La Fiorita vs Virtus – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
18/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Campionato Sammarinese - Round 16
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldFIFA+

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Felipe J. , Cicarelli D. (A),
  • 14', 1 - 1, Buonocunto I. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


La Fiorita
30.3%
Draw
30.2%
Virtus
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.4% 27.7% 36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2% 27.6% 37.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • La Fiorita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that La Fiorita's form might have worsened.
  • Virtus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Fiorita than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • La Fiorita - Virtus Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.98
    (2.6)
    2.99
    (3.32)
    2.28
    (2.49)
    10.9%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, La Fiorita won 1.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, La Fiorita won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.5:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, La Fiorita won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.4:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between La Fiorita - Virtus were as follows:
    31.08.2025 Virtus - La Fiorita 2:2
    02.04.2025 Virtus - La Fiorita 1:0
    20.10.2024 La Fiorita - Virtus 0:0
    28.08.2024 Virtus - La Fiorita 1:0
    25.05.2024 Virtus - La Fiorita 0:1
    Latest results of La Fiorita
    21.12.2025 Cosmos - La Fiorita 0:1
    14.12.2025 La Fiorita - Domagnano 1:1
    06.12.2025 San Giovanni - La Fiorita 0:2
    29.11.2025 La Fiorita - Tre Fiori 2:2
    26.11.2025 Murata - La Fiorita 0:3
    Latest results of Virtus
    23.12.2025 Virtus - Tre Fiori 1:0
    20.12.2025 Virtus - Cailungo 6:0
    13.12.2025 Murata - Virtus 0:2
    06.12.2025 Virtus - Tre Penne 2:1
    29.11.2025 Domagnano - Virtus 1:0
    San Marino Campionato Sammarinese Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tre Fiori28216161:124969
    2Virtus28206261:194266
    3Tre Penne28197264:174764
    4La Fiorita ✔ 281511259:233651
    5Folgore ✔ 28149557:302751
    6Domagnano ✔ 28137854:292546
    7Fiorentino281341132:39-743
    8Cosmos28109927:20739
    9Libertas28981131:51-2035
    10Juvenes/Dogana28891131:36-533
    11San Giovanni287101124:37-1331
    12Pennarossa28861428:52-2430
    13Faetano28641822:52-3022
    14San Marino Academy U2228361922:56-3415
    15Cailungo28242221:64-4310
    16Murata28142317:74-57-2

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    La Fiorita is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Folgore is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Domagnano is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)