Real Calepina vs Virtus CiseranoBergamo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group B Real Calepina - Virtus CiseranoBergamo
26/10/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group B - Round 9

Chances of winning


Real Calepina
40.9%
Draw
27.7%
Virtus CiseranoBergamo
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.8% 27.2% 26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 28.3% 25%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Calepina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Calepina's form might have worsened.
  • Virtus CiseranoBergamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Virtus CiseranoBergamo's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Calepina than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Calepina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus CiseranoBergamo than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Virtus CiseranoBergamo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Real Calepina - Virtus CiseranoBergamo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (1.92)
    3.33
    (3.3)
    2.94
    (3.45)
    8.5%
    (11.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Calepina won 1.
    • Real Calepina has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, CiseranoBergamo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • CiseranoBergamo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, CiseranoBergamo has had a series of away games.
    • Real Calepina is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Real Calepina won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Real Calepina won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Calepina - Virtus CiseranoBergamo were as follows:
    06.04.2025 Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Real Calepina 1:1
    28.01.2024 Real Calepina - Virtus CiseranoBergamo 1:2
    01.10.2023 Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Real Calepina 1:2
    19.03.2023 Real Calepina - Virtus CiseranoBergamo 0:0
    13.11.2022 Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Real Calepina 1:0
    Latest results of Real Calepina
    19.10.2025 Leon - Real Calepina 2:0
    12.10.2025 Real Calepina - Casatese 0:3
    24.09.2025 Varesina - Real Calepina 0:2
    21.09.2025 Real Calepina - Vogherese 2:2
    Latest results of Virtus CiseranoBergamo
    Italian Serie D - Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Chievo861117:9819
    2Folgore Caratese852110:6417
    3Brusaporto851213:11216
    4Villa Valle842215:8714
    5Breno834114:10413
    6USD Casatese834112:8413
    7Leon825110:7311
    8AC Milan U23832311:10111
    9Caldiero Terme82427:5210
    10Ciserano-Bergamo82427:6110
    11Real Calepina831413:14-110
    12Oltrepo832310:13-310
    13Castellanzese823315:969
    14Vogherese82336:7-19
    15Scanzorosciate82248:14-68
    16Varesina814311:13-27
    17Pavia81167:18-114
    18Sondrio80172:20-181

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