Casertana vs Virtus Francavilla – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie C Group C Casertana - Virtus Francavilla
Result
2:0
17/03/2024 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP C - ROUND 32
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalySky Sport

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 18', Montalto A. ,
  • 30', Montalto A. 🟨,
  • 37', Casoli G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Tavernelli C. , Matese M. ,
  • 48', Carella F. 🟨,
  • 58', Polidori A. 🟨,
  • 60', Curcio A. ,
  • 62', Carella F. , Macca F. ,
  • 62', Biondi K. , Nicoli S. ,
  • 64', Montalto A. , Rovaglia P. ,
  • 67', Risolo A. , Laaribi M. ,
  • 67', Polidori A. , Contini G. ,
  • 81', Artistico G. , Vapore A. ,
  • 85', Curcio A. , Galletta U. ,
  • 90+4', Monteagudo J. C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Casertana
52.7%
Draw
27.8%
Virtus Francavilla
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.2% 25.5% 14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1% 25.1% 14%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Casertana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Casertana's form might have worsened.
  • Virtus Francavilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Virtus Francavilla's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Casertana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Francavilla than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Virtus Francavilla, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Casertana - Virtus Francavilla Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.51)
    3.32
    (3.55)
    4.74
    (6.38)
    8.3%
    (10.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Casertana won 3.
    • Casertana is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Virtus Francavilla is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Casertana is a favorite.
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Casertana won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18-13.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Casertana won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Casertana - Virtus Francavilla were as follows:
    11.11.2023 Virtus Francavilla - Casertana 2:3
    Latest results of Casertana
    11.03.2024 Turris - Casertana 1:0
    04.03.2024 Juve Stabia - Casertana 1:0
    19.02.2024 Avellino - Casertana 2:1
    Latest results of Virtus Francavilla
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/32-finals
    1CrotoneBye
    2BeneventoJuventus U231 : 5
    4ByeFeralpiSalo
    8ByeL.R. Vicenza
    9RenateArzignano0 : 0
    10Giana ErminioVirtus Verona1 : 0
    12ByeMonopoli
    16ByeTernana
    17AlbinoLeffeBye
    18TrentoAtalanta U231 : 2
    20ByeTorres
    24ByeAudace Cerignola
    25ArezzoGubbio3 : 1
    26Vis PesaroPontedera1 : 1
    28ByeRimini
    29CataniaGiugliano3 : 2
    30PotenzaPicerno2 : 0
    31PescaraBye
    32PinetoPianese0 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1CrotoneJuventus U230 : 0
    2ByeFeralpiSalo
    4ByeL.R. Vicenza
    5RenateGiana Erminio1 : 2
    6ByeMonopoli
    8ByeTernana
    9AlbinoLeffeAtalanta U231 : 3
    10ByeTorres
    12ByeAudace Cerignola
    13ArezzoVis Pesaro0 : 1
    14ByeRimini
    15CataniaPotenza1 : 0
    16PescaraPianese2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1CrotoneFeralpiSalo1 : 2, 3 : 1
    2ByeL.R. Vicenza
    3Giana ErminioMonopoli3 : 1, 3 : 1
    4ByeTernana
    5Atalanta U23Torres1 : 2, 7 : 1
    6ByeAudace Cerignola
    7Vis PesaroRimini4 : 3, 1 : 1
    8CataniaPescara2 : 1, 0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1CrotoneL.R. Vicenza0 : 1, 1 : 2
    2Giana ErminioTernana0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3Atalanta U23Audace Cerignola2 : 2, 0 : 0
    4Vis PesaroPescara0 : 2, 2 : 4

    Semi-finals
    1L.R. VicenzaTernana1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2Audace CerignolaPescara1 : 1, 1 : 4

    Final
    1TernanaPescara1 : 1, 0 : 1