Result
2:1
06/12/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campionato Sammarinese - Round 12
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Benincasa S. ⚽, Buonocunto I. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', 2 - 0, Zenoni M. ⚽, Lombardi T. (A),
- 79', 2 - 1, Badalassi I. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Virtus
38.9% | Draw
31.1% | Tre Penne
30% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Virtus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)Tre Penne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Virtus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tre Penne than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Virtus - Tre Penne Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.33 ↑
(2.12) |
2.91 ↓
(3.25) |
3.01 ↓
(3.15) |
10.4%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Virtus won 4.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Tre Penne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Virtus is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Virtus won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Virtus won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Virtus won against Tre Penne?
Virtus has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tre Penne won against Virtus?
Tre Penne has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Virtus - Tre Penne were as follows:
06.04.2025
Virtus
-
Tre Penne
2:0
07.12.2024
Tre Penne
-
Virtus
1:2
20.04.2024
Tre Penne
-
Virtus
0:1
14.01.2024
Virtus
-
Tre Penne
1:2
01.09.2023
Tre Penne
-
Virtus
0:2
Latest results of Tre Penne
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Virtus | 23 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 50:11 | 39 | 56 |
| 2 | Tre Fiori | 23 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 48:9 | 39 | 56 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 50:13 | 37 | 53 |
| 4 | Folgore | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 51:24 | 27 | 46 |
| 5 | La Fiorita | 23 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 49:21 | 28 | 42 |
| 6 | Domagnano | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 47:22 | 25 | 39 |
| 7 | Cosmos | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 25:16 | 9 | 35 |
| 8 | Fiorentino | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 23:35 | -12 | 33 |
| 9 | Juvenes/Dogana | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 28:31 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 | Libertas | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 27:47 | -20 | 25 |
| 11 | San Giovanni | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 17:31 | -14 | 21 |
| 12 | Pennarossa | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 23:45 | -22 | 21 |
| 13 | Faetano | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 18:43 | -25 | 19 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy U22 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 17:48 | -31 | 11 |
| 15 | Cailungo | 23 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 15:48 | -33 | 10 |
| 16 | Murata | 23 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 15:59 | -44 | -2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
