Tre Penne vs Virtus – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
08/04/2026 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Campionato Sammarinese - Round 27
  • Where to Watch on TV:
san-marinoSan-marinoSan Marino RTV

Match Stats

Red cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Casadio P. , Pastorelli L. (A),
  • 25', Montanari A. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 66', 1 - 1, Golinucci A. , Lombardi T. (A),

Chances of winning


Tre Penne
33.6%
Draw
30.1%
Virtus
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.4% 29.1% 33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1% 27.8% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tre Penne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Virtus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tre Penne than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tre Penne, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • Tre Penne - Virtus Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.7
    (2.46)
    3.01
    (3.17)
    2.51
    (2.75)
    10.2%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tre Penne won 1.
    • Tre Penne is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Virtus's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Tre Penne won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tre Penne won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tre Penne - Virtus were as follows:
    06.12.2025 Virtus - Tre Penne 2:1
    06.04.2025 Virtus - Tre Penne 2:0
    07.12.2024 Tre Penne - Virtus 1:2
    20.04.2024 Tre Penne - Virtus 0:1
    14.01.2024 Virtus - Tre Penne 1:2
    Latest results of Tre Penne
    22.03.2026 Tre Penne - Folgore 1:1
    15.03.2026 Murata - Tre Penne 0:4
    08.03.2026 Domagnano - Tre Penne 1:2
    28.02.2026 Tre Penne - Juvenes-Dogana 3:1
    22.02.2026 Tre Fiori - Tre Penne 0:2
    Latest results of Virtus
    22.03.2026 Virtus - Domagnano 3:2
    18.03.2026 Tre Fiori - Virtus 1:0
    14.03.2026 Tre Fiori - Virtus 4:1
    08.03.2026 Virtus - Juvenes-Dogana 2:0
    04.03.2026 Virtus - Tre Fiori 0:0
    San Marino Campionato Sammarinese Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tre Fiori28216161:124969
    2Virtus28206261:194266
    3Tre Penne28197264:174764
    4La Fiorita ✔ 281511259:233651
    5Folgore ✔ 28149557:302751
    6Domagnano ✔ 28137854:292546
    7Fiorentino281341132:39-743
    8Cosmos28109927:20739
    9Libertas28981131:51-2035
    10Juvenes/Dogana28891131:36-533
    11San Giovanni287101124:37-1331
    12Pennarossa28861428:52-2430
    13Faetano28641822:52-3022
    14San Marino Academy U2228361922:56-3415
    15Cailungo28242221:64-4310
    16Murata28142317:74-57-2

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    La Fiorita is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Folgore is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Domagnano is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)