ACR Messina vs Virtus Francavilla – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie C Group C ACR Messina - Virtus Francavilla
Result
3:2
03/02/2024 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP C - ROUND 24
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalySky Sport

Chances of winning


ACR Messina
44.4%
Draw
31.1%
Virtus Francavilla
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.1% 30.3% 26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2% 29.5% 25.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • ACR Messina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Virtus Francavilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Francavilla than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ACR Messina - Virtus Francavilla Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (2.11)
    2.93
    (3)
    3.72
    (3.43)
    9.7%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for ACR Messina - Virtus Francavilla?
  • Users Predictions: ACR Messina will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches ACR Messina won 2.
    • Recent matches ACR Messina is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Virtus Francavilla is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Virtus Francavilla could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • ACR Messina will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches ACR Messina won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-12.
    • Including matches at home between the teams ACR Messina won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between ACR Messina - Virtus Francavilla were as follows:
    24.09.2023 Virtus Francavilla - ACR Messina 1:0
    07.01.2023 ACR Messina - Virtus Francavilla 2:1
    11.09.2022 Virtus Francavilla - ACR Messina 1:0
    Latest results of ACR Messina
    27.01.2024 Turris - ACR Messina 2:2
    21.01.2024 ACR Messina - Taranto 1:0
    14.01.2024 Casertana - ACR Messina 0:2
    22.12.2023 ACR Messina - Monopoli 1:1
    Latest results of Virtus Francavilla
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/32-finals
    1CrotoneBye
    2BeneventoJuventus U231 : 5
    4ByeFeralpiSalo
    8ByeL.R. Vicenza
    9RenateArzignano0 : 0
    10Giana ErminioVirtus Verona1 : 0
    12ByeMonopoli
    16ByeTernana
    17AlbinoLeffeBye
    18TrentoAtalanta U231 : 2
    20ByeTorres
    24ByeAudace Cerignola
    25ArezzoGubbio3 : 1
    26Vis PesaroPontedera1 : 1
    28ByeRimini
    29CataniaGiugliano3 : 2
    30PotenzaPicerno2 : 0
    31PescaraBye
    32PinetoPianese0 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1CrotoneJuventus U230 : 0
    2ByeFeralpiSalo
    4ByeL.R. Vicenza
    5RenateGiana Erminio1 : 2
    6ByeMonopoli
    8ByeTernana
    9AlbinoLeffeAtalanta U231 : 3
    10ByeTorres
    12ByeAudace Cerignola
    13ArezzoVis Pesaro0 : 1
    14ByeRimini
    15CataniaPotenza1 : 0
    16PescaraPianese2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1CrotoneFeralpiSalo1 : 2, 3 : 1
    2ByeL.R. Vicenza
    3Giana ErminioMonopoli3 : 1, 3 : 1
    4ByeTernana
    5Atalanta U23Torres1 : 2, 7 : 1
    6ByeAudace Cerignola
    7Vis PesaroRimini4 : 3, 1 : 1
    8CataniaPescara2 : 1, 0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1CrotoneL.R. Vicenza0 : 1, 1 : 2
    2Giana ErminioTernana0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3Atalanta U23Audace Cerignola2 : 2, 0 : 0
    4Vis PesaroPescara0 : 2, 2 : 4

    Semi-finals
    1L.R. VicenzaTernana1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2Audace CerignolaPescara1 : 1, 1 : 4

    Final
    1TernanaPescara1 : 1, 0 : 1