Result
2:0
05/07/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 19
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.12 | 0.06 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (355/414) | 77% (240/313) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.12 | 0.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.55 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 0 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 4 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (355/414) | 77% (240/313) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (18/31) | 46% (30/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (118/156) | 57% (50/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (9/34) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.26 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (7/7) | 74% (14/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 28 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 2.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 41', Meli M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 56', Solis M. ↓, Cuero Palacio J. R. ↑,
- 71', Meli M. ↓, Cevallos J. ↑,
- 74', 1 - 0, Cevallos J. ⚽, Cueva C. (A),
- 82', Luna D. ↓, Lugo J. ↑,
- 82', Melo A. ↓, Julio M. ↑,
- 83', Barco A. ↓, Quintero S. ↑,
- 83', Castelli F. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
- 90+7', 2 - 0, Gonzalez A. ⚽, Caicedo R. (A),
- 90+8', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Emelec
53.4% | Draw
26.4% | Vinotinto
20.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Emelec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Vinotinto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (+2%)
Emelec - Vinotinto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↓
(1.86) |
3.48 ↑
(3.44) |
4.53 ↑
(4.09) |
8.3%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Emelec - Vinotinto?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Emelec (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Emelec will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- In recent matches, Emelec has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Vinotinto's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Vinotinto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Emelec is the team to beat.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Emelec won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Emelec won against Vinotinto?
Emelec has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vinotinto won against Emelec?
Vinotinto has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Emelec - Vinotinto were as follows:
09.03.2025
Vinotinto
-
Emelec
2:1
Latest results of Vinotinto
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
Placement Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 7 | Dep. Cuenca | 33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 39:34 | 5 | 49 |
| 8 | Emelec | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 34:35 | -1 | 49 |
| 9 | Aucas | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 42:45 | -3 | 45 |
| 10 | Macara | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 39:34 | 5 | 44 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 36:50 | -14 | 38 |
| 12 | Delfin | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 28:49 | -21 | 32 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
