de la Ceramica (Villarreal).

SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 28
Referee: Manzano J. (Esp)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Albania	K-Sport 1, SuperSport 1
Angola	Z Sport La Liga
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cuba	Tele Rebelde
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, Now Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Plus
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Montenegro	Arena Premium 1
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect, TVWan Sports 2
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1, TDM Desporto
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Setanta Sports
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	beIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	ESPN South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga TV 2, M+ LaLiga TV
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6
Taiwan	DAZN
Tajikistan	Varzish Sport
Tanzania	Azam Sports 4
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 2, LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Uzbekistan	Zor TV
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV Online
World	Disney+, Setanta Sports 2 Eurasia

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.76	1.05
Ball Possession
46%	54%
Goal Attempts
23	9
Shots on Goal
10	5
Shots off Goal
8	2
Blocked Shots
5	2
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
11	4
Shots inside the Box
15	5
Shots outside the Box
8	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	9
Free Kicks
3	17
Offsides
1	3
Fouls
17	3
Yellow Cards
2	1
Throw-ins
19	14
Touches in the Opposition Box
50	20
Passes
87% (403/463)	88% (524/593)
Passes in the final third
81% (149/185)	83% (143/172)
Crosses
23% (10/43)	0% (0/5)
Tackles
54% (13/24)	50% (10/20)
Clearances Total
13	47
Interceptions
7	17

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 2)
7', 1 - 0, Foyth J. ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, Mbappe K. ⚽,
23', 1 - 2, Mbappe K. ⚽, Lucas (A),
33', Tchouameni A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pepe N. ↓, Barry T. ↑,
50', Cardona S. 🟨,
62', Asencio R. ↓, Rudiger A. ↑,
62', Diaz B. ↓, Vinicius Junior ↑,
64', Cardona S. ↓, Pedraza A. ↑,
64', Buchanan T. ↓, Pino Y. ↑,
65', Rodrygo ↓, Modric L. ↑,
76', Foyth J. 🟨,
79', Comesana S. ↓, Parejo D. ↑,
82', Valverde F. ↓, Guler A. ↑,
84', Gueye P. ↓, Suarez D. ↑,

Chances of winning

Villarreal
32.5%

Draw
25.3%

Real Madrid
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

24.4%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

24.8%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Villarreal - Real Madrid Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↓ (3.22)	3.83 ↓ (3.94)	2.28 ↑ (2.09)	3.8% (4.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fubo (for US customers)

Network on : ESPN Deportes

What is the prediction for Villarreal - Real Madrid?

Users Predictions: 54 users predict this event. Villarreal will win (votes: 10 - 18.5%). Real will win (votes: 37 - 68.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 13%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 56.1% – 80.9%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Villarreal won 1.
Now both teams are in good shape.
Real could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Villarreal: Akhomach I. (Knee Injury) Kiko Femenia (Back Injury) Moreno G. (Calf Injury)
There will not play in Real: Carvajal D. (Knee Injury) Ceballos D. (Muscle Injury) Eder Militao (Knee Injury) Vallejo J. (Thigh Injury)
There are questionable in Real: Mendy F. (Hamstring Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Villarreal won 4 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 28:37 (average 1.4:1.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Villarreal won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18:18 (average 1.8:1.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Villarreal won against Real Madrid?

Villarreal has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid won against Villarreal?

Real Madrid has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Villarreal - Real Madrid were as follows:

05.10.2024 Real Madrid - Villarreal 2:0

19.05.2024 Villarreal - Real Madrid 4:4

17.12.2023 Real Madrid - Villarreal 4:1

08.04.2023 Real Madrid - Villarreal 2:3

19.01.2023 Villarreal - Real Madrid 2:3

Latest results of Villarreal

08.03.2025 Deportivo Alavés - Villarreal 1:0 ✺

22.02.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Villarreal 0:1 ✺

15.02.2025 Villarreal - Valencia 1:1 ✺

08.02.2025 Las Palmas - Villarreal 1:2 ✺

01.02.2025 Villarreal - Valladolid 5:1 ✺

Latest results of Real Madrid

12.03.2025 Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid 1:1 ✺

09.03.2025 Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano 2:1 ✺

04.03.2025 Real Madrid - Atlético Madrid 2:1 ✺

01.03.2025 Betis - Real Madrid 2:1 ✺

26.02.2025 Real Sociedad - Real Madrid 0:1 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Real Sociedad	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Elche	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Alaves	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Celta Vigo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Rayo Vallecano	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Real Madrid	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Villarreal	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Barcelona	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Atl. Madrid	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Sevilla	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Mallorca	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Valencia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Ath Bilbao	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Espanyol	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Betis	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Osasuna	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Levante	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Girona	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	R. Oviedo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2