Result
66:74
29/12/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Lega A - Round 13
- Referee: Valleriani D. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Italy | LBA TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Field Goals Attempted |
|---|
| 67 | 60 |
| Field Goals Made |
|---|
| 25 | 28 |
| Field Goals % |
|---|
| 37.31% | 46.67% |
| 2-Point Field G. Attempted |
|---|
| 40 | 38 |
| 2-Point Field Goals Made |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| 2-Point Field Goals % |
|---|
| 40% | 55.26% |
| 3-Point Field G. Attempted |
|---|
| 27 | 22 |
| 3-Point Field Goals Made |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| 3-Point Field Goals % |
|---|
| 33.33% | 31.82% |
| Free Throws Attempted |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Free Throws Made |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Free Throws % |
|---|
| 63.6% | 78.6% |
| Offensive Rebounds |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Defensive Rebounds |
|---|
| 19 | 28 |
| Total Rebounds |
|---|
| 34 | 42 |
| Assists |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Blocks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Turnovers |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Steals |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Personal Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 21 |
Chances of winning
Trieste
36.9% | Virtus Bologna
63.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Trieste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Virtus Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trieste than the current prediction. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Bologna than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Trieste - Virtus Bologna Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.57 ↓
(2.67) |
|
1.5 ↑
(1.41) |
5.7%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 166.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)
What is the prediction for Trieste - Virtus Bologna?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Trieste will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Virtus Bologna will win (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Trieste (votes: 1 - 50%). Virtus Bologna (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 167.5, OT - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 166.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +5.5 - Virtus Bologna (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Trieste (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Virtus Bologna (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 81:86.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trieste won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Virtus Bologna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Virtus Bologna is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Trieste won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1255:1370. (average 73.8:80.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Trieste won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 683:715. (average 75.9:79.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Trieste won against Virtus Bologna?
Trieste has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Virtus Bologna won against Trieste?
Virtus Bologna has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Trieste - Virtus Bologna were as follows:
22.03.2025
Trieste
-
Virtus Bologna
85:78
15.12.2024
Virtus Bologna
-
Trieste
70:78
02.04.2023
Trieste
-
Virtus Bologna
80:78
09.10.2022
Virtus Bologna
-
Trieste
85:80
Latest results of Trieste
Latest results of Virtus Bologna
Italian Lega A Basketball Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Virtus Bologna | 19 | 16 | 3 | 1631:1490 | 32 |
| 2 | Brescia | 19 | 15 | 4 | 1700:1596 | 30 |
| 3 | Olimpia Milano | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1615:1464 | 28 |
| 4 | Venezia | 18 | 13 | 5 | 1630:1507 | 26 |
| 5 | Tortona | 19 | 12 | 7 | 1653:1635 | 24 |
| 6 | Trieste | 18 | 10 | 8 | 1542:1567 | 20 |
| 7 | Trento | 19 | 9 | 10 | 1621:1596 | 18 |
| 8 | Udine | 19 | 8 | 11 | 1559:1544 | 16 |
| 9 | Cremona | 19 | 8 | 11 | 1552:1607 | 16 |
| 10 | Basket Napoli | 18 | 7 | 11 | 1501:1545 | 14 |
| 11 | Reggiana | 18 | 7 | 11 | 1445:1456 | 14 |
| 12 | Varese | 19 | 7 | 12 | 1555:1643 | 14 |
| 13 | Sassari | 19 | 6 | 13 | 1594:1675 | 12 |
| 14 | Cantu | 19 | 5 | 14 | 1605:1707 | 10 |
| 15 | Treviso | 18 | 3 | 15 | 1449:1620 | 6 |
| 16 | Trapani | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
