Result
04/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Real Madrid
64.7% | Draw
19.1% | Villarreal
16.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Villarreal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Real Madrid - Villarreal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↑
(1.45) |
5.02 ↑
(4.99) |
6 ↑
(5.85) |
3.9%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Real Madrid - Villarreal?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Real will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Villarreal will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real won 3.
- Real has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Villarreal has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Villarreal has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Real is the undeniable favorite.
- We predict that Real will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real won 9 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 39:28. (average 2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Real won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:10. (average 1.9:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid won against Villarreal?
Real Madrid has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Villarreal won against Real Madrid?
Villarreal has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid - Villarreal were as follows:
15.03.2025
Villarreal
-
Real Madrid
1:2
05.10.2024
Real Madrid
-
Villarreal
2:0
19.05.2024
Villarreal
-
Real Madrid
4:4
17.12.2023
Real Madrid
-
Villarreal
4:1
08.04.2023
Real Madrid
-
Villarreal
2:3
Latest results of Real Madrid
Latest results of Villarreal
Spanish LaLiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Real Madrid | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 18 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 19:4 | 15 | 16 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:5 | 8 | 16 |
| 4 | Atl. Madrid | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14:9 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Espanyol | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:9 | 1 | 12 |
| 6 | Getafe | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Elche | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 8 | Ath Bilbao | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
| 9 | Betis | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 9 |
| 10 | Alaves | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Valencia | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 | Sevilla | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 7 |
| 13 | Osasuna | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 14 | Rayo Vallecano | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Celta Vigo | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 16 | Levante | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 5 |
| 17 | Real Sociedad | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 5 |
| 18 | Mallorca | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 5 |
| 19 | R. Oviedo | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2:11 | -9 | 3 |
| 20 | Girona | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3:16 | -13 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ LaLiga2
