Villefranche vs Caen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
05/12/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • National - Round 15
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFranceBFM Lyon, FFF TV
worldWorldFIFA+

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 4', Debohi D. 🟨,
  • 11', 1 - 0, Mroivili R. , Mixtur K. (A),
  • 18', Debohi D. , Rajot L. ,
  • 18', Etuin M. , Vinicius Gomes ,
  • 30', Ouedraogo L. 🟨,
  • 30', Mandrea A. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, Botella I. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 51', Sagnan S. 🟨,
  • 62', Testud K. , Ngom Matip T. ,
  • 66', Rajot L. 🟨,
  • 72', Milliner L. , Gnanduillet A. ,
  • 72', Diakite A. , Mazie O. ,
  • 75', Morante L. 🟨,
  • 77', Thoumin A. , Leye B. ,
  • 88', Mroivili R. , Boudache I. ,
  • 88', Mixtur K. , Nagera K. ,
  • 89', Sbai H. , Sofiane Y. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Villefranche
24.4%
Draw
28.7%
Caen
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.5% 30.2% 41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2% 28.8% 43.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Villefranche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Caen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Caen's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villefranche than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caen than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Villefranche - Caen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.8
    (3.25)
    3.22
    (3.07)
    1.97
    (2.24)
    8.1%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Villefranche - Caen?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Villefranche will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Caen will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Caen: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Caen will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 9).
    • Villefranche has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Caen has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Caen will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Villefranche
    Latest results of Caen
    21.11.2025 Caen - Bourg-Péronnas 1:0
    07.11.2025 Caen - Paris 13 Atletico 0:0
    31.10.2025 Stade Briochin - Caen 1:1
    21.10.2025 Caen - Rouen FC 1:1
    17.10.2025 Orleans - Caen 2:1
    French National League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rouen22119231:161542
    2Dijon21119135:142142
    3Sochaux22126435:161942
    4Versailles21113729:22736
    5Orleans22105729:32-335
    6Le Puy-en-Velay2288631:24732
    7Fleury-Merogis2187625:20531
    8Concarneau2178624:22229
    9Aubagne2177726:27-128
    10Caen22511625:25026
    11Paris 13 Atl2268822:29-726
    12Valenciennes22751024:31-725
    13Villefranche22741122:31-925
    14Chateauroux21310820:27-719
    15Quevilly Rouen21461119:30-1118
    16Bourg en Bresse22461217:32-1518
    17Stade Briochin21281120:36-1614

          Promotion ~ Ligue 2
          Promotion ~ Ligue 2 (Promotion: )
          Relegation