Villarreal vs Valencia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

15/02/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio de la Ceramica (Villarreal).

SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 24
Referee: De Burgos R. (Esp)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport 5, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 1, Silk Universal
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, Now Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kosovo	ART Sport 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Maldives	ICE Plus
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Montenegro	Arena Premium 3
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 3
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
Pakistan	ARY ZAP
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	Canal+ Sport Online, CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga
South-america	DGO Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga TV, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Taiwan	DAZN
Tanzania	Azam Sports 4
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 2, LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15, SCTV Online
World	DirecTV Sports, Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.24	1.06
Ball Possession
50%	50%
Goal Attempts
13	12
Shots on Goal
4	3
Shots off Goal
7	6
Blocked Shots
2	3
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
4	5
Shots inside the Box
8	6
Shots outside the Box
5	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
Free Kicks
17	6
Offsides
3	0
Fouls
6	17
Yellow Cards
0	5
Throw-ins
11	11
Touches in the Opposition Box
30	12
Passes
87% (455/526)	89% (465/523)
Passes in the final third
77% (118/154)	77% (77/100)
Crosses
25% (4/16)	27% (4/15)
Tackles
63% (12/19)	57% (8/14)
Clearances Total
5	31
Interceptions
9	8

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Gueye P. ⚽, Pino Y. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', Lopez D. 🟨,
48', Gaya J. 🟨,
55', Almeida A. ↓, Ivan Jaime ↑,
55', Duro H. ↓, Sadiq U. ↑,
66', Gueye P. ↓, Comesana S. ↑,
66', Pino Y. ↓, Buchanan T. ↑,
67', Lopez D. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
75', Pepe N. ↓, Barry T. ↑,
77', Rioja L. ↓, Mir R. ↑,
82', Perez A. ↓, Suarez D. ↑,
84', 1 - 1, Sadiq U. ⚽,
87', Pepelu 🟨,
90+3', Sadiq U. 🟨,
90+4', Perez F. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Villarreal
56.2%

Draw
24.4%

Valencia
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

21.6%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

21.1%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Villarreal's form might have worsened.

Valencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villarreal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Villarreal - Valencia Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.53)	3.96 ↓ (4.44)	4.96 ↓ (6.11)	3.8% (4.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fubo (for US customers)

Network on : ESPN Deportes

What is the prediction for Villarreal - Valencia?

Users Predictions: 49 users predict this event. Villarreal will win (votes: 34 - 69.4%). Valencia will win (votes: 5 - 10.2%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 20.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Villarreal: 56.5% – 82.3%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Villarreal won 2.
Villarreal is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Valencia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Villarreal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Valencia have a series of home games.
In this match Villarreal is a favorite.
There will not play in Villarreal: Akhomach I. (Knee Injury) Moreno G. (Injury) Pedraza A. (Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Valencia: Barrenechea E. (Yellow Cards) Correia T. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Villarreal: Kiko Femenia (Back Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Villarreal won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 23:27 (average 1.2:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Villarreal won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:5 (average 1.4:0.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Villarreal won against Valencia?

Villarreal has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Valencia won against Villarreal?

Valencia has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Villarreal - Valencia were as follows:

31.08.2024 Valencia - Villarreal 1:1

17.03.2024 Villarreal - Valencia 1:0

02.01.2024 Valencia - Villarreal 3:1

03.05.2023 Valencia - Villarreal 1:1

31.12.2022 Villarreal - Valencia 2:1

Latest results of Villarreal

08.02.2025 Las Palmas - Villarreal 1:2 ✺

01.02.2025 Villarreal - Valladolid 5:1 ✺

25.01.2025 Atlético Madrid - Villarreal 1:1 ✺

20.01.2025 Villarreal - Mallorca 4:0 ✺

13.01.2025 Real Sociedad - Villarreal 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Valencia

09.02.2025 Valencia - Leganés 2:0 ✺

06.02.2025 Valencia - Barcelona 0:5 ✺

02.02.2025 Valencia - Celta de Vigo 2:1 ✺

26.01.2025 Barcelona - Valencia 7:1 ✺

19.01.2025 Valencia - Real Sociedad 1:0 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Betis	2	1	1	0	2:1	1	4
2	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	3:0	3	3
3	Rayo Vallecano	1	1	0	0	3:1	2	3
4	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	2:0	2	3
5	Getafe	1	1	0	0	2:0	2	3
6	Ath Bilbao	1	1	0	0	3:2	1	3
7	Espanyol	1	1	0	0	2:1	1	3
8	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
9	Alaves	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
10	Real Sociedad	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
11	Elche	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
12	Valencia	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
13	Sevilla	1	0	0	1	2:3	-1	0
14	Atl. Madrid	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
15	Levante	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
16	Osasuna	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
17	Girona	1	0	0	1	1:3	-2	0
18	Celta Vigo	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0
19	R. Oviedo	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0
20	Mallorca	1	0	0	1	0:3	-3	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2