Emelec vs Vinotinto – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ecuadorian Liga Pro Emelec - Vinotinto
Result
2:0
05/07/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Pro - Round 19
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ecuadorEcuadorEcuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
peruPeruZapping Sports

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.120.06
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
223
Shots on target
70
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
124
Passes
86% (355/414)77% (240/313)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
2.120.06
xG on target (xGOT)
2.550.00
Total shots
223
Shots on target
70
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
100
Shots inside the Box
140
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
124
Touches in opposition box
354
Accurate through passes
40
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
717
Passes
86% (355/414)77% (240/313)
Long passes
58% (18/31)46% (30/65)
Passes in final third
76% (118/156)57% (50/88)
Crosses
26% (9/34)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.280.26
Throw-ins
229
Fouls
177
Tackles
100% (7/7)74% (14/19)
Duels won
2845
Clearances
1441
Interceptions
1714
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
05
xGOT faced
0.002.55
Goals prevented
0.000.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 41', Meli M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 56', Solis M. , Cuero Palacio J. R. ,
  • 71', Meli M. , Cevallos J. ,
  • 74', 1 - 0, Cevallos J. , Cueva C. (A),
  • 82', Luna D. , Lugo J. ,
  • 82', Melo A. , Julio M. ,
  • 83', Barco A. , Quintero S. ,
  • 83', Castelli F. , Gonzalez A. ,
  • 90+7', 2 - 0, Gonzalez A. , Caicedo R. (A),
  • 90+8', Gonzalez A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Emelec
53.4%
Draw
26.4%
Vinotinto
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.1% 27.1% 22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3% 26.5% 22.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Emelec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • Vinotinto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Emelec - Vinotinto Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (1.86)
    3.48
    (3.44)
    4.53
    (4.09)
    8.3%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Emelec - Vinotinto?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Emelec (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Emelec will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 55.21%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
    • In recent matches, Emelec has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Vinotinto's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Vinotinto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Emelec is the team to beat.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Emelec won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Emelec - Vinotinto were as follows:
    09.03.2025 Vinotinto - Emelec 2:1
    Latest results of Emelec
    29.06.2025 Deportivo Macará - Emelec 1:1
    21.06.2025 Emelec - Delfín 2:2
    31.05.2025 Emelec - Orense 1:0
    25.05.2025 El Nacional - Emelec 2:0
    Latest results of Vinotinto
    30.06.2025 Vinotinto - SD Aucas 0:1
    14.06.2025 Vinotinto - LDU Quito 1:2
    02.06.2025 Vinotinto - Libertad Loja 1:0
    24.05.2025 Manta - Vinotinto 2:2
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle21127239:192043
    2Barcelona SC21115533:25838
    3LDU Quito21107437:211637
    4Dep. Cuenca21104726:20634
    5Orense21104724:24034
    6Libertad2196631:26533
    7Aucas2195728:26232
    8U. Catolica2177734:28628
    9Delfin2168720:29-926
    10Emelec2167816:24-825
    11EL Nacional2166924:30-624
    12Vinotinto21651026:29-323
    13Manta2158827:34-723
    14Macara2157919:21-222
    15Mushuc Runa21451224:38-1417
    16Tecnico U21371119:33-1416

          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
          Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )