Result
2:0
05/07/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 19
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Ecuador | Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
Peru | Zapping Sports |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.12 | 0.06 |
Ball Possession |
---|
58% | 42% |
Total shots |
---|
22 | 3 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
12 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
86% (355/414) | 77% (240/313) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.12 | 0.06 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.55 | 0.00 |
Total shots |
---|
22 | 3 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 0 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
10 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
14 | 0 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
8 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
12 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
35 | 4 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
4 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
4 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
7 | 17 |
Passes |
---|
86% (355/414) | 77% (240/313) |
Long passes |
---|
58% (18/31) | 46% (30/65) |
Passes in final third |
---|
76% (118/156) | 57% (50/88) |
Crosses |
---|
26% (9/34) | 20% (2/10) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.28 | 0.26 |
Throw-ins |
---|
22 | 9 |
Fouls |
---|
17 | 7 |
Tackles |
---|
100% (7/7) | 74% (14/19) |
Duels won |
---|
28 | 45 |
Clearances |
---|
14 | 41 |
Interceptions |
---|
17 | 14 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.00 | 2.55 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.00 | 0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 41', Meli M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 56', Solis M. ↓, Cuero Palacio J. R. ↑,
- 71', Meli M. ↓, Cevallos J. ↑,
- 74', 1 - 0, Cevallos J. ⚽, Cueva C. (A),
- 82', Luna D. ↓, Lugo J. ↑,
- 82', Melo A. ↓, Julio M. ↑,
- 83', Barco A. ↓, Quintero S. ↑,
- 83', Castelli F. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
- 90+7', 2 - 0, Gonzalez A. ⚽, Caicedo R. (A),
- 90+8', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Emelec 53.4% | Draw 26.4% | Vinotinto 20.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Emelec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Vinotinto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (+2%)
Emelec - Vinotinto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.74 ↓ (1.86) |
3.48 ↑ (3.44) |
4.53 ↑ (4.09) |
8.3% (7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Emelec - Vinotinto?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Emelec (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Emelec will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- In recent matches, Emelec has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Vinotinto's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Vinotinto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Emelec is the team to beat.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Emelec won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Emelec won against Vinotinto?
Emelec has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vinotinto won against Emelec?
Vinotinto has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Emelec - Vinotinto were as follows:
09.03.2025
Vinotinto
-
Emelec
2:1
Latest results of Vinotinto
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Ind. del Valle | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 39:19 | 20 | 43 |
2 | Barcelona SC | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 33:25 | 8 | 38 |
3 | LDU Quito | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 37:21 | 16 | 37 |
4 | Dep. Cuenca | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 34 |
5 | Orense | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 34 |
6 | Libertad | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 31:26 | 5 | 33 |
7 | Aucas | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 28:26 | 2 | 32 |
8 | U. Catolica | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 34:28 | 6 | 28 |
9 | Delfin | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 20:29 | -9 | 26 |
10 | Emelec | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 16:24 | -8 | 25 |
11 | EL Nacional | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 24 |
12 | Vinotinto | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26:29 | -3 | 23 |
13 | Manta | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 27:34 | -7 | 23 |
14 | Macara | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 19:21 | -2 | 22 |
15 | Mushuc Runa | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 24:38 | -14 | 17 |
16 | Tecnico U | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19:33 | -14 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )